Preseason Rankings
Southeastern
2026-27


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Florida 99%   1   Likely In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +23.0 2 A+ +13 3 A+ +10 4 0 1 0 1
Texas 91%   4   Likely In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +17.8 12 A +10 6 A- +8 14 0 1 0 1
Tennessee 92%   4   Likely In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +17.1 17 A +10 10 A- +8 15 0 1 0 1
Alabama 92%   3   Likely In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +16.8 19 A +10 7 A- +7 24 0 1 0 1
Arkansas 81%   6   Likely In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +16.2 20 A- +9 20 A- +7 19 0 1 0 1
Kentucky 81%   6   Bubble - In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +15.7 21 A +9 15 A- +6 29 0 1 0 1
Vanderbilt 80%   6   Bubble - In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +15.5 22 A- +8 33 A- +7 17 0 1 0 1
Auburn 74%   8   Bubble - In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +14.6 27 A- +9 18 B+ +5 43 0 1 0 1
Oklahoma 70%   9   Bubble - In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +14.3 29 A- +9 22 B+ +5 44 0 1 0 1
Texas A&M 76%   8   Bubble - In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +14.2 30 A- +9 27 B+ +6 39 0 1 0 1
Missouri 67%   9   Bubble - In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +13.4 37 A- +8 32 B+ +5 51 0 1 0 1
Georgia 58%   11   Bubble - In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +12.7 39 A- +8 35 B +5 60 0 1 0 1
LSU 62%   11   Bubble - In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +12.5 43 B+ +7 38 B+ +5 48 0 1 0 1
Mississippi 49%   Bubble - Out 0 - 0 0 - 0 +11.0 52 B +5 63 B+ +6 31 0 1 0 1
Mississippi St. 30%   Bubble - Out 0 - 0 0 - 0 +8.2 71 B +5 64 B- +3 81 0 1 0 1
South Carolina 12%   Likely Out 0 - 0 0 - 0 +5.9 90 B- +3 90 B- +3 91 0 1 0 1


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Nov 2 2 Florida 80 18 Miami (FL) 74 72%   
Mon, Nov 2 300 Bellarmine 59 22 Vanderbilt 86 98%   
Mon, Nov 2 349 Chicago St. 53 12 Texas 85 99%   
Mon, Nov 2 71 Mississippi St. 82 218 Tennessee Tech 67 91%   
Mon, Nov 2 29 Oklahoma 85 343 East Texas A&M 57 99%   
Mon, Nov 2 346 Alcorn St. 56 52 Mississippi 82 98%   
Mon, Nov 2 39 Georgia 90 359 NC Central 61 99%   
Tue, Nov 3 19 Alabama 92 181 Sam Houston St. 71 97%   
Tue, Nov 3 17 Tennessee 84 264 Wofford 59 98%   
Tue, Nov 3 43 LSU 85 265 New Orleans 64 96%   
Tue, Nov 3 295 Alabama St. 66 30 Texas A&M 90 98%   
Tue, Nov 3 288 Cleveland St. 63 37 Missouri 87 98%   
Tue, Nov 3 21 Kentucky 89 334 Manhattan 60 99%   
Tue, Nov 3 362 Arkansas Pine Bluff 60 20 Arkansas 95 100%   
Tue, Nov 3 90 South Carolina 78 278 Stetson 63 92%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Florida 3 34% 21% 8% 4% 34 20 13 9 7 5 3 2 3 1 1 1 0 0 0 0
Alabama 5 17% 10% 4% 3% 17 14 12 10 10 8 6 5 4 4 4 3 2 2 1 1
Tennessee 5 15% 8% 4% 3% 15 14 11 10 7 8 6 6 5 5 3 3 2 2 1 1
Texas 6 15% 9% 4% 2% 15 12 11 9 9 8 7 6 6 4 4 3 3 2 1 1
Kentucky 7 8% 5% 2% 2% 8 8 8 8 8 9 8 7 6 7 6 4 4 4 3 2
Arkansas 7 8% 3% 3% 1% 8 9 8 8 8 7 8 8 6 6 6 6 4 4 3 1
Vanderbilt 7 7% 4% 2% 1% 7 9 7 7 8 9 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 4 3 2
Auburn 8 6% 3% 2% 1% 6 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 8 7 5 6 5 5 3 2
Texas A&M 8 6% 3% 2% 1% 6 7 8 7 8 7 8 7 7 6 7 5 5 5 4 3
Oklahoma 8 5% 2% 2% 1% 5 6 7 6 7 6 8 8 7 7 6 7 6 6 5 3
Missouri 8 5% 2% 2% 1% 5 5 6 7 7 6 7 8 7 7 8 7 7 7 4 3
Georgia 9 3% 1% 1% 1% 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 8 8 7 8 9 7 8 6 4
LSU 9 3% 2% 1% 0% 3 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 8 7 8 8 7 5
Mississippi 10 2% 1% 1% 1% 2 3 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 8 7 8 8 9 9 7
Mississippi St. 11 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 6 7 7 9 10 12 14 13
South Carolina 13 0% 0% 0% 0% 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 4 3 4 6 7 9 14 17 29

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Florida 12 - 6 23 - 7 0 0 0 1 1 3 6 10 14 18 18 13 9 4 2 0
Alabama 11 - 7 20 - 10 0 0 0 1 2 3 5 8 10 15 15 15 11 8 4 1 0 0
Tennessee 11 - 7 21 - 9 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 5 10 12 14 15 14 11 7 3 2 0 0
Texas 10 - 8 22 - 9 0 0 0 1 2 4 7 9 11 15 15 13 11 7 4 1 0 0
Kentucky 10 - 8 20 - 12 0 0 1 2 3 6 9 13 14 15 14 10 6 4 2 0 0 0
Arkansas 9 - 9 21 - 11 0 0 1 2 3 6 11 12 15 14 13 10 7 3 2 1 0 0
Vanderbilt 9 - 9 22 - 10 0 0 1 2 4 7 10 13 15 14 13 10 6 3 2 1 0
Auburn 9 - 9 19 - 11 0 0 0 1 2 4 7 11 14 14 15 12 9 5 3 1 0 0 0
Texas A&M 9 - 9 21 - 11 0 0 0 1 3 5 8 11 13 14 14 12 9 6 3 1 1 0
Oklahoma 9 - 9 20 - 12 0 0 1 1 4 6 9 12 14 14 14 11 8 5 1 1 0 0
Missouri 9 - 9 19 - 13 0 0 0 2 3 6 10 13 15 13 14 10 6 4 2 1 0 0 0
Georgia 8 - 10 19 - 13 0 0 1 2 4 7 11 14 15 15 11 8 5 3 1 0 0 0
LSU 8 - 10 19 - 13 0 0 1 3 5 8 11 14 14 14 12 9 5 3 2 1 0
Mississippi 8 - 10 18 - 12 0 1 2 4 6 9 12 15 14 14 10 6 5 2 1 1 0 0
Mississippi St. 7 - 11 16 - 15 0 1 3 7 10 14 16 14 14 9 6 4 2 1 1 0 0 0
South Carolina 5 - 13 15 - 17 1 3 8 12 16 16 14 11 9 5 2 2 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Florida 99% 20% 99% 1 Likely In 29 22 16 10 8 5 4 2 1 2 1 1
Texas 91% 11% 89% 4 Likely In 11 13 11 10 10 8 7 6 4 5 6 1 9
Tennessee 92% 11% 91% 4 Likely In 11 13 13 10 11 7 7 5 4 5 5 8
Alabama 92% 10% 91% 3 Likely In 15 11 12 11 10 8 6 6 4 4 4 8
Arkansas 81% 6% 80% 6 Likely In 5 5 7 8 8 8 7 8 6 9 10 1 19
Kentucky 81% 7% 79% 6 Bubble - In 4 6 7 9 8 8 7 7 6 8 10 1 19
Vanderbilt 80% 7% 79% 6 Bubble - In 4 7 7 8 8 7 7 7 4 9 10 1 20
Auburn 74% 5% 73% 8 Bubble - In 3 4 5 6 7 8 7 7 6 9 11 1 26
Oklahoma 70% 4% 69% 9 Bubble - In 2 3 5 6 6 7 6 7 6 9 11 2 30
Texas A&M 76% 6% 75% 8 Bubble - In 4 5 6 7 7 7 6 8 5 8 12 1 24
Missouri 67% 5% 66% 9 Bubble - In 2 4 4 6 6 7 7 7 6 8 11 1 33
Georgia 58% 3% 57% 11 Bubble - In 1 2 2 3 4 5 5 6 6 9 14 3 42
LSU 62% 3% 61% 11 Bubble - In 2 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 8 12 2 38
Mississippi 49% 2% 48% Bubble - Out 1 1 2 2 4 3 5 4 6 8 12 3 51
Mississippi St. 30% 1% 29% Bubble - Out 1 1 2 2 3 4 5 10 1 70
South Carolina 12% 0% 12% Likely Out 1 1 1 1 3 5 1 88

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 11.1 0 1 6 22 32 26 11 2
1st Round 100% 10.0 0 0 2 9 23 32 23 9 2 0
2nd Round 100% 6.8 0 0 1 4 13 24 27 20 9 2 0
Sweet Sixteen 99% 3.6 1 4 14 28 28 18 6 1 0
Elite Eight 92% 1.9 8 30 34 20 7 1 0
Final Four 69% 1.0 31 44 20 4 0
Final Game 45% 0.5 55 39 6
Champion 26% 0.3 74 26

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Florida 99% 2% 98% 85% 54% 32% 19% 12% 7%
Texas 91% 10% 86% 66% 39% 21% 12% 6% 3%
Tennessee 92% 9% 88% 67% 40% 22% 12% 6% 3%
Alabama 92% 6% 89% 68% 38% 20% 10% 6% 3%
Arkansas 81% 17% 73% 48% 24% 12% 5% 3% 1%
Kentucky 81% 16% 73% 48% 26% 13% 7% 3% 1%
Vanderbilt 80% 18% 72% 48% 25% 13% 7% 3% 2%
Auburn 74% 18% 66% 41% 19% 9% 4% 2% 1%
Oklahoma 70% 18% 62% 38% 18% 8% 4% 2% 1%
Texas A&M 76% 19% 67% 45% 23% 13% 7% 3% 1%
Missouri 67% 17% 59% 36% 18% 9% 4% 2% 1%
Georgia 58% 22% 47% 27% 11% 4% 2% 1%
LSU 62% 18% 53% 30% 14% 7% 2% 1%
Mississippi 49% 19% 39% 20% 9% 4% 1% 1%
Mississippi St. 30% 14% 22% 10% 4% 2% 1%
South Carolina 12% 7% 8% 4% 1%