Preseason Rankings
Duke
Atlantic Coast
2026-27
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +23.9 1
INCC Stats Results Rating +0.0 1
Consistency
Pace 64.8 276
Improvement - -

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense A+ 2 A A+ B- B A
Defense A+ 1 A A+ B- A B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 19 A- 64% 13 +8.2 4
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 357 B+ 42% 19 -3.9 340
Three Pointers 46% 81 B- 34% 109 +3.4 65
Selection / Accuracy A +2.1 5 A- +5.6 20
1st FG Attempt A 1.13 4
Second Chance A 39.9% 4 A 1.24 8 A+ 0.50 1
Opponents' Steals C 9.3% 177
Other Turnovers B 6.9% 57
Turnovers B- 16.2% 102
Freethrows B+ 0.35 34 C 70% 172 B 0.25 50
Total Offense A+ +12.7 2

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 61% 43 B- 9.0% 67
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 30% 132 A- 1.5% 8
Three Pointers B 94% 61 A- 0.0% 3
Total B+ 69% 22 B 4.2% 36


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% 350 A- 47% 23 -7.0 8
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 53 B 32% 39 +0.5 232
Three Pointers 45% 64 A- 29% 13 -0.7 149
Selection / Accuracy B+ -1.1 28 A -6.4 7
1st FG Attempt A 0.83 7
Second Chance A 21.4% 5 A+ 0.79 4 A+ 0.17 3
Turnovers from Steals B+ 11.7% 38
Other Turnovers D 7.1% 300
Turnovers B- 18.7% 86
Freethrows A 0.20 3 C 69% 167 A 0.14 5
Total Defense A+ +11.2 1

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A- 38% 7 B- 13.5% 78
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 22% 81 C 5.3% 133
Three Pointers B- 83% 84 A- 2.0% 26
Total B 51% 46 C+ 6.3% 119

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.1 50 19.7 364
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 74 0.12 44
Consistency 0 0

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Chances Likely In (99%)
Projected Seeding 1 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile
Expected
50th Percentile
Optimistic
95th Percentile
Overall Record 21 - 13 26 - 8 31 - 4
Predictive Rating Rank 21 5 1
Results Rating Rank 37 9 1
Conference Record 10 - 8 14 - 4 16 - 2
Conference Finish 7 2 1
NCAA Tourney Seed 8 2 1
NCAA Tourney Finish 1st Round Sweet 16 Champion

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 9% 9% 0%
#1 Seed 30% 30% 0%
Top 2 Seed 52% 52% 0%
Top 4 Seed 78% 78% 100%
Top 6 Seed 90% 90% 100%
Opening Round Bye 98% 98% 100%
NCAA Tourney Bid 99% 99% 100%
At-Large Status Likely In Likely In Lock
At-Large Bid 99% 99% 100%
Average Seed 3.1 3.1 4.0
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conf 99% 99% 100%
Conference Champion 44% 44% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Opening Round2% 2% 0%
First Round98% 98% 100%
Second Round86% 86% 100%
Sweet Sixteen57% 57% 0%
Elite Eight34% 34% 0%
Final Four20% 20% 0%
Championship Game11% 11% 0%
National Champion7% 7% 0%
Next Game: Army (Home) - 100% chance of victory

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance At-Large
Chance
Avg Seed At-Large
Selection Chances
Indiv. Cumul.
35 - 0 35 - 0 0% 100% 1 Auto Bid
34 - 1 34 - 1 0% 100% 1 Auto Bid
33 - 2 33 - 2 1% 100% 100% 1 Lock
32 - 3 32 - 3 2% 99% 100% 1 Lock
31 - 4 31 - 4 4% 97% 100% 1 Lock
30 - 5 30 - 5 6% 93% 100% 1 Lock
29 - 6 29 - 6 9% 87% 100% 1 Lock
28 - 6 28 - 6 11% 78% 100% 2 Lock
27 - 7 27 - 7 13% 66% 100% 2 Lock
26 - 8 26 - 8 13% 53% 100% 3 Lock
25 - 9 25 - 9 11% 40% 100% 3 Lock
24 - 10 24 - 10 9% 30% 100% 4 Lock
23 - 11 23 - 11 8% 20% 100% 5 Lock
22 - 12 22 - 12 6% 13% 100% 6 Lock
21 - 13 21 - 13 3% 7% 100% 7 Lock
20 - 13 20 - 13 2% 4% 95% 9 Likely In
19 - 15 19 - 15 1% 2% 83% 10 Likely In
18 - 16 18 - 16 1% 1% 50% 11 Bubble - In
17 - 17 17 - 17 0% 0% 0% 12 Negligible
16 - 17 16 - 17 0% 0% Negligible
15 - 18 15 - 18 0% 0% Negligible
14 - 18 14 - 18 0% 0% Negligible

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 55 - 5
Quad 1b4 - 29 - 6
Quad 27 - 116 - 8
Quad 34 - 021 - 8
Quad 45 - 026 - 8


Game Schedule and Ratings

Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 2 338 Army W 88 - 51 100%
Thu, Nov 5 247 Coastal Carolina W 85 - 53 100%
Tue, Nov 10 8 Michigan St. W 71 - 66 68%
Fri, Nov 13 276 SIU Edwardsville W 82 - 49 100%
Tue, Nov 17 3 Illinois W 73 - 68 68%
Sat, Nov 21 142 Washington St. W 83 - 60 96%
Wed, Nov 25 4 Connecticut W 69 - 65 57%
Tue, Dec 1 2 Florida L 73 - 75 39%
Fri, Dec 4 124 Harvard W 77 - 52 97%
Tue, Dec 8 39 Georgia W 82 - 71 79%
Tue, Dec 15 249 Campbell W 89 - 57 99%
Thu, Dec 17 328 Grambling St. W 86 - 49 100%
Mon, Dec 21 13 Texas Tech W 74 - 68 62%
Wed, Dec 30 109 Georgia Tech W 83 - 66 85% ✓
Sat, Jan 2 84 California W 81 - 61 91% ✓
Tue, Jan 5 65 Syracuse W 76 - 64 73% ✓
Sat, Jan 9 75 Pittsburgh W 76 - 57 88% ✓
Wed, Jan 13 69 Stanford W 78 - 60 86% ✓
Sat, Jan 16 107 Boston College W 78 - 61 83% ✓
Wed, Jan 20 83 Wake Forest W 77 - 63 75% ✓
Sat, Jan 23 79 Notre Dame W 79 - 59 88% ✓
Sat, Jan 30 48 Clemson W 71 - 62 64% ✓
Mon, Feb 1 18 Miami (FL) W 77 - 67 73% ✓
Sat, Feb 6 14 Virginia W 71 - 67 48% ✓
Tue, Feb 9 58 SMU W 78 - 67 68% ✓
Sat, Feb 13 38 North Carolina W 78 - 64 78% ✓
Tue, Feb 16 62 Florida St. W 82 - 65 85% ✓
Sat, Feb 20 9 Gonzaga W 76 - 70 58%
Wed, Feb 24 11 Louisville W 74 - 71 46% ✓
Sat, Feb 27 51 North Carolina St. W 82 - 66 80% ✓
Mon, Mar 1 14 Virginia W 74 - 64 67% ✓
Sat, Mar 6 38 North Carolina W 75 - 67 57% ✓
Totals 26 - 8 13 - 5 +24 A+ +13 C A- A A+ +11 B- C B


NCAA Tournament Selection

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance Tourney
Bid
Auto At-Large Avg
Seed
At-Large
Selection Chances
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Indiv. Cumul.
35 - 0 35 - 0 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Auto Bid 0
34 - 1 34 - 1 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Auto Bid 0
33 - 2 33 - 2 1% 100% 100% 84% 100% 1 Lock 1
32 - 3 32 - 3 2% 99% 100% 77% 100% 1 Lock 2
31 - 4 31 - 4 4% 97% 100% 75% 100% 1 Lock 4
30 - 5 30 - 5 6% 93% 100% 59% 100% 1 Lock 6
29 - 6 29 - 6 9% 87% 100% 49% 100% 1 Lock 8 1
28 - 6 28 - 6 11% 78% 100% 32% 100% 2 Lock 6 4 1
27 - 7 27 - 7 13% 66% 100% 27% 100% 2 Lock 2 6 4 1
26 - 8 26 - 8 13% 53% 100% 17% 100% 3 Lock 1 6 4 2
25 - 9 25 - 9 11% 40% 100% 8% 100% 3 Lock 3 4 2 1
24 - 10 24 - 10 9% 30% 100% 8% 100% 4 Lock 1 2 3 2 1
23 - 11 23 - 11 8% 20% 100% 2% 100% 5 Lock 1 2 2 2 1
22 - 12 22 - 12 6% 13% 100% 2% 100% 6 Lock 1 2 1 1
21 - 13 21 - 13 3% 7% 100% 100% 7 Lock 1 1 1 1
20 - 13 20 - 13 2% 4% 95% 95% 9 Likely In 0 0 0 0 0
19 - 15 19 - 15 1% 2% 83% 83% 10 Likely In 0 0 0
18 - 16 18 - 16 1% 1% 50% 50% 11 Bubble - In 0 0
17 - 17 17 - 17 0% 0% 0% 0% 12 Negligible 0 0
16 - 17 16 - 17 0% 0% Negligible 0
15 - 18 15 - 18 0% 0% Negligible 0
14 - 18 14 - 18 0% 0% Negligible 0
Total 100% 99% 25% 99% 3 Likely In 30 23 16 10 7 6 4 2 2 1 1 1


At-Large Selection Detail

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Avg Conf Record Wins Chance At-Large Opening Bye Avg
Seed
At-Large
Selection Chances
Average Rating Rank Average Quad Records
Indiv. Cumul. Predictive Results NET Quad 1 Quad 2 Quad 3 Quad 4
35 - 0 35 - 0 18 - 0 0% 100% Auto Bid 1 1 1 17 - 0 9 - 0 5 - 0 4 - 0
34 - 1 34 - 1 18 - 0 0% 100% Auto Bid 1 1 1 13 - 1 10 - 0 5 - 0 6 - 0
33 - 2 33 - 2 17 - 1 1% 100% 100% 100% 1 Lock 1 1 1 14 - 2 9 - 0 5 - 0 5 - 0
32 - 3 32 - 3 17 - 1 2% 99% 100% 100% 1 Lock 1 1 1 14 - 2 8 - 0 5 - 0 5 - 0
31 - 4 31 - 4 16 - 2 4% 97% 100% 100% 1 Lock 2 2 1 13 - 3 8 - 1 5 - 0 5 - 0
30 - 5 30 - 5 15 - 3 6% 93% 100% 100% 1 Lock 2 2 2 12 - 4 8 - 1 5 - 0 5 - 0
29 - 6 29 - 6 15 - 3 9% 87% 100% 100% 1 Lock 3 3 3 11 - 5 8 - 1 4 - 0 5 - 0
28 - 6 28 - 6 14 - 4 11% 78% 100% 100% 2 Lock 3 5 4 11 - 5 8 - 1 5 - 0 5 - 0
27 - 7 27 - 7 14 - 4 13% 66% 100% 100% 2 Lock 5 7 6 10 - 6 7 - 1 5 - 0 5 - 0
26 - 8 26 - 8 13 - 5 13% 53% 100% 100% 3 Lock 6 10 8 9 - 7 7 - 1 5 - 0 5 - 0
25 - 9 25 - 9 13 - 5 11% 40% 100% 100% 3 Lock 7 14 10 8 - 7 7 - 2 4 - 0 5 - 0
24 - 10 24 - 10 12 - 6 9% 30% 100% 100% 4 Lock 9 18 13 8 - 8 7 - 2 4 - 0 5 - 0
23 - 11 23 - 11 12 - 6 8% 20% 100% 99% 5 Lock 12 24 17 7 - 8 6 - 2 4 - 0 5 - 0
22 - 12 22 - 12 11 - 7 6% 13% 100% 99% 6 Lock 14 30 21 7 - 9 6 - 2 4 - 0 5 - 0
21 - 13 21 - 13 11 - 7 3% 7% 100% 94% 7 Lock 19 36 25 6 - 9 6 - 3 4 - 1 5 - 0
20 - 13 20 - 13 10 - 8 2% 4% 95% 68% 9 Likely In 22 42 30 5 - 10 6 - 3 4 - 1 5 - 0
19 - 15 19 - 15 9 - 9 1% 2% 83% 42% 10 Likely In 23 51 34 5 - 11 5 - 3 4 - 1 5 - 0
18 - 16 18 - 16 8 - 10 1% 1% 50% 25% 11 Bubble - In 30 59 43 4 - 11 5 - 4 3 - 1 5 - 0
17 - 17 17 - 17 7 - 11 0% 0% 0% 0% 12 Negligible 35 65 45 3 - 13 5 - 1 3 - 2 5 - 0
16 - 17 16 - 17 7 - 11 0% 0% Negligible 30 73 47 3 - 13 4 - 3 3 - 1 5 - 0
15 - 18 15 - 18 7 - 11 0% 0% Negligible 39 87 58 1 - 14 4 - 4 4 - 0 6 - 0
14 - 18 14 - 18 4 - 14 0% 0% Negligible 33 85 57 4 - 14 2 - 3 3 - 1 5 - 0
Total 13 - 5 100% 99% 98% 3 Likely In 7 13 9 9 - 6 7 - 1 4 - 0 5 - 0


Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

Wins Chance Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place (Percent of all possible outcomes)
Indiv. Cumul. 0 1 2 3+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th 17th 18th Total
18-0 1% 100% 100% 100% 1 1
17-1 4% 99% 100% 97% 3% 4 4
16-2 11% 96% 97% 86% 10% 1% 11 0 11
15-3 15% 85% 84% 56% 25% 3% 13 2 0 15
14-4 20% 69% 57% 22% 24% 8% 2% 11 7 1 0 20
13-5 18% 50% 25% 4% 10% 8% 2% 5 7 5 1 0 18
12-6 14% 31% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0 2 5 4 1 0 14
11-7 9% 18% 0 1 2 3 2 0 0 9
10-8 5% 9% 0 0 1 2 2 1 0 0 5
9-9 2% 4% 0 0 1 0 0 0 2
8-10 1% 1% 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
7-11 0% 1% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
6-12 0% 0% 0 0 0
5-13 0% 0% 0 0
4-14 0% 0 0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 44% 27% 12% 4% 1% 44 20 13 8 5 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 100


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A+ A- B+ B- A- 46% 16% 46% A A A A A+ B- B+ C B A+ A- B A- A 30% 25% 45% B+ A A A+ A+ B- A C A
1.27 64% 42% 34% +6 +2 1.13 40% 1.2 .50 16% .35 70% .25 0.93 47% 32% 29% -6 -1 0.83 21% 0.8 .17 19% .20 69% .24
Nov
2
Army 1.33 70% 45% 37% +10 48% 8% 44% +2 1.22 41% 1.4 .57 14% .41 71% .29 0.76 39% 15% 27% -13 26% 14% 60% 0 0.72 19% 1.7 .13 21% .14 61% .09
15-22 2-4 7-20 10 rb 15 pt 9 to 20-28 5-13 1-7 8-29 7 rb 5 pt 14 to 5-8
Nov
5
Coastal Car. 1.29 62% 49% 36% +7 41% 18% 41% +1 1.13 39% 1.3 .50 11% .34 72% .25 0.81 34% 34% 28% -9 21% 33% 47% -3 0.75 17% 1.9 .11 18% .16 69% .11
12-20 4-9 7-20 11 rb 14 pt 7 to 18-24 4-11 6-16 7-24 6 rb 4 pt 12 to 7-9
Nov
10
Mich St. 1.09 61% 32% 32% +1 38% 11% 51% +1 1.02 29% 1.1 .32 16% .30 70% .21 1.01 58% 34% 32% 0 31% 29% 40% -2 0.94 32% 0.9 .30 19% .25 75% .19
11-18 2-5 8-24 9 rb 10 pt 10 to 13-19 8-14 5-14 6-19 9 rb 9 pt 12 to 12-16
Nov
13
SIUE 1.28 65% 54% 34% +7 42% 10% 48% +2 1.15 44% 1.2 .53 15% .37 73% .27 0.76 38% 29% 27% -11 26% 33% 41% -2 0.72 18% 1.9 .13 21% .15 55% .08
12-19 2-5 7-21 11 rb 14 pt 9 to 18-24 5-12 5-16 5-19 6 rb 5 pt 13 to 5-9
Nov
17
Illinois 1.13 62% 36% 31% +1 34% 18% 48% 0 1.00 34% 1.2 .40 12% .21 69% .14 1.05 56% 29% 30% -3 28% 17% 55% 0 0.91 32% 1.1 .34 15% .21 75% .16
11-17 3-9 8-25 11 rb 13 pt 8 to 10-14 8-14 2-8 8-27 11 rb 11 pt 9 to 10-14
Nov
21
WA St. 1.23 64% 50% 33% +6 45% 12% 44% +2 1.12 37% 1.3 .48 14% .34 72% .24 0.89 55% 30% 32% -2 28% 22% 50% -1 0.92 20% 1.9 .14 20% .17 68% .12
14-22 3-6 7-21 10 rb 13 pt 9 to 17-23 8-14 3-11 8-25 6 rb 4 pt 14 to 7-10
Nov
25
Uconn 1.07 55% 37% 29% -2 46% 12% 41% +2 0.96 35% 1.1 .40 19% .38 70% .27 1.01 59% 38% 30% 0 33% 18% 49% 0 0.97 30% 1.2 .27 18% .20 70% .14
11-20 2-5 5-18 10 rb 11 pt 12 to 17-24 9-16 3-8 7-23 9 rb 8 pt 12 to 9-12
Dec
1
Florida 1.05 55% 32% 32% -1 44% 18% 38% +1 0.96 31% 1.0 .32 16% .32 68% .22 1.08 63% 39% 29% +1 39% 17% 45% +1 1.00 37% 0.8 .35 17% .25 72% .18
12-22 3-9 6-19 10 rb 10 pt 11 to 15-22 12-20 3-8 6-22 11 rb 11 pt 12 to 12-17
Dec
4
Harvard 1.24 63% 59% 33% +6 51% 7% 43% +3 1.14 40% 1.3 .51 15% .30 72% .22 0.84 48% 33% 31% -4 30% 23% 47% -1 0.87 18% 2.0 .10 21% .13 83% .11
15-23 2-3 6-19 10 rb 13 pt 9 to 14-19 7-14 4-11 7-22 5 rb 3 pt 13 to 6-7
Dec
8
Georgia 1.15 60% 42% 33% +3 46% 10% 44% +2 1.08 41% 1.1 .45 19% .30 68% .20 1.00 56% 31% 30% -3 34% 16% 50% 0 0.93 28% 1.5 .25 16% .22 72% .16
14-23 2-5 7-22 12 rb 13 pt 13 to 14-21 10-18 3-9 8-27 10 rb 9 pt 12 to 11-15
Dec
15
Campbell 1.29 70% 40% 37% +10 52% 12% 35% +2 1.22 42% 1.4 .58 16% .36 73% .26 0.83 45% 21% 26% -11 40% 19% 41% 0 0.76 24% 1.7 .19 20% .28 67% .19
18-25 2-6 6-17 11 rb 14 pt 11 to 18-25 9-19 2-9 5-20 9 rb 7 pt 14 to 12-18
Dec
17
Grambling 1.30 69% 64% 36% +10 50% 4% 47% +3 1.23 45% 1.2 .56 18% .39 73% .28 0.74 40% 26% 26% -12 31% 27% 42% -1 0.71 19% 2.0 .13 23% .21 68% .14
15-22 1-2 7-21 11 rb 13 pt 12 to 19-25 6-14 3-13 5-20 6 rb 5 pt 15 to 8-12
Dec
21
Texas Tech 1.13 64% 39% 31% +3 38% 20% 42% 0 1.03 36% 1.2 .42 16% .31 67% .21 1.04 55% 38% 36% +4 23% 24% 53% -1 1.01 27% 1.4 .23 17% .17 70% .12
11-18 4-9 6-20 10 rb 12 pt 10 to 14-21 6-12 5-12 9-26 8 rb 7 pt 11 to 7-11
Dec
30
GA Tech 1.19 62% 33% 33% +3 40% 10% 49% +2 1.06 39% 1.3 .49 16% .34 70% .24 0.94 54% 33% 32% -1 33% 29% 39% -1 0.92 25% 1.8 .23 19% .20 73% .14
12-20 2-5 8-24 12 rb 15 pt 11 to 17-24 9-17 5-15 6-20 8 rb 8 pt 13 to 9-13
Jan
2
California 1.20 63% 48% 32% +4 46% 7% 47% +2 1.09 38% 1.2 .48 16% .35 66% .23 0.90 48% 32% 32% -4 26% 27% 47% -2 0.86 18% 2.2 .13 17% .22 73% .16
13-21 2-3 7-22 11 rb 14 pt 11 to 16-24 6-13 4-14 7-24 6 rb 4 pt 11 to 10-14
Jan
5
Syracuse 1.14 58% 22% 31% -1 49% 10% 41% +2 1.00 40% 1.3 .53 18% .33 69% .23 0.96 56% 35% 31% -1 34% 24% 42% -1 0.93 23% 2.0 .20 17% .22 61% .14
13-22 1-4 6-19 12 rb 15 pt 12 to 15-22 9-17 4-12 6-21 7 rb 6 pt 12 to 9-14
Jan
9
Pitt 1.21 65% 48% 35% +7 47% 8% 45% +2 1.16 36% 1.2 .44 16% .31 75% .23 0.90 50% 30% 29% -6 31% 21% 48% -1 0.85 26% 1.2 .21 19% .18 59% .11
14-21 2-4 7-20 9 rb 11 pt 10 to 14-19 7-14 3-10 6-23 8 rb 7 pt 12 to 6-11
Jan
13
Stanford 1.19 62% 42% 32% +4 48% 13% 39% +2 1.08 38% 1.3 .50 18% .38 75% .29 0.91 46% 22% 31% -7 37% 15% 48% +1 0.85 25% 1.5 .19 17% .22 66% .14
13-21 2-6 6-17 10 rb 13 pt 12 to 19-25 8-18 2-7 7-24 9 rb 6 pt 12 to 9-14
Jan
16
Boston Col 1.19 63% 38% 33% +4 46% 11% 44% +2 1.08 37% 1.1 .42 14% .34 67% .23 0.93 49% 39% 28% -4 25% 28% 47% -2 0.85 24% 1.4 .20 16% .19 64% .12
13-21 2-5 7-20 11 rb 12 pt 9 to 15-23 6-12 5-14 7-24 8 rb 7 pt 11 to 7-12
Jan
20
Wake Forest 1.15 62% 36% 31% +2 42% 5% 53% +2 1.05 39% 1.2 .47 18% .34 70% .24 0.94 50% 35% 29% -5 29% 21% 50% -1 0.87 23% 1.9 .22 17% .22 74% .16
12-19 1-2 7-24 11 rb 13 pt 12 to 16-23 7-15 4-11 7-25 8 rb 8 pt 11 to 10-14
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
23
Notre Dame 1.21 66% 47% 33% +5 38% 9% 54% +2 1.10 35% 1.3 .44 15% .35 73% .25 0.90 54% 30% 30% -4 25% 26% 48% -2 0.87 24% 1.4 .17 19% .22 62% .14
12-18 2-4 8-25 10 rb 12 pt 10 to 17-23 7-12 4-13 7-23 8 rb 6 pt 12 to 8-13
Jan
30
Clemson 1.13 61% 35% 32% +2 40% 12% 48% +1 1.04 33% 1.2 .40 18% .33 74% .24 0.98 54% 37% 31% -1 33% 19% 48% 0 0.95 21% 1.7 .15 15% .24 71% .17
11-18 2-5 7-21 9 rb 11 pt 11 to 15-20 8-16 3-9 7-23 6 rb 5 pt 10 to 10-15
Feb
1
Miami FL 1.15 64% 35% 35% +5 42% 12% 46% +1 1.10 33% 1.3 .43 18% .30 70% .21 1.00 58% 33% 29% -1 41% 24% 35% 0 0.94 30% 1.2 .29 18% .23 65% .15
12-20 2-6 8-22 9 rb 12 pt 12 to 13-19 12-20 4-12 5-17 9 rb 9 pt 12 to 10-15
Feb
6
Virginia 1.09 54% 36% 31% -1 41% 16% 43% +1 0.96 35% 1.1 .37 16% .32 72% .23 1.03 52% 36% 33% -1 31% 17% 52% 0 0.95 31% 1.1 .31 17% .20 72% .14
10-19 3-7 6-20 10 rb 11 pt 10 to 15-21 8-15 3-8 8-25 10 rb 10 pt 11 to 9-13
Feb
9
SMU 1.15 62% 31% 33% +2 38% 11% 51% +1 1.05 38% 1.2 .45 18% .31 67% .21 0.98 54% 38% 32% 0 30% 29% 41% -2 0.94 28% 1.5 .24 17% .18 67% .12
11-18 2-5 8-24 11 rb 13 pt 12 to 14-21 8-16 6-15 7-21 9 rb 8 pt 12 to 8-12
Feb
13
UNC 1.16 59% 37% 35% +4 41% 17% 42% +1 1.06 35% 1.1 .40 14% .25 70% .17 0.95 54% 30% 30% -4 32% 22% 46% 0 0.89 23% 1.5 .20 16% .24 59% .14
12-21 3-8 8-22 11 rb 12 pt 9 to 12-17 9-16 3-11 7-23 8 rb 7 pt 11 to 9-15
Feb
16
FL St. 1.18 64% 43% 35% +6 39% 10% 51% +2 1.12 41% 1.1 .46 19% .32 68% .22 0.93 50% 27% 29% -6 30% 16% 54% 0 0.85 22% 1.6 .21 16% .21 65% .13
12-19 2-5 9-25 12 rb 13 pt 13 to 15-22 8-16 2-9 8-28 8 rb 8 pt 11 to 9-14
Feb
20
Gonzaga 1.12 66% 36% 31% +3 37% 16% 47% +1 1.03 35% 1.2 .40 19% .32 71% .23 1.03 64% 41% 29% +3 31% 32% 37% -2 0.98 28% 1.4 .27 15% .18 69% .12
11-17 3-7 7-22 10 rb 12 pt 13 to 15-21 10-16 7-17 6-20 9 rb 9 pt 10 to 8-12
Feb
24
Louisville 1.08 61% 27% 30% -1 38% 16% 46% +1 0.97 33% 1.2 .40 17% .32 67% .22 1.03 61% 34% 34% +3 32% 12% 56% +1 1.04 26% 1.4 .22 18% .21 75% .16
11-18 2-8 7-22 10 rb 13 pt 12 to 15-22 10-16 2-6 10-29 8 rb 7 pt 12 to 10-13
Feb
27
NC St. 1.20 64% 52% 35% +6 44% 4% 52% +3 1.15 37% 1.2 .46 19% .35 70% .25 0.97 51% 25% 32% -4 33% 19% 48% 0 0.90 21% 1.9 .21 15% .23 72% .16
13-20 1-2 8-24 10 rb 12 pt 13 to 16-23 9-17 3-10 8-25 7 rb 7 pt 10 to 11-15
Mar
1
Virginia 1.13 56% 40% 33% +1 41% 16% 43% +1 1.01 36% 1.1 .40 16% .32 74% .23 0.99 49% 32% 31% -4 31% 17% 52% 0 0.90 30% 1.2 .28 17% .20 68% .13
11-19 3-7 6-20 10 rb 11 pt 10 to 15-21 7-15 3-8 8-25 10 rb 9 pt 11 to 8-12
Mar
6
UNC 1.11 57% 34% 34% +1 41% 17% 42% +1 1.01 34% 1.1 .37 14% .25 67% .16 0.99 57% 33% 31% -1 32% 22% 46% 0 0.94 24% 1.5 .22 15% .24 62% .15
12-21 3-8 7-22 11 rb 12 pt 10 to 11-17 9-16 4-11 7-23 8 rb 7 pt 10 to 10-16