Preseason Rankings
Ivy League
2026-27


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Harvard 23%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 +2.1 124 C +0 149 C+ +2 104 0 1 0 1
Penn 24%   14   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 +2.0 127 C+ +1 131 C+ +1 127 0 1 0 1
Princeton 15%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 0.0 153 C +1 143 C -1 178 0 1 0 1
Yale 15%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.4 159 C +1 142 C- -1 194 0 1 0 1
Cornell 9%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.5 199 C +1 136 D+ -3 285 0 1 0 1
Columbia 8%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.9 204 C- -1 198 C- -2 221 0 1 0 1
Brown 5%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.1 231 D -4 296 C +0 150 0 1 0 1
Dartmouth 1%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.5 312 D- -6 336 D+ -2 257 0 1 0 1


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Nov 2 163 Howard 68 159 Yale 72 63%   
Mon, Nov 2 199 Cornell 81 146 Pepperdine 80 50%   
Mon, Nov 2 204 Columbia 73 227 Elon 69 65%   
Mon, Nov 2 312 Dartmouth 64 254 Marist 71 73%   
Mon, Nov 2 231 Brown 71 329 New Hampshire 62 80%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Penn 3 32% 20% 9% 3% 32 21 15 13 9 6 3 1
Harvard 3 32% 20% 9% 3% 32 20 17 11 9 5 4 1
Princeton 3 20% 11% 7% 2% 20 19 17 14 11 9 6 3
Yale 3 21% 12% 6% 2% 21 19 16 15 13 9 5 3
Cornell 4 10% 5% 4% 2% 10 11 14 16 15 15 11 7
Columbia 5 8% 4% 3% 1% 8 11 13 14 15 16 15 9
Brown 5 6% 3% 2% 1% 6 6 9 12 14 18 20 14
Dartmouth 7 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 2 4 5 9 14 24 41

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Penn 9 - 5 16 - 10 0 0 0 1 2 5 8 13 16 16 16 13 7 2 1
Harvard 9 - 5 16 - 10 1 1 3 4 8 12 16 18 16 12 7 3 0
Princeton 8 - 6 14 - 13 0 1 2 5 8 12 14 16 15 14 7 4 2 0
Yale 8 - 6 14 - 12 0 0 2 5 8 13 15 16 16 12 8 4 1 0
Cornell 7 - 7 13 - 14 0 1 3 5 9 13 17 17 13 11 7 3 1 0 0
Columbia 6 - 8 14 - 13 0 1 3 7 11 15 15 15 13 10 5 3 1 0 0
Brown 6 - 8 13 - 14 0 2 5 10 15 17 16 14 9 6 4 2 0 0
Dartmouth 4 - 10 8 - 17 3 8 15 18 19 15 11 5 4 1 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Harvard 23% 23% 0% Negligible 1 7 9 5 77
Penn 24% 24% 0% 14 Negligible 2 8 9 5 76
Princeton 15% 15% 0% Negligible 1 4 5 4 1 85
Yale 15% 15% 0% Negligible 1 3 6 5 1 85
Cornell 9% 9% 0% Negligible 1 3 4 1 91
Columbia 8% 8% 0% Negligible 2 4 1 92
Brown 5% 5% 0% Negligible 0 1 3 1 95
Dartmouth 1% 1% 0% Negligible 0 0 99

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100 0
1st Round 88% 0.9 12 88 0
2nd Round 12% 0.1 88 12
Sweet Sixteen 3% 0.0 97 3
Elite Eight 1% 0.0 99 1
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100 0
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Harvard 23% 3% 22% 3% 1%
Penn 24% 2% 23% 3% 1%
Princeton 15% 3% 13% 2%
Yale 15% 3% 13% 2%
Cornell 9% 3% 7% 1%
Columbia 8% 4% 6% 1%
Brown 5% 3% 4%
Dartmouth 1% 1%