Southeastern
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28
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Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Florida 99%   1   Likely In 2 - 0 0 - 0 +23.4 2 A +12 3 A+ +11 3 +26 3 0 1
Texas 94%   2   Likely In 2 - 0 0 - 0 +18.4 9 A +11 6 A- +8 18 -1 230 0 1
Tennessee 90%   3   Likely In 1 - 0 0 - 0 +17.2 15 A- +9 14 A- +8 17 +3 147 0 1
Vanderbilt 87%   5   Likely In 2 - 0 0 - 0 +16.9 16 A- +8 31 A +9 9 +12 25 0 1
Alabama 91%   3   Likely In 2 - 0 0 - 0 +16.5 19 A +10 9 A- +7 32 +9 49 0 1
Arkansas 79%   6   Bubble - In 1 - 0 0 - 0 +16.3 22 A- +9 21 A- +7 22 -6 280 0 1
Texas A&M 83%   6   Likely In 2 - 0 0 - 0 +15.5 26 A- +9 25 A- +7 29 +5 111 0 1
Auburn 75%   7   Bubble - In 1 - 0 0 - 0 +15.1 27 A- +9 20 B+ +6 37 +5 124 0 1
Kentucky 76%   7   Bubble - In 2 - 0 0 - 0 +14.5 28 A +10 10 B +5 57 +7 80 0 1
LSU 75%   7   Bubble - In 2 - 0 0 - 0 +14.0 30 B+ +7 39 A- +7 30 +2 169 0 1
Missouri 65%   10   Bubble - In 1 - 1 0 - 0 +14.0 32 A- +9 18 B +5 53 0 214 0 1
Mississippi 62%   11   Bubble - In 2 - 0 0 - 0 +12.8 41 B +6 64 A- +7 28 +6 91 0 1
Georgia 54%   11   Bubble - In 2 - 0 0 - 0 +11.8 49 A- +8 30 B +4 80 +3 153 0 1
Oklahoma 41%   Bubble - Out 1 - 1 0 - 0 +10.7 56 B+ +7 50 B +4 68 -17 343 0 1
Mississippi St. 39%   Bubble - Out 2 - 0 0 - 0 +9.4 67 B +6 60 B- +3 86 +5 127 0 1
South Carolina 12%   Likely Out 1 - 0 0 - 0 +6.5 91 B- +4 88 B- +3 91 +2 164 0 1


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Competitiveness
Wed, Nov 4 27 Auburn 92 255 SE Louisiana 59   
Thu, Nov 5 16 Vanderbilt 74 95 Wake Forest 51   
2 Florida 88 236 Jacksonville 57   
353 Gardner-Webb 50 9 Texas 98   
67 Mississippi St. 82 308 Northwestern St. 44   
Fri, Nov 6 32 Missouri 84 51 Saint Louis 90   
151 James Madison 80 28 Kentucky 89   
19 Alabama 101 167 Arkansas St. 86   
190 Northern Kentucky 67 26 Texas A&M 104   
159 Central Arkansas 60 41 Mississippi 92   
49 Georgia 91 220 Presbyterian 77   
30 LSU 92 334 Texas Southern 51   
365 Mississippi Valley 57 56 Oklahoma 84   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Competitiveness
Sun, Nov 8 22 Arkansas 79 12 Virginia 80 55%   
91 South Carolina 78 247 Southeast Missouri St. 63 91%   
Mon, Nov 9 19 Alabama 96 227 Oakland 72 98%   
263 Radford 61 15 Tennessee 86 98%   
213 Appalachian St. 56 27 Auburn 78 97%   
319 Grambling St. 56 9 Texas 87 99%   
30 LSU 82 243 Louisiana Tech 60 97%   
32 Missouri 79 266 SIU Edwardsville 56 97%   
221 Florida Gulf Coast 70 49 Georgia 89 95%   
26 Texas A&M 98 341 Louisiana Monroe 68 99%   
281 North Alabama 59 56 Oklahoma 80 96%   
278 Jackson St. 67 67 Mississippi St. 87 95%   
Tue, Nov 10 5 Kansas 79 28 Kentucky 73 72%   
2 Florida 85 54 Florida St. 75 81%   
80 Memphis 71 16 Vanderbilt 84 87%   
41 Mississippi 80 255 SE Louisiana 59 96%   
Wed, Nov 11 22 Arkansas 84 224 Robert Morris 61 97%   
318 St. Peter's 56 91 South Carolina 75 95%   
Thu, Nov 12 37 Oklahoma St. 84 26 Texas A&M 89 69%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Florida 3 35% 22% 9% 4% 35 19 13 9 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0
Texas 5 20% 12% 6% 3% 20 14 12 10 8 7 6 5 4 4 3 3 2 1 1 0
Alabama 6 14% 7% 4% 3% 14 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 3 3 2 1 1
Tennessee 6 14% 8% 4% 2% 14 12 10 10 9 7 7 6 5 5 4 4 3 2 2 1
Vanderbilt 7 9% 5% 3% 2% 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 6 6 5 5 4 3 2 1
Texas A&M 7 8% 4% 2% 2% 8 8 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 4 3 2
Arkansas 7 6% 3% 2% 1% 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 5 4 3 2
Auburn 8 5% 2% 2% 1% 5 7 7 7 8 7 8 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 4 2
Kentucky 8 5% 2% 2% 1% 5 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 5 4 2
Missouri 8 5% 2% 1% 1% 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 3
LSU 8 5% 2% 2% 1% 5 6 6 7 7 7 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 3
Mississippi 9 3% 1% 1% 1% 3 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 7 7 4
Georgia 10 3% 1% 1% 1% 3 3 4 5 6 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 6
Oklahoma 10 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 2 3 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 8 9 10 10 10 8
Mississippi St. 11 1% 0% 1% 0% 1 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 6 8 8 9 10 11 11 11
South Carolina 13 0% 0% 0% 0% 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 4 6 7 10 12 18 31

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Florida 12 - 6 23 - 7 0 0 0 1 1 3 6 9 14 17 17 14 10 5 2 0
Texas 11 - 7 22 - 9 0 0 0 0 1 3 5 8 11 13 15 14 13 8 5 3 1 0
Alabama 11 - 7 20 - 10 0 0 0 1 2 4 6 9 13 15 15 14 10 7 3 1 0 0
Tennessee 10 - 8 21 - 9 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 7 10 12 14 15 13 10 7 3 1 0 0
Vanderbilt 10 - 8 22 - 10 0 0 0 1 3 5 9 12 14 15 14 11 8 4 2 1 0 0
Texas A&M 9 - 9 21 - 11 0 0 0 1 2 4 7 10 13 14 14 13 10 7 4 2 1 0 0
Arkansas 9 - 9 20 - 12 0 0 0 1 2 4 7 11 13 15 15 12 9 6 3 1 0 0 0
Auburn 9 - 9 19 - 11 0 0 1 3 5 8 11 14 15 14 12 8 5 3 1 0 0
Kentucky 9 - 9 20 - 12 0 0 0 1 2 5 8 12 14 15 14 11 8 5 3 1 0 0 0
Missouri 9 - 9 18 - 14 0 0 1 1 3 5 9 12 14 15 14 11 8 4 2 1 0 0 0
LSU 9 - 9 20 - 12 0 0 0 1 3 6 9 12 14 15 13 11 7 4 2 1 0 0 0
Mississippi 8 - 10 18 - 12 0 0 1 2 5 7 11 13 14 14 12 9 6 3 2 1 0 0
Georgia 8 - 10 19 - 13 0 0 1 3 6 8 12 14 14 14 11 8 5 2 1 0 0 0
Oklahoma 7 - 11 17 - 15 0 1 2 4 8 11 14 15 14 12 9 5 3 2 1 0 0 0
Mississippi St. 7 - 11 17 - 14 0 1 2 5 9 12 14 15 14 11 7 5 3 1 1 0 0 0
South Carolina 5 - 13 15 - 17 1 4 8 13 16 16 14 11 8 4 3 1 1 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Florida 99% 20% 99% 1 Likely In 35 22 15 10 6 4 3 2 1 1 1 1
Texas 94% 14% 93% 2 Likely In 14 17 13 12 9 8 6 4 3 4 5 6
Tennessee 90% 10% 89% 3 Likely In 11 13 12 11 10 8 7 5 4 5 6 1 10
Vanderbilt 87% 8% 86% 5 Likely In 5 9 9 10 9 9 8 7 5 7 8 1 13
Alabama 91% 10% 90% 3 Likely In 13 11 12 11 10 8 6 5 4 4 5 9
Arkansas 79% 5% 77% 6 Bubble - In 3 5 6 7 8 8 8 7 6 9 10 1 21
Texas A&M 83% 7% 81% 6 Likely In 5 7 8 8 9 8 8 7 5 8 9 1 17
Auburn 75% 5% 74% 7 Bubble - In 3 3 6 7 8 8 7 7 6 8 11 2 25
Kentucky 76% 5% 75% 7 Bubble - In 2 4 6 7 8 8 7 7 6 9 11 1 24
LSU 75% 5% 74% 7 Bubble - In 3 4 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 9 11 2 25
Missouri 65% 4% 63% 10 Bubble - In 2 3 4 5 7 6 6 6 5 9 10 1 35
Mississippi 62% 3% 61% 11 Bubble - In 1 2 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 8 14 3 38
Georgia 54% 2% 52% 11 Bubble - In 1 1 2 2 4 4 5 5 6 8 13 3 46
Oklahoma 41% 2% 40% Bubble - Out 1 1 2 3 3 3 4 5 7 11 2 59
Mississippi St. 39% 1% 38% Bubble - Out 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 6 11 2 61
South Carolina 12% 0% 12% Likely Out 1 1 1 2 5 1 88

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 11.2 0 1 6 20 32 27 11 2
1st Round 100% 10.1 0 0 0 1 8 22 31 25 10 2 0
2nd Round 100% 7.0 0 1 3 11 22 28 22 11 3 1 0
Sweet Sixteen 100% 3.8 0 3 13 27 28 19 7 2 0 0
Elite Eight 92% 1.9 8 28 35 21 7 1 0
Final Four 70% 1.0 30 45 20 4 0
Final Game 44% 0.5 56 39 5
Champion 25% 0.3 75 25

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Florida 99% 1% 99% 89% 58% 35% 20% 11% 6%
Texas 94% 7% 91% 73% 45% 25% 14% 8% 4%
Tennessee 90% 10% 86% 65% 38% 21% 11% 6% 3%
Vanderbilt 87% 15% 80% 57% 31% 16% 8% 4% 2%
Alabama 91% 7% 88% 67% 38% 20% 10% 5% 3%
Arkansas 79% 18% 70% 46% 23% 11% 5% 2% 1%
Texas A&M 83% 15% 75% 53% 28% 14% 7% 3% 2%
Auburn 75% 18% 67% 42% 20% 9% 4% 2% 1%
Kentucky 76% 17% 67% 43% 21% 9% 4% 2% 1%
LSU 75% 18% 66% 41% 20% 9% 4% 2% 1%
Missouri 65% 17% 57% 36% 17% 8% 4% 2% 1%
Mississippi 62% 21% 52% 30% 13% 6% 2% 1% 1%
Georgia 54% 20% 43% 23% 10% 4% 2% 1%
Oklahoma 41% 17% 33% 17% 8% 3% 1% 1%
Mississippi St. 39% 16% 30% 15% 6% 2% 1%
South Carolina 12% 7% 8% 4% 1%