Horizon
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28
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Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Wright St. 53%   13   Likely Out 4 - 0 0 - 0 +6.7 87 B +5 73 C+ +2 112 +13 35 0 1
Green Bay 10%   Negligible 1 - 2 0 - 0 -1.9 187 C +1 148 D+ -3 264 +2 163 0 1
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 7%   Negligible 1 - 3 0 - 0 -3.8 220 C- -2 235 C- -1 205 +2 157 0 1
Northern Illinois 6%   Negligible 1 - 2 0 - 0 -4.5 235 C+ +1 141 D- -6 344 -3 234 0 1
Robert Morris 6%   Negligible 0 - 3 0 - 0 -4.5 237 D+ -4 280 C -1 170 -3 232 0 1
Northern Kentucky 5%   Negligible 2 - 2 0 - 0 -4.8 243 C- -1 202 D+ -3 290 +7 74 0 1
Youngstown St. 6%   Negligible 1 - 2 0 - 0 -4.8 245 C- -2 218 D+ -3 265 +2 168 0 1
Oakland 5%   Negligible 0 - 5 0 - 0 -5.5 256 C -1 185 D -5 325 -1 201 0 1
Purdue Fort Wayne 2%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -7.3 290 D+ -4 288 D+ -3 266 -13 334 0 1
IU Indianapolis 2%   Negligible 2 - 0 0 - 0 -7.8 298 C- -2 234 D- -5 340 +4 139 0 1
Detroit Mercy 0%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -9.1 313 D -5 295 D -4 319 +5 115 0 1
Cleveland St. 1%   Negligible 1 - 2 0 - 0 -9.6 320 C- -2 233 F+ -7 363 -6 263 0 1


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Competitiveness
Tue, Nov 10 243 Northern Kentucky 63 32 Saint Louis 125   
147 Toledo 68 87 Wright St. 76   
313 Detroit Mercy 55 29 Xavier 100   
187 Green Bay 76 142 Northern Iowa 89   
224 Central Michigan 91 245 Youngstown St. 78   
Wed, Nov 11 31 Arkansas 76 237 Robert Morris 53   
65 Boise St. 111 256 Oakland 79   
244 Indiana St. 73 220 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 82   
298 IU Indianapolis 74 322 Southern Indiana 70   
Thu, Nov 12 290 Purdue Fort Wayne 59 134 Western Michigan 81   
Fri, Nov 13 220 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 64 52 TCU 76   
227 Samford 66 87 Wright St. 90   
320 Cleveland St. 69 351 West Florida 67   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Competitiveness
Sat, Nov 14 256 Oakland 78 142 Northern Iowa 81 60%   
186 Marshall 78 245 Youngstown St. 79 50%   
224 Central Michigan 78 243 Northern Kentucky 80 58%   
313 Detroit Mercy 70 147 Toledo 76 72%   
291 Bellarmine 76 235 Northern Illinois 75 51%   
298 IU Indianapolis 79 339 Morehead St. 78 51%   
Sun, Nov 15 326 Alabama A&M 73 320 Cleveland St. 70 60%   
358 Eastern Illinois 68 290 Purdue Fort Wayne 71 61%   
Tue, Nov 17 320 Cleveland St. 67 29 Xavier 94 99%   
187 Green Bay 72 351 West Florida 65 77%   
Wed, Nov 18 26 Marquette 87 235 Northern Illinois 65 97%   
38 Cincinnati 84 245 Youngstown St. 63 96%   
61 Arizona St. 87 256 Oakland 68 95%   
298 IU Indianapolis 76 101 Penn St. 92 92%   
313 Detroit Mercy 66 190 Eastern Michigan 76 83%   
241 Bradley 70 290 Purdue Fort Wayne 65 71%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Wright St. 1 82% 73% 8% 1% 82 11 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Green Bay 4 8% 4% 3% 1% 8 21 17 14 10 8 7 5 4 3 2 1
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 5 4% 2% 2% 1% 4 14 14 13 12 10 9 8 7 5 4 2
Robert Morris 6 4% 2% 1% 0% 4 14 13 12 11 11 9 7 7 6 4 3
Youngstown St. 6 4% 2% 1% 0% 4 14 13 12 11 11 9 8 7 5 4 2
Northern Illinois 6 3% 2% 1% 0% 3 11 12 12 11 11 9 8 7 6 5 3
Oakland 6 3% 1% 1% 0% 3 10 12 12 11 11 10 9 8 6 5 3
Northern Kentucky 6 3% 2% 1% 0% 3 10 11 11 11 11 10 9 8 7 6 3
Purdue Fort Wayne 7 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 4 7 7 9 10 11 11 11 11 10 9
IU Indianapolis 8 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 3 5 6 7 8 10 10 12 13 13 12
Detroit Mercy 9 0% 0% 0% 0% 0 2 3 5 5 7 8 10 12 14 16 18
Cleveland St. 9 0% 0% 0% 0% 0 1 3 3 5 6 7 9 11 15 18 22

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Wright St. 17 - 3 25 - 5 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 7 12 17 21 19 12 4
Green Bay 12 - 8 16 - 14 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 6 9 11 13 14 13 11 7 5 2 1 0 0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 11 - 9 13 - 18 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 7 9 12 14 14 12 10 7 4 2 1 0 0 0
Robert Morris 10 - 10 14 - 17 0 0 0 1 3 4 7 10 12 14 13 11 10 7 4 2 1 0 0 0
Youngstown St. 10 - 10 14 - 15 0 0 0 1 3 5 7 10 12 13 13 12 10 7 4 2 1 0 0
Northern Illinois 10 - 10 15 - 16 0 0 0 1 1 3 6 8 10 12 13 13 12 9 6 3 2 1 0 0 0
Oakland 10 - 10 11 - 21 0 0 1 1 3 5 8 11 13 14 13 11 8 5 3 1 0 0 0
Northern Kentucky 10 - 10 15 - 15 0 0 1 2 4 6 9 11 13 13 13 11 8 5 3 1 1 0 0 0
Purdue Fort Wayne 9 - 11 11 - 18 0 0 1 2 4 7 10 12 14 14 11 9 7 4 2 1 0 0 0 0
IU Indianapolis 8 - 12 13 - 17 0 0 1 3 6 9 12 14 14 12 10 8 5 3 1 1 0 0 0 0
Detroit Mercy 7 - 13 8 - 19 0 1 2 5 8 12 14 14 13 10 8 6 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
Cleveland St. 7 - 13 9 - 19 0 1 3 6 10 12 15 14 12 10 7 4 2 1 1 0 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Wright St. 53% 51% 3% 13 Likely Out 1 2 10 25 11 2 47
Green Bay 10% 10% 0% Negligible 1 3 5 2 90
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 7% 7% 0% Negligible 1 3 2 93
Northern Illinois 6% 6% 0% Negligible 1 3 2 94
Robert Morris 6% 6% 0% Negligible 1 3 2 94
Northern Kentucky 5% 5% 0% Negligible 1 2 2 95
Youngstown St. 6% 6% 0% Negligible 1 3 2 94
Oakland 5% 5% 0% Negligible 0 2 3 95
Purdue Fort Wayne 2% 2% 0% Negligible 1 2 98
IU Indianapolis 2% 2% 0% Negligible 1 1 98
Detroit Mercy 0% 0% 0% Negligible 100
Cleveland St. 1% 1% 0% Negligible 0 1 99

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 98 2
1st Round 83% 0.8 17 82 1
2nd Round 12% 0.1 88 12 0
Sweet Sixteen 3% 0.0 97 3
Elite Eight 1% 0.0 99 1
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100 0
Champion 0% 0.0 100 0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wright St. 53% 2% 52% 10% 3% 1%
Green Bay 10% 5% 8% 1%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 7% 4% 4%
Northern Illinois 6% 4% 4%
Robert Morris 6% 4% 3%
Northern Kentucky 5% 3% 3%
Youngstown St. 6% 4% 4%
Oakland 5% 4% 3%
Purdue Fort Wayne 2% 2% 1%
IU Indianapolis 2% 2% 1%
Detroit Mercy
Cleveland St. 1% 1% 1%