Southeastern
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28
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Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Florida 100%   1   Lock 4 - 0 0 - 0 +23.5 2 A +12 2 A+ +11 4 +26 4 0 1
Texas 94%   3   Likely In 3 - 0 0 - 0 +18.4 11 A +10 9 A- +8 19 0 192 0 1
Vanderbilt 90%   5   Likely In 4 - 0 0 - 0 +17.6 16 A- +9 18 A +8 17 +13 33 0 1
Texas A&M 92%   4   Likely In 4 - 0 0 - 0 +16.8 19 A- +9 22 A- +8 23 +15 26 0 1
Alabama 93%   4   Likely In 4 - 0 0 - 0 +16.3 22 A +10 10 B+ +6 37 +12 37 0 1
Tennessee 84%   5   Likely In 3 - 0 0 - 0 +15.2 24 B+ +8 37 A- +7 28 +6 93 0 1
LSU 80%   7   Bubble - In 3 - 0 0 - 0 +14.8 27 B+ +7 42 A- +8 26 +3 147 0 1
Missouri 70%   7   Bubble - In 2 - 1 0 - 0 +14.7 28 A- +10 13 B +5 49 +4 136 0 1
Arkansas 68%   9   Bubble - In 3 - 1 0 - 0 +14.4 31 A- +8 29 B+ +6 40 +9 54 0 1
Auburn 66%   10   Bubble - In 2 - 1 0 - 0 +14.2 33 A- +8 32 B+ +6 41 +7 83 0 1
Mississippi 69%   9   Bubble - In 3 - 0 0 - 0 +13.9 36 B +6 55 A- +8 24 +6 92 0 1
Georgia 60%   11   Bubble - In 4 - 0 0 - 0 +11.9 48 B+ +8 34 B +4 67 +20 10 0 1
Kentucky 47%   Bubble - Out 3 - 1 0 - 0 +11.0 58 A- +9 21 C+ +2 106 +11 47 0 1
Mississippi St. 34%   Bubble - Out 3 - 1 0 - 0 +9.3 71 B +5 77 B +4 63 +6 98 0 1
Oklahoma 26%   Bubble - Out 3 - 1 0 - 0 +8.8 73 B +6 56 B- +3 91 -7 281 0 1
South Carolina 13%   Likely Out 3 - 0 0 - 0 +6.7 86 B- +3 97 B- +3 80 +3 148 0 1


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Competitiveness
Tue, Nov 10 2 Florida 81 53 Florida St. 72   
4 Kansas 89 58 Kentucky 69   
85 Memphis 81 16 Vanderbilt 105   
36 Mississippi 91 272 SE Louisiana 51   
Wed, Nov 11 31 Arkansas 76 237 Robert Morris 53   
329 St. Peter's 41 86 South Carolina 77   
Thu, Nov 12 43 Oklahoma St. 69 19 Texas A&M 88   
Fri, Nov 13 8 Arizona 80 33 Auburn 69   
22 Alabama 82 79 Seton Hall 76   
24 Tennessee 83 171 Tennessee St. 78   
71 Mississippi St. 63 29 Xavier 81   
48 Georgia 78 50 North Carolina 70   
58 Kentucky 78 265 Northern Arizona 77   
2 Florida 83 218 Merrimack 54   
31 Arkansas 79 144 Central Arkansas 66   
307 Prairie View 62 16 Vanderbilt 89   
331 Fairleigh Dickinson 58 73 Oklahoma 74   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Competitiveness
Sat, Nov 14 10 Gonzaga 84 27 LSU 77 75%   
350 Gardner-Webb 60 86 South Carolina 83 97%   
Sun, Nov 15 30 Baylor 79 11 Texas 83 64%   
26 Marquette 75 28 Missouri 74 50%   
Mon, Nov 16 31 Arkansas 78 35 Indiana 77 52%   
272 SE Louisiana 64 19 Texas A&M 90 98%   
48 Georgia 83 201 Jacksonville 65 94%   
314 Grambling St. 64 58 Kentucky 87 97%   
Tue, Nov 17 5 Michigan St. 73 24 Tennessee 70 62%   
2 Florida 84 69 Notre Dame 70 90%   
22 Alabama 91 145 Kennesaw St. 72 95%   
71 Mississippi St. 78 90 Central Florida 79 51%   
287 Nicholls St. 60 36 Mississippi 84 98%   
358 Eastern Illinois 55 16 Vanderbilt 89 99%   
Wed, Nov 18 33 Auburn 70 42 West Virginia 68 56%   
27 LSU 94 323 Louisiana Monroe 66 99%   
208 Elon 64 86 South Carolina 77 88%   
346 Alcorn St. 58 28 Missouri 88 99%   
267 Campbell 65 73 Oklahoma 83 94%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Florida 3 39% 26% 9% 4% 39 20 13 8 6 5 3 2 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0
Texas 5 17% 10% 5% 2% 17 14 12 11 9 8 6 5 4 4 3 2 2 1 1 0
Alabama 5 15% 8% 5% 2% 15 14 13 10 9 7 7 6 5 4 3 2 2 1 1 0
Vanderbilt 6 12% 6% 4% 2% 12 12 11 10 9 8 7 7 6 4 4 3 2 2 1 1
Texas A&M 6 12% 6% 3% 2% 12 11 11 9 9 8 7 7 6 5 5 3 3 2 1 1
Tennessee 6 9% 5% 3% 2% 9 10 10 9 9 8 8 7 6 5 5 4 4 3 2 1
Missouri 7 6% 3% 2% 1% 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 5 5 4 3 2
LSU 7 6% 3% 2% 1% 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 5 4 3 2
Mississippi 8 5% 2% 2% 1% 5 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 5 4 2
Arkansas 8 4% 2% 1% 1% 4 5 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 5 4 2
Auburn 8 4% 2% 1% 1% 4 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 5 2
Georgia 10 2% 1% 1% 1% 2 3 4 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 5
Kentucky 10 2% 1% 0% 0% 2 2 3 4 5 5 6 7 7 7 8 9 9 10 9 7
Mississippi St. 11 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 2 2 3 3 4 5 6 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 11
Oklahoma 12 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 11 13 13 12
South Carolina 13 0% 0% 0% 0% 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 3 4 5 6 8 10 13 17 27

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Florida 13 - 5 24 - 6 0 0 0 1 2 5 8 13 17 17 16 12 7 2 0
Texas 11 - 7 22 - 9 0 0 0 0 1 3 4 8 11 14 16 15 12 9 5 2 1 0
Alabama 11 - 7 20 - 10 0 0 0 1 2 5 8 11 14 16 15 12 8 4 2 0 0
Vanderbilt 10 - 8 23 - 9 0 0 1 2 4 7 10 13 15 15 13 10 6 3 1 0 0
Texas A&M 10 - 8 23 - 9 0 0 1 2 4 7 10 14 14 15 13 9 6 3 1 0 0
Tennessee 10 - 8 20 - 10 0 0 0 1 3 6 8 11 14 15 14 12 8 5 3 1 0 0
Missouri 9 - 9 19 - 13 0 0 1 2 4 7 11 14 15 15 12 9 6 3 1 0 0 0
LSU 9 - 9 21 - 11 0 0 0 1 2 4 7 10 13 15 14 13 9 6 3 2 0 0
Mississippi 9 - 9 19 - 11 0 0 1 3 5 8 12 14 15 13 12 8 5 3 1 0 0 0
Arkansas 9 - 9 19 - 13 0 0 1 3 6 9 12 15 15 14 11 7 4 2 1 0 0
Auburn 9 - 9 18 - 12 0 0 1 1 3 6 10 13 15 14 13 10 7 4 2 1 0 0
Georgia 8 - 10 20 - 12 0 0 1 3 5 9 12 14 15 14 11 7 5 2 1 0 0 0
Kentucky 7 - 11 17 - 15 0 0 1 4 7 11 13 14 15 12 9 6 3 2 1 0 0
Mississippi St. 7 - 11 16 - 15 0 1 3 6 10 12 15 15 13 10 7 5 2 1 0 0 0
Oklahoma 7 - 11 16 - 16 0 1 3 6 11 14 16 15 12 9 6 3 2 1 0 0 0
South Carolina 5 - 13 16 - 16 1 3 8 12 15 16 15 12 8 5 3 1 1 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Florida 100% 21% 100% 1 Lock 40 22 15 9 6 3 2 1 1 1
Texas 94% 13% 93% 3 Likely In 9 15 13 12 11 9 7 5 4 4 5 6
Vanderbilt 90% 9% 89% 5 Likely In 5 10 11 10 10 9 8 7 5 6 8 1 10
Texas A&M 92% 10% 91% 4 Likely In 8 11 11 11 11 9 7 6 5 6 6 1 8
Alabama 93% 10% 92% 4 Likely In 11 12 13 12 11 8 7 6 4 4 4 7
Tennessee 84% 8% 82% 5 Likely In 5 8 9 9 9 8 8 7 5 7 9 1 16
LSU 80% 6% 78% 7 Bubble - In 3 4 6 7 8 8 8 8 7 8 11 2 20
Missouri 70% 5% 69% 7 Bubble - In 1 3 5 6 7 7 7 6 6 9 12 1 30
Arkansas 68% 4% 67% 9 Bubble - In 1 2 3 5 6 7 7 7 6 9 13 2 32
Auburn 66% 3% 65% 10 Bubble - In 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 7 6 9 13 2 34
Mississippi 69% 4% 68% 9 Bubble - In 2 2 4 5 6 7 7 7 6 8 13 2 31
Georgia 60% 2% 60% 11 Bubble - In 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 7 9 15 4 40
Kentucky 47% 2% 46% Bubble - Out 1 1 2 3 4 4 5 5 8 12 2 53
Mississippi St. 34% 1% 34% Bubble - Out 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 6 11 2 66
Oklahoma 26% 1% 25% Bubble - Out 1 1 1 2 2 3 5 9 2 74
South Carolina 13% 0% 12% Likely Out 1 1 1 2 6 1 87

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 10.8 0 2 10 25 33 22 6 1
1st Round 100% 9.7 0 3 12 27 32 19 6 1 0
2nd Round 100% 6.7 0 0 1 5 13 25 28 18 8 2 0
Sweet Sixteen 100% 3.5 0 4 16 29 29 16 5 1 0 0
Elite Eight 91% 1.8 9 31 36 19 5 1 0
Final Four 67% 0.9 33 46 19 3 0
Final Game 41% 0.5 59 37 4
Champion 23% 0.2 77 23

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Florida 100% 1% 99% 91% 61% 38% 22% 12% 7%
Texas 94% 8% 90% 72% 42% 24% 13% 7% 3%
Vanderbilt 90% 13% 84% 62% 34% 18% 9% 4% 2%
Texas A&M 92% 11% 87% 65% 36% 19% 10% 5% 3%
Alabama 93% 7% 90% 69% 39% 19% 10% 5% 2%
Tennessee 84% 14% 77% 55% 29% 14% 7% 3% 2%
LSU 80% 17% 71% 47% 22% 10% 5% 2% 1%
Missouri 70% 19% 61% 39% 19% 9% 4% 2% 1%
Arkansas 68% 20% 59% 34% 15% 7% 3% 1% 1%
Auburn 66% 21% 56% 33% 14% 6% 3% 1% 1%
Mississippi 69% 20% 59% 36% 16% 7% 3% 1% 1%
Georgia 60% 22% 49% 25% 9% 4% 1% 1%
Kentucky 47% 19% 37% 19% 7% 3% 1% 1%
Mississippi St. 34% 16% 26% 12% 4% 2% 1%
Oklahoma 26% 13% 19% 9% 3% 1% 1%
South Carolina 13% 8% 8% 3% 1%