Preseason Rankings
Southeastern
2026-27


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Florida 99%   1   Likely In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +22.5 2 A+ +12 3 A+ +10 4 0 1 0 1
Texas 90%   4   Likely In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +17.4 11 A +10 5 A- +7 14 0 1 0 1
Tennessee 91%   3   Likely In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +16.7 17 A +9 9 A- +7 16 0 1 0 1
Alabama 90%   4   Likely In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +16.2 19 A +10 6 A- +6 24 0 1 0 1
Arkansas 82%   6   Likely In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +16.1 20 A- +9 19 A- +7 18 0 1 0 1
Kentucky 81%   6   Bubble - In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +15.2 21 A +9 15 B+ +6 29 0 1 0 1
Vanderbilt 80%   6   Bubble - In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +15.1 22 A- +8 32 A- +7 17 0 1 0 1
Texas A&M 76%   7   Bubble - In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +14.0 28 A- +8 25 B+ +6 37 0 1 0 1
Auburn 72%   9   Bubble - In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +13.9 29 A- +9 20 B+ +5 47 0 1 0 1
Oklahoma 67%   10   Bubble - In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +13.5 31 A- +8 26 B+ +5 48 0 1 0 1
LSU 65%   10   Bubble - In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +12.5 38 B+ +7 38 B+ +5 44 0 1 0 1
Missouri 64%   9   Bubble - In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +12.4 39 B+ +7 37 B+ +5 50 0 1 0 1
Georgia 56%   11   Bubble - In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +12.0 42 A- +8 35 B +4 64 0 1 0 1
Mississippi 49%   Bubble - Out 0 - 0 0 - 0 +10.7 53 B +5 64 B+ +6 31 0 1 0 1
Mississippi St. 31%   Bubble - Out 0 - 0 0 - 0 +8.0 70 B +5 65 B- +3 83 0 1 0 1
South Carolina 13%   Likely Out 0 - 0 0 - 0 +5.8 90 B- +3 89 B- +3 91 0 1 0 1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Florida 3 35% 22% 9% 4% 35 18 12 9 6 5 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 0 0 0
Tennessee 5 16% 9% 5% 2% 16 13 11 9 9 7 7 6 5 4 4 3 2 2 1 1
Alabama 5 14% 8% 4% 2% 14 13 11 10 8 8 7 6 5 4 4 3 2 2 1 1
Texas 6 14% 8% 4% 2% 14 12 10 10 9 8 6 6 5 5 4 4 3 2 2 1
Arkansas 7 8% 4% 2% 2% 8 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 5 5 4 4 3 1
Kentucky 7 8% 4% 2% 2% 8 8 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 5 5 4 4 3 2
Vanderbilt 7 8% 4% 2% 1% 8 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 4 3 2
Texas A&M 7 7% 4% 2% 1% 7 8 7 8 7 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 4 2
Auburn 8 5% 3% 2% 1% 5 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 4 2
Oklahoma 8 4% 2% 1% 1% 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 8 7 7 7 6 6 5 3
Missouri 9 4% 2% 1% 1% 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 7 7 7 6 5 4
LSU 9 4% 2% 1% 1% 4 5 5 5 7 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 7 6 4
Georgia 9 3% 1% 1% 1% 3 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 7 7 5
Mississippi 10 2% 1% 1% 1% 2 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 7 8 8 8 9 8 9 7
Mississippi St. 11 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 1 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 7 7 9 10 12 12 13
South Carolina 13 0% 0% 0% 0% 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 5 6 7 10 12 18 28

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Florida 12 - 6 23 - 7 0 0 0 1 2 3 6 10 14 17 16 14 9 5 2 0
Tennessee 11 - 7 21 - 9 0 0 0 1 2 4 6 9 12 15 15 14 11 8 4 2 0 0
Alabama 11 - 7 20 - 10 0 0 0 1 2 3 6 9 12 15 15 14 10 7 3 1 0 0
Texas 10 - 8 21 - 10 0 0 0 1 2 4 7 10 12 14 15 13 10 6 4 1 0 0
Arkansas 10 - 8 21 - 11 0 0 1 2 4 6 9 13 15 14 13 11 7 4 2 1 0 0
Kentucky 10 - 8 21 - 11 0 0 1 2 3 6 10 12 15 15 13 10 7 4 2 1 0 0
Vanderbilt 9 - 9 22 - 10 0 0 0 1 2 4 7 10 12 15 15 13 10 7 4 2 0 0 0
Texas A&M 9 - 9 21 - 11 0 0 0 1 3 5 8 10 13 14 14 12 9 6 4 1 0 0 0
Auburn 9 - 9 19 - 11 0 0 0 1 3 5 8 11 14 14 14 12 8 5 2 1 0 0
Oklahoma 9 - 9 20 - 12 0 0 1 2 3 6 10 12 15 15 13 10 6 4 2 1 0 0 0
Missouri 9 - 9 19 - 13 0 0 1 2 4 6 10 13 15 14 13 9 7 4 2 1 0 0 0
LSU 8 - 10 19 - 13 0 0 1 2 4 8 11 13 14 14 12 9 6 4 2 1 0 0
Georgia 8 - 10 19 - 13 0 0 1 2 5 8 11 14 15 14 12 8 5 3 1 1 0 0
Mississippi 8 - 10 17 - 13 0 0 1 3 7 9 13 15 14 12 10 7 4 2 1 0 0 0
Mississippi St. 7 - 11 16 - 15 0 1 3 6 9 13 15 14 13 10 7 4 2 1 0 0 0
South Carolina 5 - 13 15 - 17 1 3 7 12 15 16 15 12 8 5 3 2 1 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Florida 99% 19% 98% 1 Likely In 30 21 15 10 7 5 4 2 2 1 1 1
Texas 90% 10% 88% 4 Likely In 10 13 11 9 9 8 7 6 4 6 6 1 10
Tennessee 91% 12% 90% 3 Likely In 13 13 12 10 9 8 6 5 4 5 5 9
Alabama 90% 10% 89% 4 Likely In 13 11 12 11 9 8 7 5 5 5 5 10
Arkansas 82% 6% 81% 6 Likely In 5 6 8 8 9 8 7 7 5 8 10 1 18
Kentucky 81% 6% 80% 6 Bubble - In 5 6 8 8 8 8 7 7 5 8 10 1 19
Vanderbilt 80% 8% 78% 6 Bubble - In 5 7 8 7 8 8 7 7 5 8 9 1 20
Texas A&M 76% 6% 75% 7 Bubble - In 4 6 6 7 8 7 7 7 5 8 10 1 24
Auburn 72% 4% 70% 9 Bubble - In 3 3 5 6 7 7 7 6 6 8 12 1 28
Oklahoma 67% 4% 65% 10 Bubble - In 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 7 6 8 12 2 33
LSU 65% 3% 63% 10 Bubble - In 2 2 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 8 12 2 35
Missouri 64% 4% 63% 9 Bubble - In 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 5 9 11 1 36
Georgia 56% 3% 55% 11 Bubble - In 1 1 2 3 4 5 5 6 5 8 13 2 44
Mississippi 49% 2% 47% Bubble - Out 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 5 7 13 3 51
Mississippi St. 31% 1% 30% Bubble - Out 1 1 2 2 2 3 4 5 9 2 69
South Carolina 13% 0% 13% Likely Out 1 1 1 1 3 5 1 87

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 11.0 0 2 8 22 32 26 9 1
1st Round 100% 9.9 0 0 0 2 10 23 31 23 8 2 0
2nd Round 100% 6.8 0 1 5 13 24 26 20 9 2 1 0 0
Sweet Sixteen 100% 3.6 0 4 15 28 28 17 6 1 0 0
Elite Eight 91% 1.9 9 29 36 19 6 1 0 0
Final Four 68% 0.9 32 46 19 3 0
Final Game 42% 0.5 58 37 5
Champion 23% 0.2 77 23

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Florida 99% 2% 98% 84% 54% 32% 18% 10% 5%
Texas 90% 11% 85% 64% 37% 20% 11% 6% 3%
Tennessee 91% 9% 87% 67% 40% 22% 12% 6% 3%
Alabama 90% 8% 86% 65% 36% 19% 10% 5% 3%
Arkansas 82% 16% 74% 50% 26% 13% 6% 3% 1%
Kentucky 81% 16% 73% 49% 26% 13% 6% 3% 2%
Vanderbilt 80% 16% 73% 50% 26% 13% 7% 3% 1%
Texas A&M 76% 17% 68% 45% 24% 11% 5% 2% 1%
Auburn 72% 18% 63% 39% 19% 9% 4% 2% 1%
Oklahoma 67% 19% 58% 36% 16% 8% 4% 2% 1%
LSU 65% 18% 56% 33% 15% 7% 3% 1% 1%
Missouri 64% 17% 56% 35% 17% 8% 4% 1% 1%
Georgia 56% 20% 46% 26% 11% 5% 2% 1%
Mississippi 49% 19% 39% 21% 9% 4% 1% 1%
Mississippi St. 31% 13% 24% 12% 4% 2% 1%
South Carolina 13% 7% 9% 4% 1% 1%