Preseason Rankings
Southwestern Athletic
2026-27


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Bethune-Cookman 26%   16   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.6 200 C- -2 230 C -1 180 0 1 0 1
Alabama St. 9%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.8 302 D+ -4 294 D -4 300 0 1 0 1
Southern 13%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.9 304 D -5 331 D+ -3 262 0 1 0 1
Alabama A&M 8%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.0 306 D -4 297 D -4 305 0 1 0 1
Prairie View 10%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.2 309 D -5 311 D -4 299 0 1 0 1
Jackson St. 8%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.8 319 D -5 315 D -4 315 0 1 0 1
Florida A&M 6%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -9.2 326 D -6 335 D -3 298 0 1 0 1
Texas Southern 7%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -9.9 333 D- -7 347 D+ -3 279 0 1 0 1
Grambling St. 5%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -10.0 334 D- -7 354 D+ -3 263 0 1 0 1
Alcorn St. 5%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -11.2 347 D- -6 339 D- -5 340 0 1 0 1
Arkansas Pine Bluff 2%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -14.7 362 F+ -8 360 F+ -7 360 0 1 0 1
Mississippi Valley St. 1%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -21.0 365 F -13 365 F -8 365 0 1 0 1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Bethune-Cookman 4 25% 14% 7% 3% 25 19 15 11 9 6 5 4 3 2 1 1
Southern 4 23% 14% 6% 3% 23 16 12 10 9 7 6 5 4 4 2 2
Prairie View 4 20% 12% 5% 3% 20 15 13 10 9 8 6 6 5 4 3 2
Alabama A&M 5 18% 11% 5% 2% 18 12 11 10 9 8 7 7 6 5 4 3
Alabama St. 6 10% 5% 3% 2% 10 11 10 10 10 9 8 8 8 7 5 4
Texas Southern 6 8% 4% 3% 2% 8 9 9 10 10 9 10 9 8 7 6 5
Jackson St. 6 7% 3% 2% 2% 7 9 10 10 10 9 10 8 8 7 6 5
Alcorn St. 6 6% 3% 2% 1% 6 8 9 9 10 10 9 9 9 8 7 5
Grambling St. 7 7% 4% 2% 1% 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 7
Florida A&M 7 5% 2% 2% 1% 5 6 7 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 9 7
Arkansas Pine Bluff 8 3% 1% 1% 1% 3 4 5 6 8 8 9 10 11 12 12 13
Mississippi Valley St. 9 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 9 12 14 17 21

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Bethune-Cookman 10 - 5 14 - 16 0 0 0 1 2 3 6 10 14 17 17 15 9 4 1
Southern 10 - 7 11 - 18 0 0 1 2 3 6 8 12 14 14 14 11 8 5 2 1 0
Prairie View 10 - 7 11 - 17 0 0 0 1 2 4 7 9 12 14 15 13 11 7 4 2 0 0
Alabama A&M 9 - 9 12 - 16 0 0 0 1 3 5 8 11 13 13 13 12 9 6 3 2 1 0
Alabama St. 8 - 8 12 - 17 0 0 1 2 4 6 10 13 15 15 13 10 7 3 1 0 0
Texas Southern 8 - 8 10 - 19 0 0 1 2 4 8 11 14 15 15 12 8 5 3 1 0 0
Jackson St. 8 - 8 11 - 21 0 0 1 2 4 8 12 14 16 14 12 9 5 2 1 0 0
Alcorn St. 8 - 8 9 - 21 0 0 1 2 5 9 12 15 15 14 12 8 4 2 1 0 0
Grambling St. 8 - 9 11 - 18 0 0 1 3 6 9 13 14 14 13 11 7 4 2 1 0 0
Florida A&M 8 - 8 11 - 19 0 0 1 3 7 10 14 15 15 13 10 6 4 1 0 0 0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 7 - 10 8 - 21 0 1 3 6 9 14 15 15 14 10 7 4 2 1 0 0 0
Mississippi Valley St. 6 - 11 6 - 25 0 2 5 9 14 17 17 14 10 6 3 2 1 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Bethune-Cookman 26% 26% 0% 16 Negligible 1 3 9 12 74
Alabama St. 9% 9% 0% Negligible 1 8 91
Southern 13% 13% 0% Negligible 2 11 87
Alabama A&M 8% 8% 0% Negligible 1 8 92
Prairie View 10% 10% 0% Negligible 1 9 90
Jackson St. 8% 8% 0% Negligible 1 7 92
Florida A&M 6% 6% 0% Negligible 5 94
Texas Southern 7% 7% 0% Negligible 7 93
Grambling St. 5% 5% 0% Negligible 5 95
Alcorn St. 5% 5% 0% Negligible 5 95
Arkansas Pine Bluff 2% 2% 0% Negligible 2 98
Mississippi Valley St. 1% 1% 0% Negligible 1 99

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100
1st Round 55% 0.5 45 55
2nd Round 2% 0.0 98 2
Sweet Sixteen 0% 0.0 100 0
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Bethune-Cookman 26% 19% 17% 1%
Alabama St. 9% 9% 5%
Southern 13% 12% 7%
Alabama A&M 8% 8% 4%
Prairie View 10% 10% 5%
Jackson St. 8% 8% 4%
Florida A&M 6% 6% 3%
Texas Southern 7% 7% 4%
Grambling St. 5% 5% 3%
Alcorn St. 5% 5% 2%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 2% 2% 1%
Mississippi Valley St. 1% 1%