Southwestern Athletic
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28
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Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Bethune-Cookman 28%   16   Negligible 0 - 3 0 - 0 -2.9 197 C- -2 222 C- -1 187 -5 274 0 1
Jackson St. 14%   Negligible 1 - 1 0 - 0 -6.7 278 D+ -4 275 D+ -3 275 +10 34 0 1
Alabama St. 9%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -7.9 297 D+ -4 294 D+ -3 290 +6 110 0 1
Prairie View 12%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -8.2 301 D -5 301 D+ -3 291 -15 334 0 1
Alabama A&M 0%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.5 309 D -5 298 D -4 304 0 199 0 1
Southern 11%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -8.8 315 D -6 324 D+ -3 281 +1 179 0 1
Grambling St. 8%   Negligible 1 - 0 0 - 0 -9.1 319 D -5 307 D -4 309 +9 50 0 1
Florida A&M 4%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -10.6 331 D -6 327 D -4 316 -2 241 0 1
Texas Southern 6%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -10.8 334 D- -8 351 D+ -3 285 +3 156 0 1
Alcorn St. 5%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -12.2 349 D -6 319 F+ -7 360 -13 325 0 1
Arkansas Pine Bluff 2%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -15.8 363 F+ -9 358 F+ -7 362 +5 119 0 1
Mississippi Valley St. 2%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -20.4 365 F -12 365 F -8 364 +1 187 0 1


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Competitiveness
Thu, Nov 5 197 Bethune-Cookman 58 14 Texas Tech 76   
278 Jackson St. 87 188 Tulane 85   
349 Alcorn St. 83 168 Howard 94   
Fri, Nov 6 315 Southern 54 33 TCU 106   
30 LSU 92 334 Texas Southern 51   
363 Arkansas Pine Bluff 53 31 Baylor 109   
365 Mississippi Valley 57 56 Oklahoma 84   
Sat, Nov 7 197 Bethune-Cookman 81 48 Grand Canyon 99   
301 Prairie View 63 258 UT Rio Grande Valley 68   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Competitiveness
Sun, Nov 8 134 Drake 79 315 Southern 66 89%   
Mon, Nov 9 319 Grambling St. 56 9 Texas 87 99%   
278 Jackson St. 67 67 Mississippi St. 87 95%   
309 Alabama A&M 57 74 DePaul 77 96%   
331 Florida A&M 67 153 UAB 81 89%   
365 Mississippi Valley 54 77 Washington 86 99%   
Tue, Nov 10 23 Iowa St. 86 315 Southern 58 99%   
301 Prairie View 69 65 SMU 90 96%   
349 Alcorn St. 69 83 Murray St. 91 97%   
Wed, Nov 11 197 Bethune-Cookman 66 64 San Diego St. 82 92%   
363 Arkansas Pine Bluff 56 13 UCLA 93 100%   
365 Mississippi Valley 52 55 Oregon 86 100%   
278 Jackson St. 72 237 Southern Miss 77 69%   
331 Florida A&M 74 268 UMKC 78 67%   
Thu, Nov 12 57 Minnesota 78 315 Southern 55 97%   
309 Alabama A&M 72 357 West Florida 64 78%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Bethune-Cookman 3 33% 21% 9% 4% 33 20 14 10 7 5 4 3 2 1 1 0
Prairie View 4 20% 12% 6% 3% 20 15 13 11 9 8 7 5 4 4 2 1
Southern 5 16% 9% 4% 2% 16 13 12 11 9 9 8 7 6 4 3 2
Alabama A&M 5 16% 10% 4% 2% 16 12 12 10 9 9 8 7 6 5 4 3
Jackson St. 5 12% 6% 4% 2% 12 13 13 12 11 10 8 7 5 5 3 2
Alabama St. 6 9% 4% 3% 2% 9 9 10 11 10 10 10 8 8 7 5 4
Grambling St. 6 9% 5% 3% 2% 9 9 10 9 9 10 9 8 8 7 6 5
Alcorn St. 6 8% 4% 2% 1% 8 8 9 9 10 10 9 9 8 8 6 5
Texas Southern 7 5% 2% 2% 1% 5 6 8 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 9 7
Florida A&M 8 3% 1% 1% 1% 3 4 5 7 7 8 10 10 11 12 12 10
Mississippi Valley St. 8 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 12 13 14 15
Arkansas Pine Bluff 9 1% 1% 0% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 9 11 13 15 20

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Bethune-Cookman 11 - 5 14 - 17 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 7 11 15 18 17 14 8 3 1
Prairie View 10 - 7 11 - 17 0 0 0 1 3 5 8 12 14 15 14 11 8 4 2 1 0
Southern 9 - 8 10 - 19 0 0 0 1 2 4 7 10 13 15 15 13 10 6 3 1 0 0
Alabama A&M 9 - 9 12 - 16 0 0 0 1 3 5 8 10 13 14 13 11 9 6 4 2 1 0 0
Jackson St. 9 - 7 13 - 19 0 0 1 2 4 7 11 14 16 16 13 9 5 2 1 0
Alabama St. 9 - 7 12 - 17 0 0 1 2 3 6 10 13 15 16 13 10 7 4 1 0 0
Grambling St. 8 - 9 12 - 17 0 0 1 2 4 7 11 13 14 14 13 9 6 4 2 1 0 0
Alcorn St. 8 - 10 9 - 23 0 0 1 2 4 7 11 14 15 14 12 9 6 3 2 0 0 0
Texas Southern 8 - 8 10 - 20 0 0 1 3 6 10 14 15 15 14 10 7 4 2 1 0 0
Florida A&M 7 - 9 10 - 20 0 1 2 4 8 13 15 16 14 11 7 5 2 1 0 0 0
Mississippi Valley St. 7 - 11 7 - 25 0 1 2 6 11 14 16 16 13 9 6 3 1 1 0 0 0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 6 - 11 7 - 23 0 1 4 8 12 16 16 14 11 8 5 3 1 0 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Bethune-Cookman 28% 28% 0% 16 Negligible 2 9 16 72
Jackson St. 14% 14% 0% Negligible 3 11 86
Alabama St. 9% 9% 0% Negligible 1 8 91
Prairie View 12% 12% 0% Negligible 1 11 88
Alabama A&M 0% 0% 0% Negligible 100
Southern 11% 11% 0% Negligible 1 9 89
Grambling St. 8% 8% 0% Negligible 1 7 92
Florida A&M 4% 4% 0% Negligible 4 96
Texas Southern 6% 6% 0% Negligible 6 94
Alcorn St. 5% 5% 0% Negligible 4 95
Arkansas Pine Bluff 2% 2% 0% Negligible 2 98
Mississippi Valley St. 2% 2% 0% Negligible 2 98

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100
1st Round 53% 0.5 47 53
2nd Round 2% 0.0 98 2
Sweet Sixteen 0% 0.0 100 0
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Bethune-Cookman 28% 24% 17% 1%
Jackson St. 14% 14% 7%
Alabama St. 9% 9% 5%
Prairie View 12% 12% 7%
Alabama A&M
Southern 11% 10% 5%
Grambling St. 8% 8% 3%
Florida A&M 4% 4% 2%
Texas Southern 6% 6% 3%
Alcorn St. 5% 5% 2%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 2% 2% 1%
Mississippi Valley St. 2% 2% 1%