Preseason Rankings
Ivy League
2026-27


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Harvard 23%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 +2.3 121 C +0 148 C+ +2 102 0 1 0 1
Penn 24%   14   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 +2.0 125 C+ +1 129 C+ +1 129 0 1 0 1
Princeton 16%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 +0.1 153 C +1 140 C -1 178 0 1 0 1
Yale 16%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.6 162 C +1 143 C- -1 202 0 1 0 1
Cornell 8%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.4 197 C +1 137 D+ -3 285 0 1 0 1
Columbia 8%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.6 202 C- -1 195 C- -2 220 0 1 0 1
Brown 5%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.0 232 D -4 296 C +0 151 0 1 0 1
Dartmouth 1%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.4 313 D- -6 336 D+ -2 259 0 1 0 1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Penn 3 30% 18% 9% 3% 30 21 17 12 9 6 3 1
Harvard 3 26% 15% 8% 3% 26 22 17 13 10 6 4 1
Princeton 3 24% 15% 7% 3% 24 18 16 13 12 8 6 3
Yale 3 23% 13% 7% 2% 23 18 16 14 12 9 6 3
Cornell 4 11% 6% 4% 2% 11 12 13 15 16 14 12 7
Columbia 5 10% 5% 3% 2% 10 11 12 14 15 15 14 9
Brown 5 6% 3% 2% 1% 6 8 10 13 15 17 19 14
Dartmouth 7 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 2 4 6 8 15 24 41

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Penn 8 - 5 15 - 10 0 0 0 1 2 6 10 14 18 18 16 10 5 1
Harvard 8 - 5 15 - 10 0 0 1 3 6 10 15 18 18 15 9 4 1
Princeton 8 - 6 14 - 13 0 0 1 2 5 8 12 15 17 15 12 8 4 1 0
Yale 8 - 6 13 - 13 0 0 1 2 5 8 12 16 16 15 12 7 4 1 0
Cornell 7 - 7 13 - 14 0 1 2 6 9 13 16 16 14 10 7 3 1 0 0
Columbia 6 - 8 14 - 13 0 1 3 7 10 14 17 16 13 9 6 3 1 0 0
Brown 6 - 8 13 - 14 0 2 5 9 15 16 16 14 10 6 3 2 0 0 0
Dartmouth 4 - 10 8 - 17 3 9 15 19 19 15 10 6 3 2 1 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Harvard 23% 23% 0% Negligible 2 8 8 4 77
Penn 24% 23% 0% 14 Negligible 2 8 9 5 76
Princeton 16% 16% 0% Negligible 1 4 6 5 1 84
Yale 16% 16% 0% Negligible 1 4 6 5 1 84
Cornell 8% 8% 0% Negligible 1 2 4 1 92
Columbia 8% 8% 0% Negligible 1 2 4 1 92
Brown 5% 5% 0% Negligible 1 2 1 95
Dartmouth 1% 1% 0% Negligible 0 0 99

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 99 1
1st Round 90% 0.9 10 89 0
2nd Round 13% 0.1 87 13 0
Sweet Sixteen 3% 0.0 97 3
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Harvard 23% 2% 22% 4% 1%
Penn 24% 3% 22% 4% 1%
Princeton 16% 3% 15% 2%
Yale 16% 4% 15% 2%
Cornell 8% 3% 7% 1%
Columbia 8% 4% 6% 1%
Brown 5% 3% 3%
Dartmouth 1% 1% 1%