West Coast
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28
Switch to Preseason Page


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Saint Mary's 41%   12   Likely Out 2 - 1 0 - 0 +8.3 72 B +5 69 B- +3 86 +5 106 0 1
Santa Clara 40%   Likely Out 4 - 0 0 - 0 +7.9 78 B +5 81 B- +3 82 +14 26 0 1
Pacific 5%   Negligible 1 - 1 0 - 0 +1.2 130 C- -2 207 B- +3 91 -1 219 0 1
San Francisco 6%   Negligible 3 - 0 0 - 0 +0.4 143 C- -1 204 C+ +2 114 +6 87 0 1
San Diego 5%   Negligible 1 - 1 0 - 0 +0.1 144 C+ +1 135 C- -1 196 +2 166 0 1
Seattle 4%   Negligible 1 - 2 0 - 0 -0.5 158 C- -3 245 C+ +2 101 -8 285 0 1
Pepperdine 5%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -0.7 161 C+ +2 127 D+ -2 244 -13 335 0 1
Loyola Marymount 3%   Negligible 0 - 3 0 - 0 -1.5 169 C+ +1 137 D+ -3 261 -17 351 0 1
Portland 3%   Negligible 1 - 1 0 - 0 -1.5 170 C +0 163 C- -2 222 0 204 0 1
Denver 1%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -3.7 216 C- -2 212 C- -2 232 -9 305 0 1


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Competitiveness
Mon, Nov 9 148 Hawaii 66 170 Portland 73   
Tue, Nov 10 90 Colorado 83 144 San Diego 75   
203 Montana 58 143 San Francisco 63   
169 Loyola Marymount 69 198 Troy 74   
Wed, Nov 11 111 North Texas 71 78 Santa Clara 76   
229 Long Beach St. 62 130 Pacific 59   
158 Seattle 59 207 Texas San Antonio 86   
161 Pepperdine 77 163 Sam Houston St. 85   
Thu, Nov 12 169 Loyola Marymount 72 219 South Alabama 79   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Competitiveness
Fri, Nov 13 72 St. Mary's 75 104 Illinois-Chicago 68 73%   
324 Chicago St. 65 144 San Diego 77 88%   
170 Portland 78 298 East Texas A&M 69 82%   
Sat, Nov 14 57 New Mexico 82 78 Santa Clara 83 50%   
216 Denver 70 113 Wyoming 74 66%   
225 Portland St. 64 143 San Francisco 72 76%   
272 Air Force 70 130 Pacific 80 84%   
337 Idaho St. 63 158 Seattle 76 89%   
Sun, Nov 15 53 Oregon 82 161 Pepperdine 67 91%   
324 Chicago St. 65 169 Loyola Marymount 76 85%   
Mon, Nov 16 225 Portland St. 64 72 St. Mary's 79 92%   
Tue, Nov 17 318 California Baptist 65 158 Seattle 71 71%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Saint Mary's 2 49% 34% 12% 3% 49 25 11 7 4 2 1 1 0 0
Santa Clara 2 45% 31% 11% 2% 45 26 12 8 5 2 1 1 1 0
Pacific 5 5% 3% 2% 1% 5 10 14 13 13 12 12 9 6 6
San Diego 5 5% 2% 2% 1% 5 10 13 14 12 12 10 10 9 6
San Francisco 5 5% 2% 2% 1% 5 9 13 14 14 12 10 9 8 6
Pepperdine 6 5% 2% 2% 1% 5 8 11 12 12 11 11 11 10 8
Seattle 6 3% 2% 1% 1% 3 7 10 12 12 13 12 11 11 8
Loyola Marymount 6 4% 2% 1% 1% 4 7 10 11 11 12 12 11 12 9
Portland 6 3% 1% 1% 1% 3 6 10 11 10 12 13 13 13 11
Denver 7 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 3 5 7 9 10 12 14 17 21

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Saint Mary's 12 - 4 21 - 9 0 0 0 1 2 4 8 11 17 17 19 12 6 2
Santa Clara 11 - 5 22 - 9 0 0 1 1 2 6 9 12 17 18 16 11 6 1
Pacific 8 - 8 15 - 15 0 1 1 3 5 8 12 16 14 15 11 7 4 2 1 0 0
San Diego 8 - 8 15 - 14 0 0 1 3 6 9 13 14 15 14 11 7 4 2 1 0 0
San Francisco 8 - 8 17 - 14 0 1 3 6 10 12 14 17 14 10 7 4 2 1 0
Pepperdine 7 - 10 14 - 16 0 1 2 4 7 10 14 15 14 14 9 6 3 2 1 0
Seattle 7 - 9 14 - 15 0 1 2 4 7 11 14 16 15 13 8 5 2 1 0 0
Loyola Marymount 7 - 10 13 - 18 0 1 2 4 8 11 15 15 14 12 8 6 3 1 0 0
Portland 7 - 9 13 - 16 0 1 2 5 9 13 16 14 12 11 8 4 2 1 0 0
Denver 6 - 10 10 - 20 0 2 5 10 14 16 15 13 10 7 4 2 1 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Saint Mary's 41% 36% 8% 12 Likely Out 1 2 4 2 23 9 1 59
Santa Clara 40% 33% 10% Likely Out 1 1 2 4 2 23 5 60
Pacific 5% 5% 0% Negligible 1 3 1 0 95
San Francisco 6% 6% 0% Negligible 1 4 1 94
San Diego 5% 5% 0% Negligible 1 2 1 0 95
Seattle 4% 4% 0% Negligible 0 2 1 0 96
Pepperdine 5% 5% 0% Negligible 1 2 2 1 95
Loyola Marymount 3% 3% 0% Negligible 1 1 1 0 97
Portland 3% 3% 0% Negligible 0 1 1 0 97
Denver 1% 1% 0% Negligible 0 0 0 0 99

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.1 88 12 0
1st Round 99% 1.1 1 91 8
2nd Round 27% 0.3 73 27 1
Sweet Sixteen 8% 0.1 92 8 0
Elite Eight 2% 0.0 98 2 0
Final Four 1% 0.0 99 1
Final Game 0% 0.0 100 0
Champion 0% 0.0 100 0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Saint Mary's 41% 4% 40% 12% 4% 1%
Santa Clara 40% 5% 38% 12% 3% 1%
Pacific 5% 5% 1%
San Francisco 6% 6% 1%
San Diego 5% 5%
Seattle 4% 3%
Pepperdine 5% 4%
Loyola Marymount 3% 1% 3%
Portland 3% 3%
Denver 1% 1%