Preseason Rankings
Colonial Athletic
2026-27


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
UNC Wilmington 28%   14   Likely Out 0 - 0 0 - 0 +3.8 108 B- +3 91 C+ +1 136 0 1 0 1
College of Charleston 16%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 +1.5 133 C+ +2 112 C +0 171 0 1 0 1
Hofstra 13%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 +0.4 147 C- -1 190 C+ +1 109 0 1 0 1
Towson 8%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -1.5 179 C- -2 240 C+ +1 129 0 1 0 1
Monmouth 8%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.1 190 C- -2 218 C +0 167 0 1 0 1
Hampton 4%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.3 209 C- -2 214 C- -2 217 0 1 0 1
William & Mary 5%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.6 221 C- -2 207 C- -2 237 0 1 0 1
Stony Brook 5%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.8 225 C- -2 216 C- -2 242 0 1 0 1
Elon 4%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.8 227 C -1 185 D+ -3 277 0 1 0 1
Drexel 3%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.8 245 D -4 297 C -1 174 0 1 0 1
Campbell 3%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.9 249 C- -2 220 D+ -3 281 0 1 0 1
Northeastern 3%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.9 250 C- -1 202 D -4 292 0 1 0 1
N.C. A&T 1%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.7 297 D+ -3 270 D -4 327 0 1 0 1


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Nov 2 190 Monmouth 61 16 St. John's 83 97%   
Mon, Nov 2 249 Campbell 70 51 North Carolina St. 89 95%   
Mon, Nov 2 85 Santa Clara 74 179 Towson 63 85%   
Mon, Nov 2 204 Columbia 73 227 Elon 69 65%   
Mon, Nov 2 305 Boston University 69 250 Northeastern 70 51%   
Tue, Nov 3 245 Drexel 52 14 Virginia 78 98%   
Tue, Nov 3 109 Georgia Tech 79 209 Hampton 69 83%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
UNC Wilmington 3 42% 30% 9% 3% 42 19 13 8 5 4 3 3 2 1 0 0 0
College of Charleston 4 21% 13% 6% 2% 21 15 14 11 9 7 6 5 3 3 2 2 1
Hofstra 5 15% 9% 5% 2% 15 16 14 10 10 8 7 6 4 4 3 2 1
Towson 5 11% 6% 3% 2% 11 11 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 6 4 3 2
Monmouth 6 10% 5% 3% 2% 10 10 10 9 11 9 8 8 7 6 5 4 3
Hampton 6 7% 3% 3% 1% 7 9 10 8 10 10 9 8 8 7 6 5 4
Stony Brook 7 5% 2% 2% 1% 5 7 9 8 9 9 8 9 9 7 8 6 5
William & Mary 7 4% 2% 2% 1% 4 7 8 8 9 8 8 10 8 9 8 7 5
Elon 8 4% 2% 1% 1% 4 5 7 7 9 9 8 10 9 9 9 7 8
Northeastern 8 3% 2% 1% 1% 3 5 5 7 8 8 9 9 9 10 9 10 7
Campbell 8 3% 1% 1% 1% 3 4 6 7 7 8 8 9 8 10 11 10 9
Drexel 8 3% 1% 1% 1% 3 5 5 6 7 7 7 9 9 10 11 10 11
N.C. A&T 10 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 1 3 3 4 6 7 7 9 11 13 15 20

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
UNC Wilmington 13 - 5 21 - 9 0 0 0 1 2 4 5 8 12 14 16 15 12 7 3 1
College of Charleston 11 - 7 16 - 12 0 0 0 2 3 5 7 10 13 15 13 11 10 5 3 1 0
Hofstra 11 - 7 17 - 13 0 1 1 2 4 6 8 12 14 13 14 11 7 4 2 1 0
Towson 10 - 8 15 - 15 0 0 1 2 3 5 9 12 13 14 13 10 8 4 3 1 0 0
Monmouth 9 - 9 14 - 18 0 0 0 1 2 4 7 10 12 13 14 12 10 7 4 2 1 0 0
Hampton 9 - 9 14 - 15 0 0 0 1 4 5 8 10 14 14 13 11 9 6 4 1 1 0 0
Stony Brook 9 - 9 14 - 15 0 0 1 2 4 6 10 13 13 13 14 10 6 5 2 1 0 0
William & Mary 8 - 10 13 - 16 0 0 1 2 4 7 10 12 14 13 13 10 7 3 2 1 0 0
Elon 8 - 10 13 - 17 0 0 1 3 5 9 10 13 14 13 11 8 6 3 2 0 0 0
Northeastern 8 - 10 12 - 20 0 0 1 3 6 9 12 13 14 14 10 8 5 2 1 0 0 0
Campbell 8 - 10 12 - 19 0 1 2 4 6 8 13 13 14 12 10 8 5 3 1 0 0 0
Drexel 8 - 10 13 - 17 0 1 2 4 7 10 14 13 13 12 9 6 5 3 1 1 0 0
N.C. A&T 6 - 12 10 - 18 0 1 5 9 11 14 16 14 11 9 5 3 2 1 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
UNC Wilmington 28% 26% 2% 14 Likely Out 1 5 11 7 3 72
College of Charleston 16% 16% 0% Negligible 1 5 6 3 1 84
Hofstra 13% 13% 0% Negligible 1 4 5 3 1 87
Towson 8% 8% 0% Negligible 0 2 2 3 1 92
Monmouth 8% 8% 0% Negligible 1 3 3 1 92
Hampton 4% 4% 0% Negligible 1 2 1 96
William & Mary 5% 5% 0% Negligible 1 1 2 1 95
Stony Brook 5% 5% 0% Negligible 1 1 2 1 95
Elon 4% 4% 0% Negligible 0 1 2 1 96
Drexel 3% 3% 0% Negligible 1 2 1 97
Campbell 3% 3% 0% Negligible 0 1 1 1 97
Northeastern 3% 3% 0% Negligible 0 1 1 1 97
N.C. A&T 1% 1% 0% Negligible 0 0 1 99

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 98 2
1st Round 88% 0.9 12 87 1
2nd Round 11% 0.1 89 11 0
Sweet Sixteen 3% 0.0 97 3
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100 0
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
UNC Wilmington 28% 2% 27% 4% 1%
College of Charleston 16% 2% 15% 2% 1%
Hofstra 13% 2% 12% 2%
Towson 8% 2% 7% 1%
Monmouth 8% 2% 7% 1%
Hampton 4% 2% 3%
William & Mary 5% 2% 4%
Stony Brook 5% 2% 4%
Elon 4% 2% 3%
Drexel 3% 2% 2%
Campbell 3% 1% 2%
Northeastern 3% 2% 2%
N.C. A&T 1% 1%