Pre-tourney Rankings
Butler
Horizon
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.6#51
Expected Predictive Rating+9.1#54
Pace64.0#265
Improvement-1.0#218

Offense
Total Offense+4.9#50
Improvement-1.2#237

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#52
Improvement+0.2#158
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round37.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen11.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2010 11   @ Louisville L 73-88 18%     0 - 1 +4.3 +9.2 +9.5
  Nov 20, 2010 167   Ball St. W 88-55 88%     1 - 1 +29.7 -0.9 -0.9
  Nov 23, 2010 208   @ Siena W 70-57 81%     2 - 1 +13.4 +0.2 +0.7
  Nov 27, 2010 184   Evansville L 68-71 OT 90%     2 - 2 -7.3 -2.5 -1.9
  Dec 01, 2010 148   @ Loyola Chicago W 65-63 69%     3 - 2 1 - 0 +6.5 +2.5 +2.1
  Dec 04, 2010 2   Duke L 70-82 15%     3 - 3 +8.8 +10.1 +10.2
  Dec 09, 2010 41   @ Xavier L 49-51 33%     3 - 4 +12.1 +6.1 +7.8
  Dec 11, 2010 318   Mississippi Valley W 91-71 98%     4 - 4 +6.0 -6.1 -7.0
  Dec 18, 2010 94   Stanford W 83-50 78%     5 - 4 +34.5 +1.5 +1.6
  Dec 22, 2010 137   Utah W 74-62 77%     6 - 4 +14.0 +0.9 +1.6
  Dec 23, 2010 40   Florida St. W 67-64 45%     7 - 4 +14.0 +5.9 +5.3
  Dec 25, 2010 48   Washington St. W 84-68 48%     8 - 4 +26.0 +5.4 +5.3
  Jan 01, 2011 96   Valparaiso W 76-59 78%     9 - 4 2 - 0 +18.5 +1.1 +1.2
  Jan 03, 2011 131   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 52-76 66%     9 - 5 2 - 1 -18.5 +2.2 +2.0
  Jan 07, 2011 71   Cleveland St. W 79-56 70%     10 - 5 3 - 1 +27.2 +2.2 +3.0
  Jan 09, 2011 251   Youngstown St. W 84-79 95%     11 - 5 4 - 1 -3.7 -3.6 -4.8
  Jan 14, 2011 136   @ Detroit Mercy W 87-64 66%     12 - 5 5 - 1 +28.3 +3.1 +3.2
  Jan 16, 2011 113   @ Wright St. L 64-69 62%     12 - 6 5 - 2 +1.5 +3.1 +3.2
  Jan 21, 2011 159   Green Bay W 81-75 87%     13 - 6 6 - 2 +3.3 -1.0 -1.5
  Jan 23, 2011 131   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 80-86 OT 84%     13 - 7 6 - 3 -6.9 -0.5 -0.7
  Jan 29, 2011 96   @ Valparaiso L 79-85 OT 57%     13 - 8 6 - 4 +1.9 +4.0 +3.6
  Feb 03, 2011 251   @ Youngstown St. L 60-62 87%     13 - 9 6 - 5 -4.3 -1.4 -1.0
  Feb 05, 2011 71   @ Cleveland St. W 73-61 47%     14 - 9 7 - 5 +22.5 +5.6 +5.5
  Feb 07, 2011 249   Illinois-Chicago W 72-65 94%     15 - 9 8 - 5 -1.3 -4.0 -3.9
  Feb 10, 2011 113   Wright St. W 71-63 81%     16 - 9 9 - 5 +8.2 +0.3 +0.2
  Feb 12, 2011 136   Detroit Mercy W 66-51 84%     17 - 9 10 - 5 +13.9 -0.5 +0.2
  Feb 15, 2011 159   @ Green Bay W 64-62 72%     18 - 9 11 - 5 +5.6 +1.7 +2.0
  Feb 19, 2011 249   @ Illinois-Chicago W 79-52 86%     19 - 9 12 - 5 +25.0 -0.3 -0.3
  Feb 26, 2011 148   Loyola Chicago W 63-56 86%     20 - 9 13 - 5 +5.1 -1.0 -0.6
  Mar 05, 2011 71   Cleveland St. W 76-68 59%     21 - 9 +15.4 +4.0 +3.7
  Mar 08, 2011 131   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 59-44 66%     22 - 9 +20.5 +2.6 +3.7
Projected Record 22.0 - 9.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.9 9.8 32.2 56.4 0.8
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.9 9.8 32.2 56.4 0.8