Preseason Rankings
Summit League
2026-27


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
St. Thomas 27%   15   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 0.0 152 C +1 145 C +0 172 0 1 0 1
North Dakota St. 24%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.4 158 C +0 157 C +0 170 0 1 0 1
South Dakota St. 14%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.1 233 C- -1 204 D+ -3 265 0 1 0 1
Oral Roberts 11%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -5.4 262 C- -2 221 D -4 296 0 1 0 1
South Dakota 7%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -6.6 280 C- -2 245 D -4 316 0 1 0 1
Nebraska Omaha 7%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.2 289 D+ -4 292 D+ -3 276 0 1 0 1
UMKC 7%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.4 292 D+ -3 266 D -4 322 0 1 0 1
North Dakota 3%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -9.4 324 D -4 294 D- -5 342 0 1 0 1


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Nov 2 44 Creighton 88 292 UMKC 65 97%   
Mon, Nov 2 59 Minnesota 77 324 North Dakota 55 97%   
Mon, Nov 2 213 Presbyterian 68 152 St. Thomas 69 52%   
Mon, Nov 2 172 Central Arkansas 77 262 Oral Roberts 70 76%   
Tue, Nov 3 92 Kansas St. 84 233 South Dakota St. 71 88%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
St. Thomas 2 40% 28% 10% 3% 40 23 14 10 6 4 2 1
North Dakota St. 3 37% 25% 10% 3% 37 23 15 10 6 4 2 1
South Dakota St. 4 15% 9% 4% 2% 15 18 16 14 12 11 8 6
Oral Roberts 4 12% 6% 5% 1% 12 15 16 16 14 12 9 6
South Dakota 5 7% 4% 2% 1% 7 10 14 14 15 15 14 10
Nebraska Omaha 5 7% 3% 2% 1% 7 9 13 14 14 14 16 12
UMKC 5 5% 2% 2% 1% 5 9 11 13 15 16 15 17
North Dakota 6 3% 2% 1% 1% 3 5 8 10 15 17 20 22

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
St. Thomas 9 - 5 17 - 12 0 0 1 4 7 11 14 17 17 16 9 4 1
North Dakota St. 9 - 5 16 - 13 0 0 1 1 4 7 11 15 17 18 13 9 4 1
South Dakota St. 7 - 7 13 - 14 0 0 1 4 7 11 14 15 15 14 9 5 3 1 0
Oral Roberts 7 - 7 10 - 16 0 0 2 4 8 11 15 17 16 12 8 4 2 1 0
South Dakota 6 - 8 12 - 16 0 1 3 6 12 15 17 16 13 9 5 3 1 0 0
Nebraska Omaha 6 - 8 10 - 16 0 1 3 7 13 15 16 15 13 8 4 2 1 0 0
UMKC 6 - 8 12 - 16 0 2 5 9 14 16 16 15 10 8 3 1 0 0
North Dakota 5 - 9 8 - 20 1 3 8 12 16 18 16 12 7 4 2 1 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
St. Thomas 27% 27% 0% 15 Negligible 1 4 7 11 4 73
North Dakota St. 24% 24% 0% Negligible 3 7 10 5 76
South Dakota St. 14% 14% 0% Negligible 2 5 6 86
Oral Roberts 11% 11% 0% Negligible 1 4 6 89
South Dakota 7% 7% 0% Negligible 2 6 93
Nebraska Omaha 7% 7% 0% Negligible 2 5 93
UMKC 7% 7% 0% Negligible 1 5 93
North Dakota 3% 3% 0% Negligible 1 3 97

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100 0
1st Round 69% 0.7 31 69 0
2nd Round 6% 0.1 94 6
Sweet Sixteen 1% 0.0 99 1
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
St. Thomas 27% 11% 22% 3%
North Dakota St. 24% 11% 19% 2% 1%
South Dakota St. 14% 10% 9% 1%
Oral Roberts 11% 9% 6%
South Dakota 7% 7% 4%
Nebraska Omaha 7% 7% 4%
UMKC 7% 6% 4%
North Dakota 3% 3% 2%