Preseason Rankings
Mid-American
2026-27


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Akron 19%   Likely Out 0 - 0 0 - 0 +4.3 103 C+ +2 105 B- +2 100 0 1 0 1
Miami (OH) 21%   13   Likely Out 0 - 0 0 - 0 +3.5 108 B- +3 99 C+ +1 135 0 1 0 1
Kent St. 13%   Likely Out 0 - 0 0 - 0 +1.9 127 C +1 139 C+ +1 115 0 1 0 1
Toledo 10%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 +0.3 149 C+ +1 126 C- -1 193 0 1 0 1
Ohio 8%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.3 160 C+ +2 114 D+ -2 247 0 1 0 1
Massachusetts 6%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.8 163 C- -1 197 C +0 146 0 1 0 1
Western Michigan 7%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.9 166 C+ +2 106 D+ -3 281 0 1 0 1
Bowling Green 4%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -1.7 182 C +0 166 C- -1 213 0 1 0 1
Eastern Michigan 6%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -1.8 185 C- -2 216 C +0 163 0 1 0 1
Buffalo 5%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.0 191 C +0 158 C- -2 236 0 1 0 1
Ball St. 3%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.6 223 C- -2 226 C- -2 226 0 1 0 1
Central Michigan 2%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.7 248 C- -2 241 D+ -2 258 0 1 0 1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Miami (OH) 3 30% 21% 7% 2% 30 19 13 10 8 6 5 4 3 2 1 1
Akron 4 25% 16% 7% 2% 25 19 15 11 8 7 5 4 3 2 1 1
Kent St. 4 19% 13% 5% 2% 19 15 13 11 9 8 7 5 4 3 2 2
Toledo 5 12% 8% 3% 1% 12 12 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3
Ohio 6 10% 6% 3% 1% 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 8 7 7 6 4
Western Michigan 6 9% 5% 3% 1% 9 9 9 10 9 9 10 9 8 7 6 5
Eastern Michigan 7 6% 3% 2% 1% 6 7 8 8 9 9 10 9 9 9 9 7
Massachusetts 7 5% 2% 2% 1% 5 7 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 9 8 6
Buffalo 7 4% 2% 1% 1% 4 6 7 8 9 9 10 9 11 10 10 8
Bowling Green 8 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 4 5 7 8 9 11 11 11 11 11 10
Ball St. 8 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Central Michigan 9 1% 1% 0% 0% 1 2 3 5 5 7 8 9 11 13 16 19

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0
Miami (OH) 14 - 8 18 - 11 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 4 6 8 9 12 12 13 11 8 6 4 2 1 0
Akron 13 - 8 18 - 9 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 4 7 9 11 12 14 13 11 8 5 2 1 0
Kent St. 13 - 9 16 - 11 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 5 6 9 10 11 11 12 10 8 6 4 2 1 0 0
Toledo 12 - 10 16 - 15 0 0 0 1 2 3 4 6 9 10 11 12 11 10 8 6 4 2 1 0 0 0
Ohio 11 - 11 15 - 14 0 0 1 1 2 4 6 8 9 11 11 12 10 8 7 5 3 2 1 0 0 0
Western Michigan 11 - 11 14 - 14 0 0 1 1 3 4 6 9 10 12 11 11 10 8 6 4 3 1 0 0 0
Eastern Michigan 10 - 12 13 - 15 0 0 0 1 2 4 6 8 10 11 12 11 10 8 6 4 3 1 1 0 0 0 0
Massachusetts 10 - 11 15 - 14 0 0 0 1 2 4 6 8 10 12 12 12 11 8 6 4 2 1 1 0 0
Buffalo 10 - 12 13 - 16 0 0 0 1 3 5 7 9 11 11 12 10 10 7 6 4 2 1 0 0 0 0
Bowling Green 9 - 11 13 - 14 0 0 1 2 3 5 8 10 12 13 13 11 8 6 4 2 1 0 0 0 0
Ball St. 9 - 13 11 - 17 0 0 1 2 5 7 10 11 13 12 11 9 7 5 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
Central Michigan 8 - 14 10 - 19 0 0 2 4 6 9 11 12 12 12 10 8 6 4 2 1 1 0 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Akron 19% 18% 2% Likely Out 1 4 8 4 1 81
Miami (OH) 21% 19% 2% 13 Likely Out 1 5 8 4 1 79
Kent St. 13% 13% 1% Likely Out 2 5 4 2 87
Toledo 10% 10% 0% Negligible 1 4 3 2 90
Ohio 8% 8% 0% Negligible 1 3 3 2 92
Massachusetts 6% 6% 0% Negligible 0 2 2 1 94
Western Michigan 7% 7% 0% Negligible 1 2 2 2 93
Bowling Green 4% 4% 0% Negligible 0 1 1 1 96
Eastern Michigan 6% 5% 0% Negligible 0 1 2 2 0 94
Buffalo 5% 5% 0% Negligible 0 1 1 2 0 95
Ball St. 3% 3% 0% Negligible 0 1 1 0 97
Central Michigan 2% 2% 0% Negligible 0 0 1 0 98

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 96 4 0
1st Round 95% 1.0 5 93 2 0
2nd Round 17% 0.2 83 17 0
Sweet Sixteen 4% 0.0 96 4
Elite Eight 1% 0.0 99 1
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100 0
Champion 0% 0.0 100 0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Akron 19% 1% 19% 4% 1%
Miami (OH) 21% 1% 20% 4% 1%
Kent St. 13% 1% 13% 2% 1%
Toledo 10% 1% 9% 1%
Ohio 8% 1% 8% 1%
Massachusetts 6% 1% 6% 1%
Western Michigan 7% 1% 7% 1%
Bowling Green 4% 1% 4% 1%
Eastern Michigan 6% 1% 5% 1%
Buffalo 5% 1% 4%
Ball St. 3% 1% 2%
Central Michigan 2% 1% 2%