Ivy League
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28
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Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Harvard 25%   15   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 +1.1 131 C- -1 200 B- +2 100 -15 344 0 1
Penn 22%   Negligible 1 - 2 0 - 0 +0.5 141 C +0 166 C +1 134 -5 253 0 1
Yale 18%   Negligible 1 - 2 0 - 0 -0.5 159 C +1 147 C- -1 194 +2 169 0 1
Princeton 16%   Negligible 2 - 1 0 - 0 -1.0 166 C- -1 205 C +0 140 +1 187 0 1
Columbia 7%   Negligible 1 - 1 0 - 0 -4.0 223 C- -1 203 D+ -3 255 -11 318 0 1
Cornell 7%   Negligible 1 - 2 0 - 0 -4.6 242 C- -1 189 D+ -4 294 -5 254 0 1
Brown 2%   Negligible 1 - 3 0 - 0 -6.8 280 D -6 324 C- -1 186 -17 350 0 1
Dartmouth 2%   Negligible 2 - 1 0 - 0 -7.4 290 D -5 294 D+ -3 263 -4 243 0 1


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Competitiveness
Mon, Nov 9 178 Howard 65 141 Penn 78   
223 Columbia 75 356 Stonehill 55   
Tue, Nov 10 31 Baylor 90 159 Yale 61   
131 Harvard 70 245 Northeastern 74   
Wed, Nov 11 296 Navy 81 141 Penn 76   
242 Cornell 64 122 St. Bonaventure 88   
166 Princeton 69 231 Stony Brook 59   
290 Dartmouth 85 336 Albany 76   
Thu, Nov 12 280 Brown 81 352 Canisius 86   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Competitiveness
Fri, Nov 13 73 George Washington 70 131 Harvard 60 83%   
245 Northeastern 73 159 Yale 74 55%   
346 Bucknell 68 223 Columbia 73 69%   
Sat, Nov 14 141 Penn 73 126 Saint Joseph's 78 67%   
280 Brown 73 186 Siena 81 77%   
242 Cornell 82 278 UNC Greensboro 77 68%   
Sun, Nov 15 166 Princeton 62 118 Rhode Island 69 75%   
176 American 66 131 Harvard 65 51%   
270 Boston University 74 290 Dartmouth 69 66%   
Mon, Nov 16 223 Columbia 63 88 Northwestern 77 89%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Harvard 3 34% 22% 9% 3% 34 22 16 11 8 5 2 1
Penn 3 31% 19% 8% 3% 31 21 16 13 8 5 3 1
Yale 3 24% 14% 7% 3% 24 21 17 14 11 7 4 2
Princeton 3 21% 12% 7% 2% 21 19 16 15 12 8 6 3
Columbia 5 8% 4% 2% 1% 8 10 13 14 16 16 14 9
Cornell 5 7% 3% 2% 1% 7 10 11 14 16 17 14 11
Brown 6 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 5 7 9 13 18 21 24
Dartmouth 6 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 4 6 10 13 16 23 26

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Harvard 9 - 5 15 - 11 0 0 1 2 4 8 11 17 16 16 12 8 4 1
Penn 9 - 5 15 - 11 0 1 2 5 8 13 16 17 16 12 6 2 0
Yale 8 - 6 14 - 12 0 0 1 3 7 12 14 17 15 15 9 4 1 0
Princeton 8 - 6 14 - 13 0 0 2 4 8 12 16 16 16 12 9 4 1 0
Columbia 6 - 8 14 - 13 0 1 2 6 12 15 17 15 12 9 5 3 1 0 0
Cornell 6 - 8 11 - 16 0 1 3 7 12 16 17 16 11 8 4 2 1 0 0
Brown 5 - 9 10 - 17 1 4 8 13 18 18 14 11 7 4 2 0 0
Dartmouth 5 - 9 10 - 15 1 4 10 14 17 17 14 11 6 3 1 1 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Harvard 25% 25% 0% 15 Negligible 1 4 10 10 1 75
Penn 22% 22% 0% Negligible 3 8 10 1 78
Yale 18% 18% 0% Negligible 2 6 8 1 82
Princeton 16% 16% 0% Negligible 2 5 7 2 84
Columbia 7% 7% 0% Negligible 1 4 2 93
Cornell 7% 7% 0% Negligible 1 3 2 93
Brown 2% 2% 0% Negligible 1 2 98
Dartmouth 2% 2% 0% Negligible 1 1 98

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100 0
1st Round 82% 0.8 18 82
2nd Round 6% 0.1 94 6
Sweet Sixteen 1% 0.0 99 1
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Four 0% 0.0 100
Final Game 0% 0.0 100
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Harvard 25% 5% 23% 2%
Penn 22% 6% 20% 1%
Yale 18% 6% 16% 1%
Princeton 16% 6% 13% 1%
Columbia 7% 5% 4%
Cornell 7% 5% 5%
Brown 2% 2% 1%
Dartmouth 2% 2% 1%