Pre-tourney Rankings
Horizon
2010-11


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
51 Butler 100.0%   12   22 - 9 13 - 5 22 - 9 13 - 5 +9.6      +4.9 50 +4.7 52 64.0 265 +9.1 54 +7.1 3
71 Cleveland St. 9.4%   24 - 8 13 - 5 24 - 8 13 - 5 +7.4      +3.7 70 +3.6 71 67.7 177 +9.0 58 +7.5 2
96 Valparaiso 0.2%   21 - 11 12 - 6 21 - 11 12 - 6 +4.7      +2.3 93 +2.4 96 68.4 159 +6.1 84 +6.2 4
113 Wright St. 0.0%   17 - 14 10 - 8 17 - 14 10 - 8 +3.3      +1.7 112 +1.7 113 59.7 326 +3.1 124 +3.4 6
131 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0%   19 - 13 13 - 5 19 - 13 13 - 5 +2.3      +1.2 130 +1.1 132 68.3 162 +4.7 101 +8.2 1
136 Detroit Mercy 0.0%   16 - 16 10 - 8 16 - 16 10 - 8 +2.1      +1.1 132 +1.0 137 77.5 25 +1.3 147 +3.5 5
148 Loyola Chicago 0.0%   16 - 15 7 - 11 16 - 15 7 - 11 +1.3      +0.7 145 +0.6 148 66.6 213 +0.5 156 -0.7 8
159 Green Bay 0.0%   13 - 18 8 - 10 13 - 18 8 - 10 +0.5      +0.2 158 +0.2 160 66.7 211 +0.4 158 +0.9 7
249 Illinois-Chicago 0.0%   6 - 24 2 - 16 6 - 24 2 - 16 -5.1      -2.7 250 -2.5 246 65.9 230 -7.5 278 -9.7 10
251 Youngstown St. 0.0%   7 - 21 2 - 16 7 - 21 2 - 16 -5.5      -2.7 251 -2.8 253 74.9 41 -6.0 258 -9.6 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Butler 1.0 100.0
Cleveland St. 1.0 100.0
Valparaiso 4.0 100.0
Wright St. 5.0 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1.0 100.0
Detroit Mercy 5.0 100.0
Loyola Chicago 8.0 100.0
Green Bay 7.0 100.0
Illinois-Chicago 9.0 100.0
Youngstown St. 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Butler 13 - 5 100.0
Cleveland St. 13 - 5 100.0
Valparaiso 12 - 6 100.0
Wright St. 10 - 8 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 13 - 5 100.0
Detroit Mercy 10 - 8 100.0
Loyola Chicago 7 - 11 100.0
Green Bay 8 - 10 100.0
Illinois-Chicago 2 - 16 100.0
Youngstown St. 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Butler 100.0% 100.0
Cleveland St. 100.0% 100.0
Valparaiso
Wright St.
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 100.0% 100.0
Detroit Mercy
Loyola Chicago
Green Bay
Illinois-Chicago
Youngstown St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Butler 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 0.0 0.9 9.8 32.2 56.4 0.8
Cleveland St. 9.4% 0.0% 9.4% 0.0 0.1 7.3 1.9 90.6 9.4%
Valparaiso 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1 0.1 99.8 0.2%
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Loyola Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Illinois-Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Butler 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 37.1% 11.4% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Cleveland St. 9.4% 9.2% 4.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Valparaiso 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Illinois-Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.1 90.4 9.6 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 95.9 4.1
2nd Round 37.7% 0.4 62.3 37.3 0.4
Sweet Sixteen 11.7% 0.1 88.3 11.6 0.0
Elite Eight 3.1% 0.0 96.9 3.1
Final Four 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Final Game 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.1