Pre-tourney Rankings
BYU
Mountain West
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.1#12
Expected Predictive Rating+18.4#7
Pace79.4#17
Improvement-3.4#303

Offense
Total Offense+8.1#10
Improvement-1.2#239

Defense
Total Defense+7.9#13
Improvement-2.2#281
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 1.7% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 21.5% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 66.6% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 99.8% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round90.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen60.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight33.2% n/a n/a
Final Four15.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game6.9% n/a n/a
National Champion2.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 162   Fresno St. W 83-56 95%     1 - 0 +24.0 -1.4 -0.5
  Nov 17, 2010 21   Utah St. W 78-72 72%     2 - 0 +15.9 +5.2 +5.0
  Nov 20, 2010 345   Chicago St. W 109-60 99.8%    3 - 0 +24.5 -11.7 -11.1
  Nov 23, 2010 318   Mississippi Valley W 86-36 99%     4 - 0 +36.0 -7.0 -5.1
  Nov 26, 2010 112   South Florida W 77-75 2OT 88%     5 - 0 +5.4 +1.5 +2.0
  Nov 27, 2010 44   St. Mary's W 74-73 71%     6 - 0 +11.3 +4.9 +5.5
  Dec 01, 2010 119   @ Creighton W 77-65 83%     7 - 0 +18.1 +3.5 +3.2
  Dec 04, 2010 156   Hawaii W 78-57 92%     8 - 0 +21.7 +0.7 +0.9
  Dec 08, 2010 146   Vermont W 86-58 91%     9 - 0 +29.3 +1.1 +1.4
  Dec 11, 2010 25   Arizona W 87-65 62%     10 - 0 +34.8 +6.7 +7.1
  Dec 18, 2010 50   UCLA L 79-86 73%     10 - 1 +2.7 +5.0 +4.4
  Dec 21, 2010 166   @ Weber St. W 72-66 88%     11 - 1 +9.1 +1.3 +2.0
  Dec 23, 2010 67   UTEP W 89-68 85%     12 - 1 +25.7 +2.8 +2.8
  Dec 30, 2010 116   @ Buffalo W 90-82 82%     13 - 1 +14.2 +3.5 +3.1
  Jan 05, 2011 26   @ UNLV W 89-77 50%     14 - 1 1 - 0 +28.0 +8.4 +8.0
  Jan 08, 2011 108   Air Force W 76-66 92%     15 - 1 2 - 0 +10.4 +0.4 +0.4
  Jan 11, 2011 137   @ Utah W 104-79 85%     16 - 1 3 - 0 +30.1 +3.3 +2.8
  Jan 18, 2011 160   TCU W 83-67 95%     17 - 1 4 - 0 +13.2 -1.1 -1.0
  Jan 22, 2011 72   @ Colorado St. W 94-85 71%     18 - 1 5 - 0 +19.2 +5.9 +4.7
  Jan 26, 2011 10   San Diego St. W 71-58 61%     19 - 1 6 - 0 +26.1 +6.8 +7.0
  Jan 29, 2011 46   @ New Mexico L 77-86 60%     19 - 2 6 - 1 +4.4 +6.6 +6.4
  Feb 02, 2011 224   @ Wyoming W 69-62 93%     20 - 2 7 - 1 +6.9 -0.3 +0.5
  Feb 05, 2011 26   UNLV W 78-64 73%     21 - 2 8 - 1 +23.6 +5.0 +5.2
  Feb 09, 2011 108   @ Air Force W 90-52 81%     22 - 2 9 - 1 +44.7 +4.0 +4.4
  Feb 12, 2011 137   Utah W 72-59 94%     23 - 2 10 - 1 +11.8 -0.6 +0.0
  Feb 19, 2011 160   @ TCU W 79-56 88%     24 - 2 11 - 1 +26.5 +2.2 +2.4
  Feb 23, 2011 72   Colorado St. W 84-76 87%     25 - 2 12 - 1 +11.9 +1.9 +2.3
  Feb 26, 2011 10   @ San Diego St. W 80-67 37%     26 - 2 13 - 1 +32.5 +10.2 +9.9
  Mar 02, 2011 46   New Mexico L 64-82 80%     26 - 3 13 - 2 -11.0 +2.8 +3.5
  Mar 05, 2011 224   Wyoming W 102-78 97%     27 - 3 14 - 2 +17.6 -2.1 -3.3
  Mar 10, 2011 160   TCU W 64-58 92%     28 - 3 +6.3 +0.2 +0.4
  Mar 11, 2011 46   New Mexico W 87-76 71%     29 - 3 +21.2 +5.7 +5.0
  Mar 12, 2011 10   San Diego St. L 54-72 49%     29 - 4 -1.7 +7.7 +7.7
Projected Record 29.0 - 4.0 14.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.2 21.5 45.1 26.5 6.8 0.2 100.0%
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.2 21.5 45.1 26.5 6.8 0.2 100.0%