Preseason Rankings
Unified Athletic
2026-27


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Central Arkansas 20%   15   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.9 167 C +0 164 C- -1 186 0 1 0 1
Austin Peay 17%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -1.8 184 C -1 175 C- -1 210 0 1 0 1
Tarleton St. 18%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.3 196 C- -2 219 C -1 183 0 1 0 1
Texas Arlington 14%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.3 218 D+ -3 270 C +0 160 0 1 0 1
Arkansas Little Rock 11%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.0 233 C- -2 232 C- -2 237 0 1 0 1
Abilene Christian 7%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.7 249 D -4 298 C +0 172 0 1 0 1
Eastern Kentucky 5%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.1 289 D+ -3 263 D -4 323 0 1 0 1
North Alabama 4%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.0 305 D -4 301 D -4 301 0 1 0 1
West Georgia 4%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.5 315 D -5 323 D+ -3 287 0 1 0 1
West Florida 0%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -14.1 361 F+ -8 358 F+ -6 357 0 1 0 1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Tarleton St. 3 27% 18% 7% 2% 27 19 15 11 9 7 6 4 2 0
Austin Peay 3 27% 18% 7% 2% 27 19 14 11 9 7 6 4 3 0
Central Arkansas 3 25% 16% 7% 2% 25 19 15 12 9 8 6 4 2 0
Texas Arlington 4 14% 8% 4% 2% 14 14 14 13 11 10 10 8 5 0
Arkansas Little Rock 5 11% 6% 4% 2% 11 12 13 13 13 12 10 9 7 0
Abilene Christian 5 7% 4% 2% 1% 7 9 11 11 12 13 12 13 12 0
North Alabama 6 5% 3% 2% 1% 5 8 9 11 12 13 14 14 13 1
Eastern Kentucky 6 6% 3% 2% 1% 6 8 9 11 12 12 14 14 14 1
West Georgia 6 5% 2% 1% 1% 5 7 9 10 12 13 15 16 14 1
West Florida 10 0 0 1 10 89

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Tarleton St. 10 - 7 15 - 13 0 0 1 1 3 5 8 11 13 15 14 12 9 5 3 1
Austin Peay 10 - 7 15 - 13 0 0 0 1 1 3 5 8 11 13 14 14 12 9 5 3 1
Central Arkansas 10 - 6 15 - 13 0 0 0 1 3 5 9 11 14 15 15 12 8 4 2 0
Texas Arlington 9 - 7 13 - 13 0 0 1 2 3 6 9 12 14 15 14 11 8 4 2 1 0
Arkansas Little Rock 8 - 8 14 - 16 0 0 1 2 4 7 10 13 15 15 12 9 6 3 1 0 0
Abilene Christian 8 - 8 13 - 15 0 0 2 4 6 10 13 15 14 13 10 7 4 2 1 0 0
North Alabama 7 - 10 10 - 18 0 1 2 4 8 11 14 15 14 11 9 6 3 1 1 0 0
Eastern Kentucky 7 - 10 11 - 17 0 1 2 5 8 11 14 14 14 12 9 6 3 2 1 0 0
West Georgia 7 - 10 11 - 18 0 1 2 4 8 12 15 15 14 11 8 5 3 1 0 0 0
West Florida 1 - 4 7 - 22 24 38 26 10 2 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Central Arkansas 20% 20% 0% 15 Negligible 2 5 9 3 80
Austin Peay 17% 17% 0% Negligible 1 4 8 4 83
Tarleton St. 18% 18% 0% Negligible 1 3 9 5 82
Texas Arlington 14% 14% 0% Negligible 1 2 6 4 86
Arkansas Little Rock 11% 11% 0% Negligible 1 5 4 89
Abilene Christian 7% 7% 0% Negligible 1 3 4 93
Eastern Kentucky 5% 5% 0% Negligible 1 3 95
North Alabama 4% 4% 0% Negligible 1 3 96
West Georgia 4% 4% 0% Negligible 1 3 96
West Florida 0% 0% 0% Negligible 100

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100 0
1st Round 67% 0.7 33 67 0
2nd Round 6% 0.1 94 6
Sweet Sixteen 1% 0.0 99 1
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Central Arkansas 20% 9% 16% 2%
Austin Peay 17% 10% 13% 1%
Tarleton St. 18% 11% 12% 1%
Texas Arlington 14% 9% 9% 1%
Arkansas Little Rock 11% 8% 7%
Abilene Christian 7% 6% 4%
Eastern Kentucky 5% 4% 2%
North Alabama 4% 4% 2%
West Georgia 4% 4% 2%
West Florida