Preseason Rankings
Unified Athletic
2026-27


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Central Arkansas 19%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -1.2 172 C +0 169 C- -1 187 0 1 0 1
Austin Peay 18%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.1 191 C -1 182 C- -1 210 0 1 0 1
Tarleton St. 20%   16   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.3 196 C- -2 215 C -1 177 0 1 0 1
Texas Arlington 13%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.7 223 D+ -3 272 C +0 165 0 1 0 1
Arkansas Little Rock 11%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.0 230 C- -2 231 C- -2 234 0 1 0 1
Abilene Christian 9%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.9 248 D -4 298 C -1 175 0 1 0 1
Eastern Kentucky 5%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.1 287 D+ -3 262 D -4 317 0 1 0 1
North Alabama 5%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.4 310 D -5 304 D -4 304 0 1 0 1
West Georgia 0%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.8 315 D -5 322 D+ -3 289 0 1 0 1
West Florida 0%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -14.2 361 F+ -8 358 D- -6 356 0 1 0 1


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Nov 2 230 Arkansas Little Rock 62 53 Virginia Commonwealth 80 94%   
Mon, Nov 2 248 Abilene Christian 64 86 Colorado 78 90%   
Mon, Nov 2 67 DePaul 80 315 West Georgia 59 96%   
Mon, Nov 2 172 Central Arkansas 77 262 Oral Roberts 70 76%   
Mon, Nov 2 310 North Alabama 64 188 UC Davis 73 81%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Tarleton St. 3 28% 20% 6% 3% 28 21 15 11 8 6 5 3 1 0
Austin Peay 3 27% 18% 6% 2% 27 18 14 11 9 6 7 5 3 0
Central Arkansas 3 24% 15% 6% 2% 24 19 14 13 10 8 5 4 2 0
Texas Arlington 5 13% 7% 3% 2% 13 12 13 15 12 10 10 9 7 0
Arkansas Little Rock 5 10% 6% 3% 1% 10 13 12 13 12 12 11 9 7 0
Abilene Christian 5 8% 4% 3% 1% 8 10 11 11 11 13 11 12 12 0
Eastern Kentucky 6 5% 3% 1% 1% 5 8 10 11 12 14 14 14 12 1
North Alabama 6 5% 3% 1% 1% 5 7 8 11 12 13 14 14 15 1
West Georgia 6 5% 2% 2% 1% 5 7 9 10 11 14 14 15 15 1
West Florida 10 0 0 1 9 90

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Tarleton St. 10 - 7 15 - 13 0 0 0 0 1 2 5 7 11 13 15 15 13 9 6 2 1
Austin Peay 10 - 7 15 - 13 0 0 1 2 4 6 8 11 13 14 12 12 9 5 2 1
Central Arkansas 10 - 6 15 - 13 0 0 0 0 1 2 5 9 12 14 14 15 12 8 5 1 0
Texas Arlington 8 - 8 13 - 14 0 0 1 2 4 7 9 13 14 16 12 10 6 4 2 0 0
Arkansas Little Rock 8 - 8 14 - 16 0 0 1 2 6 6 10 14 15 14 13 9 6 3 1 0 0
Abilene Christian 8 - 8 13 - 15 0 0 2 4 7 9 12 14 14 11 11 7 5 2 1 0 0
Eastern Kentucky 7 - 10 11 - 17 0 1 2 4 7 11 15 16 13 13 8 5 3 1 1 0 0
North Alabama 7 - 10 10 - 18 0 0 2 5 7 12 13 16 14 11 8 5 3 1 1 0 0
West Georgia 7 - 10 11 - 18 0 1 2 5 8 12 15 16 14 11 7 6 2 1 0 0 0
West Florida 1 - 4 7 - 22 24 38 26 10 2 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Central Arkansas 19% 19% 0% Negligible 2 5 9 4 81
Austin Peay 18% 18% 0% Negligible 1 3 7 6 82
Tarleton St. 20% 20% 0% 16 Negligible 1 3 9 6 80
Texas Arlington 13% 13% 0% Negligible 2 6 5 87
Arkansas Little Rock 11% 11% 0% Negligible 2 5 4 89
Abilene Christian 9% 9% 0% Negligible 1 3 4 91
Eastern Kentucky 5% 5% 0% Negligible 1 3 95
North Alabama 5% 5% 0% Negligible 1 4 95
West Georgia 0% 0% 0% Negligible 100
West Florida 0% 0% 0% Negligible 100

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100 0
1st Round 68% 0.7 32 68
2nd Round 5% 0.1 95 5
Sweet Sixteen 1% 0.0 99 1
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Central Arkansas 19% 10% 14% 1%
Austin Peay 18% 11% 13% 1%
Tarleton St. 20% 13% 14% 1%
Texas Arlington 13% 9% 9% 1%
Arkansas Little Rock 11% 8% 8%
Abilene Christian 9% 6% 5%
Eastern Kentucky 5% 5% 3%
North Alabama 5% 4% 2%
West Georgia
West Florida