Preseason Rankings
Big Sky
2026-27


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Montana St. 24%   15   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 +1.5 132 C +1 137 C+ +1 130 0 1 0 1
Eastern Washington 14%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.9 164 C+ +1 135 C- -2 229 0 1 0 1
Northern Colorado 12%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.3 195 C -1 187 C- -1 211 0 1 0 1
Portland St. 13%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.5 200 C- -2 234 C +0 168 0 1 0 1
Montana 9%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.1 207 C- -1 205 C- -2 224 0 1 0 1
Idaho 6%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.5 239 D+ -3 261 C- -2 215 0 1 0 1
Southern Utah 8%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.9 246 C- -2 229 D+ -3 271 0 1 0 1
Utah Tech 6%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -5.8 270 D+ -4 287 C- -2 231 0 1 0 1
Weber St. 5%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.4 290 D -4 301 D+ -3 274 0 1 0 1
Northern Arizona 3%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.3 308 D+ -3 273 D -5 335 0 1 0 1
Idaho St. 1%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -9.6 325 D -5 316 D -5 329 0 1 0 1


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Nov 2 81 Colorado St. 71 132 Montana St. 62 79%   
Mon, Nov 2 164 Eastern Washington 66 69 Stanford 79 87%   
Mon, Nov 2 207 Montana 65 57 Oregon 81 93%   
Mon, Nov 2 66 New Mexico 81 270 Utah Tech 63 94%   
Mon, Nov 2 325 Idaho St. 58 56 Utah St. 81 97%   
Mon, Nov 2 95 Oregon St. 79 290 Weber St. 63 92%   
Tue, Nov 3 308 Northern Arizona 61 89 UNLV 79 94%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Montana St. 3 38% 28% 8% 2% 38 22 13 9 6 4 3 2 1 1 0
Eastern Washington 4 19% 12% 6% 2% 19 18 14 12 10 8 6 5 3 3 2
Northern Colorado 5 15% 9% 4% 2% 15 14 14 12 11 9 8 6 5 4 2
Portland St. 5 15% 10% 4% 1% 15 14 13 12 10 9 8 7 5 4 3
Montana 5 12% 7% 3% 1% 12 12 12 12 11 10 9 8 5 5 4
Southern Utah 6 8% 4% 3% 1% 8 9 9 11 10 11 11 10 9 7 5
Idaho 6 7% 4% 2% 1% 7 8 10 9 11 10 12 10 10 7 6
Utah Tech 6 5% 3% 2% 1% 5 7 8 10 10 10 11 10 10 9 8
Weber St. 7 3% 2% 1% 1% 3 4 6 7 9 10 11 12 12 12 11
Northern Arizona 7 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 4 5 6 8 10 12 11 14 15 12
Idaho St. 9 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 2 3 3 5 8 8 11 15 18 27

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Montana St. 13 - 7 17 - 12 0 0 0 1 1 2 4 6 8 13 13 14 13 11 7 3 2 0
Eastern Washington 12 - 8 14 - 15 0 0 1 1 2 3 6 7 11 12 15 12 11 9 5 3 1 0 0
Northern Colorado 11 - 9 13 - 14 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 5 8 10 12 12 13 11 9 6 4 2 1 0 0
Portland St. 11 - 9 14 - 14 0 0 0 1 2 4 6 7 10 11 12 13 12 8 7 4 2 1 0
Montana 11 - 9 13 - 16 0 0 0 1 1 3 4 6 10 11 11 13 12 11 8 4 3 1 1 0 0
Southern Utah 10 - 10 12 - 17 0 0 1 2 4 7 9 12 12 13 13 10 7 5 3 2 1 0 0
Idaho 10 - 10 12 - 16 0 0 0 1 2 5 7 10 12 13 12 11 9 7 5 3 1 1 0 0
Utah Tech 9 - 11 11 - 18 0 1 1 3 5 8 11 12 12 13 10 9 6 4 3 1 0 0 0 0
Weber St. 8 - 12 11 - 19 0 0 1 2 4 7 10 13 14 13 11 9 6 4 3 1 1 0 0
Northern Arizona 8 - 12 9 - 19 0 0 1 3 6 9 12 15 14 12 10 8 5 3 2 1 0 0 0
Idaho St. 7 - 13 9 - 20 0 1 3 7 10 13 15 14 12 10 7 4 3 2 1 0 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Montana St. 24% 24% 0% 15 Negligible 1 5 8 8 1 76
Eastern Washington 14% 14% 0% Negligible 2 4 6 3 86
Northern Colorado 12% 12% 0% Negligible 1 3 5 3 88
Portland St. 13% 13% 0% Negligible 1 3 6 3 87
Montana 9% 9% 0% Negligible 1 2 4 2 91
Idaho 6% 6% 0% Negligible 0 1 3 2 94
Southern Utah 8% 8% 0% Negligible 0 1 3 3 92
Utah Tech 6% 6% 0% Negligible 1 2 3 94
Weber St. 5% 5% 0% Negligible 0 1 3 95
Northern Arizona 3% 3% 0% Negligible 0 1 2 97
Idaho St. 1% 1% 0% Negligible 0 1 99

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100 0
1st Round 76% 0.8 24 76 0
2nd Round 6% 0.1 94 6
Sweet Sixteen 1% 0.0 99 1
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Montana St. 24% 5% 21% 2%
Eastern Washington 14% 5% 12% 1%
Northern Colorado 12% 6% 10% 1%
Portland St. 13% 6% 9% 1%
Montana 9% 5% 6%
Idaho 6% 3% 4%
Southern Utah 8% 5% 5%
Utah Tech 6% 4% 4%
Weber St. 5% 4% 3%
Northern Arizona 3% 2% 1%
Idaho St. 1% 1% 1%