Pre-tourney Rankings
Valparaiso
Horizon
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.7#96
Expected Predictive Rating+6.1#84
Pace68.4#159
Improvement+1.1#123

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#93
Improvement+1.1#121

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#96
Improvement+0.0#168
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% n/a n/a
First Round0.1% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2010 3   @ Kansas L 44-79 5%     0 - 1 -11.4 +10.4 +11.6
  Nov 23, 2010 155   @ Ohio L 75-78 52%     0 - 2 +1.1 +2.0 +2.0
  Nov 26, 2010 125   Northern Colorado W 76-61 58%     1 - 2 +17.7 +1.5 +1.8
  Nov 27, 2010 311   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 68-62 91%     2 - 2 -4.1 -4.9 -4.9
  Dec 02, 2010 249   @ Illinois-Chicago W 68-66 OT 74%     3 - 2 1 - 0 +0.0 -1.4 -0.5
  Dec 04, 2010 148   @ Loyola Chicago W 66-56 51%     4 - 2 2 - 0 +14.5 +2.0 +2.9
  Dec 07, 2010 6   Purdue L 58-76 19%     4 - 3 -3.8 +6.4 +7.0
  Dec 11, 2010 328   @ Toledo L 72-75 OT 91%     4 - 4 -13.3 -5.4 -5.1
  Dec 18, 2010 186   Purdue Fort Wayne W 63-47 80%     5 - 4 +11.7 -2.5 -1.0
  Dec 20, 2010 281   Eastern Michigan W 74-67 87%     6 - 4 -0.5 -3.5 -3.7
  Dec 21, 2010 60   @ Oakland W 103-102 24%     7 - 4 +12.9 +6.6 +5.3
  Dec 28, 2010 167   Ball St. W 69-52 78%     8 - 4 +13.7 -1.4 -1.0
  Jan 01, 2011 51   @ Butler L 59-76 22%     8 - 5 2 - 1 -4.2 +5.9 +6.1
  Jan 07, 2011 251   Youngstown St. W 79-55 89%     9 - 5 3 - 1 +15.3 -4.2 -3.5
  Jan 09, 2011 71   Cleveland St. W 64-58 52%     10 - 5 4 - 1 +10.2 +1.8 +2.7
  Jan 14, 2011 113   @ Wright St. W 71-60 43%     11 - 5 5 - 1 +17.5 +3.7 +3.4
  Jan 16, 2011 136   @ Detroit Mercy W 78-68 48%     12 - 5 6 - 1 +15.3 +2.9 +2.9
  Jan 21, 2011 131   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 60-43 70%     13 - 5 7 - 1 +16.1 -0.7 +0.7
  Jan 23, 2011 159   Green Bay L 61-63 76%     13 - 6 7 - 2 -4.7 -1.8 -1.0
  Jan 29, 2011 51   Butler W 85-79 OT 43%     14 - 6 8 - 2 +12.5 +3.5 +3.2
  Feb 03, 2011 71   @ Cleveland St. L 65-76 29%     14 - 7 8 - 3 -0.5 +4.8 +5.3
  Feb 05, 2011 251   @ Youngstown St. W 86-78 OT 75%     15 - 7 9 - 3 +5.7 -1.3 -0.8
  Feb 10, 2011 136   Detroit Mercy W 82-74 71%     16 - 7 10 - 3 +6.9 -0.4 -0.3
  Feb 12, 2011 113   Wright St. W 58-56 67%     17 - 7 11 - 3 +2.2 -0.2 +0.5
  Feb 16, 2011 131   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 76-79 47%     17 - 8 11 - 4 +2.5 +2.9 +2.4
  Feb 19, 2011 79   Missouri St. W 80-67 57%     18 - 8 +15.9 +2.0 +1.5
  Feb 21, 2011 159   @ Green Bay L 80-81 OT 54%     18 - 9 11 - 5 +2.6 +1.7 +1.9
  Feb 24, 2011 148   Loyola Chicago L 48-68 74%     18 - 10 11 - 6 -21.9 -1.8 -1.2
  Feb 26, 2011 249   Illinois-Chicago W 79-65 88%     19 - 10 12 - 6 +5.7 -3.9 -3.8
  Mar 01, 2011 251   Youngstown St. W 80-71 89%     20 - 10 +0.3 -4.3 -4.0
  Mar 04, 2011 136   Detroit Mercy W 88-78 60%     21 - 10 +12.1 +1.4 +1.1
  Mar 05, 2011 131   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 63-70 47%     21 - 11 -1.5 +2.3 +2.8
Projected Record 21.0 - 11.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 0.2% 0.2% 12.4 0.1 0.1 99.8 0.2%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 12.4 0.1 0.1 99.8 0.2%