Preseason Rankings
Mid-Eastern
2026-27


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Howard 53%   16   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.8 164 C -1 181 C +0 162 0 1 0 1
Norfolk St. 16%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.3 310 D -5 320 D+ -3 284 0 1 0 1
Morgan St. 6%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12.3 355 D -5 333 F+ -7 364 0 1 0 1
Coppin St. 7%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -13.2 357 F+ -8 361 D- -5 337 0 1 0 1
South Carolina St. 5%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -13.4 358 F+ -8 359 D- -5 345 0 1 0 1
NC Central 6%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -13.9 359 F+ -7 355 F+ -6 358 0 1 0 1
Delaware St. 4%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -14.0 360 F+ -9 362 D- -5 346 0 1 0 1
MD Eastern Shore 3%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -18.8 364 F -12 364 F+ -7 362 0 1 0 1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Howard 1 77% 65% 10% 2% 77 15 5 2 1 0 0 0
Norfolk St. 3 18% 11% 6% 1% 18 33 18 11 8 5 4 2
Coppin St. 4 6% 3% 2% 1% 6 16 18 16 14 12 10 7
NC Central 4 5% 3% 2% 1% 5 15 16 17 15 13 11 8
Morgan St. 5 4% 2% 1% 1% 4 12 16 16 16 14 12 10
South Carolina St. 5 3% 1% 1% 1% 3 10 13 16 16 16 15 12
Delaware St. 5 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 8 12 13 15 15 16 18
MD Eastern Shore 5 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 7 11 13 15 16 17 18

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Howard 11 - 3 18 - 8 0 0 0 0 1 3 5 9 15 21 22 16 7
Norfolk St. 8 - 6 11 - 17 0 0 0 1 3 6 10 14 17 17 14 9 5 2 0
Coppin St. 7 - 7 9 - 22 0 1 2 5 9 14 17 17 15 10 6 3 1 0 0
NC Central 6 - 8 8 - 18 0 1 2 6 11 14 18 17 14 9 5 2 1 0 0
Morgan St. 6 - 7 9 - 17 0 1 3 7 11 16 18 17 13 7 3 1 0 0
South Carolina St. 6 - 7 8 - 18 0 1 4 9 14 17 19 15 11 6 3 1 0 0
Delaware St. 5 - 9 8 - 18 0 2 6 11 15 18 17 14 9 5 2 1 0 0 0
MD Eastern Shore 5 - 9 7 - 22 0 2 6 11 17 18 17 13 9 4 2 1 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Howard 53% 53% 0% 16 Negligible 1 4 15 32 47
Norfolk St. 16% 16% 0% Negligible 15 84
Morgan St. 6% 6% 0% Negligible 6 94
Coppin St. 7% 7% 0% Negligible 7 93
South Carolina St. 5% 5% 0% Negligible 5 95
NC Central 6% 6% 0% Negligible 6 94
Delaware St. 4% 4% 0% Negligible 4 96
MD Eastern Shore 3% 3% 0% Negligible 3 97

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100
1st Round 54% 0.5 46 54
2nd Round 3% 0.0 97 3
Sweet Sixteen 0% 0.0 100 0
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Howard 53% 44% 33% 3%
Norfolk St. 16% 16% 8%
Morgan St. 6% 6% 3%
Coppin St. 7% 7% 3%
South Carolina St. 5% 5% 2%
NC Central 6% 6% 3%
Delaware St. 4% 4% 2%
MD Eastern Shore 3% 3% 1%