Pre-tourney Rankings
Atlantic 10
2010-11


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
37 Temple 94.3%   8   25 - 7 14 - 2 25 - 7 14 - 2 +11.1      +5.5 38 +5.6 38 66.3 222 +12.4 26 +14.0 2
41 Xavier 96.3%   7   24 - 7 15 - 1 24 - 7 15 - 1 +10.9      +5.5 37 +5.4 42 65.7 235 +11.7 32 +18.7 1
47 Richmond 100.0%   11   27 - 7 13 - 3 27 - 7 13 - 3 +10.2      +5.1 47 +5.0 46 62.0 308 +11.3 38 +10.7 3
53 Duquesne 0.0%   17 - 12 10 - 6 17 - 12 10 - 6 +9.3      +4.6 55 +4.7 54 78.9 20 +4.6 102 +6.0 5
100 Dayton 1.0%   22 - 13 7 - 9 22 - 13 7 - 9 +4.4      +2.1 100 +2.3 98 66.8 208 +6.6 74 +2.1 8
124 Rhode Island 0.0%   19 - 13 9 - 7 19 - 13 9 - 7 +2.7      +1.3 127 +1.4 122 69.6 131 +4.3 106 +3.4 6
133 Saint Louis 0.0%   11 - 19 6 - 10 11 - 19 6 - 10 +2.2      +0.9 140 +1.3 127 64.5 256 -1.4 187 -0.1 10
138 St. Bonaventure 0.0%   16 - 14 8 - 8 16 - 14 8 - 8 +1.9      +1.0 137 +0.9 139 63.9 268 +2.5 131 +2.7 7
158 George Washington 0.0%   17 - 14 10 - 6 17 - 14 10 - 6 +0.5      +0.2 159 +0.3 158 64.3 261 +1.7 144 +6.5 4
169 La Salle 0.0%   15 - 18 6 - 10 15 - 18 6 - 10 -0.3      0.0 166 -0.2 172 81.7 8 +0.2 164 -0.4 11
181 Massachusetts 0.0%   14 - 15 7 - 9 14 - 15 7 - 9 -1.1      -0.7 190 -0.4 175 72.0 73 +1.2 148 +1.3 9
183 Saint Joseph's 0.0%   11 - 22 4 - 12 11 - 22 4 - 12 -1.1      -0.4 177 -0.7 190 63.3 280 -1.0 179 -3.5 12
199 Charlotte 0.0%   10 - 20 2 - 14 10 - 20 2 - 14 -2.3      -1.2 199 -1.2 199 65.4 241 -2.6 206 -9.5 13
290 Fordham 0.0%   7 - 21 1 - 15 7 - 21 1 - 15 -8.0      -4.0 287 -4.0 291 70.2 118 -6.2 262 -11.1 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Temple 2.0 100.0
Xavier 1.0 100.0
Richmond 3.0 100.0
Duquesne 4.0 100.0
Dayton 8.0 100.0
Rhode Island 6.0 100.0
Saint Louis 10.0 100.0
St. Bonaventure 7.0 100.0
George Washington 4.0 100.0
La Salle 10.0 100.0
Massachusetts 8.0 100.0
Saint Joseph's 12.0 100.0
Charlotte 13.0 100.0
Fordham 14.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Temple 14 - 2 100.0
Xavier 15 - 1 100.0
Richmond 13 - 3 100.0
Duquesne 10 - 6 100.0
Dayton 7 - 9 100.0
Rhode Island 9 - 7 100.0
Saint Louis 6 - 10 100.0
St. Bonaventure 8 - 8 100.0
George Washington 10 - 6 100.0
La Salle 6 - 10 100.0
Massachusetts 7 - 9 100.0
Saint Joseph's 4 - 12 100.0
Charlotte 2 - 14 100.0
Fordham 1 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Temple
Xavier 100.0% 100.0
Richmond
Duquesne
Dayton
Rhode Island
Saint Louis
St. Bonaventure
George Washington
La Salle
Massachusetts
Saint Joseph's
Charlotte
Fordham


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Temple 94.3% 0.0% 94.3% 8   0.9 7.8 16.6 23.7 26.8 14.3 3.8 0.4 5.7 94.3%
Xavier 96.3% 0.0% 96.3% 7   0.0 3.8 24.0 34.1 23.3 9.4 1.5 0.1 3.7 96.3%
Richmond 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 11   0.1 0.3 2.6 11.5 28.9 36.6 19.8 0.2
Duquesne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Dayton 1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.7 0.2 99.0 1.0%
Rhode Island 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Saint Louis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Bonaventure 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
George Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
La Salle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Massachusetts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Saint Joseph's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Charlotte 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fordham 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Temple 94.3% 0.1% 94.2% 46.0% 12.4% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Xavier 96.3% 0.0% 96.3% 49.5% 14.6% 5.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Richmond 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 41.8% 12.3% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Duquesne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dayton 1.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rhode Island 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Saint Louis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Bonaventure 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
La Salle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Massachusetts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Saint Joseph's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fordham 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 2.9 0.2 8.9 90.1 0.8
1st Round 100.0% 2.9 0.2 9.1 90.5 0.3
2nd Round 85.8% 1.4 14.2 42.2 35.6 8.0 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 34.5% 0.4 65.5 29.9 4.3 0.3
Elite Eight 13.2% 0.1 86.8 12.7 0.5
Final Four 4.1% 0.0 95.9 4.1 0.0
Final Game 1.1% 0.0 98.9 1.1
Champion 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3