Pre-tourney Rankings
Duke
Atlantic Coast
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+20.8#2
Expected Predictive Rating+19.9#4
Pace75.6#36
Improvement-3.1#292

Offense
Total Offense+10.4#2
Improvement-1.6#260

Defense
Total Defense+10.3#2
Improvement-1.5#249
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 9.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 54.8% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 94.9% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round97.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen79.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight58.8% n/a n/a
Final Four40.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game25.2% n/a n/a
National Champion15.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2010 84   Princeton W 97-60 95%     1 - 0 +39.3 +1.8 +2.0
  Nov 16, 2010 176   Miami (OH) W 79-45 98%     2 - 0 +30.2 -1.7 -0.6
  Nov 19, 2010 313   Colgate W 110-58 99.5%    3 - 0 +38.6 -5.9 -5.6
  Nov 22, 2010 23   Marquette W 82-77 77%     4 - 0 +18.0 +6.3 +6.9
  Nov 23, 2010 27   Kansas St. W 82-68 78%     5 - 0 +26.6 +6.4 +6.8
  Nov 27, 2010 88   Oregon W 98-71 92%     6 - 0 +32.0 +2.8 +3.2
  Dec 01, 2010 42   Michigan St. W 84-79 89%     7 - 0 +12.5 +4.1 +3.7
  Dec 04, 2010 51   Butler W 82-70 85%     8 - 0 +21.6 +5.0 +5.2
  Dec 08, 2010 196   Bradley W 83-48 98%     9 - 0 +29.9 -1.9 -1.5
  Dec 11, 2010 133   Saint Louis W 84-47 97%     10 - 0 +36.0 +0.2 +0.5
  Dec 20, 2010 245   Elon W 98-72 99%     11 - 0 +18.1 -3.4 -3.5
  Dec 29, 2010 286   @ UNC Greensboro W 108-62 98%     12 - 0 +41.4 -1.2 -1.5
  Jan 02, 2011 59   Miami (FL) W 74-63 91%     13 - 0 1 - 0 +16.6 +2.7 +3.4
  Jan 05, 2011 68   UAB W 85-64 92%     14 - 0 +25.7 +2.9 +2.7
  Jan 09, 2011 38   Maryland W 71-64 88%     15 - 0 2 - 0 +14.9 +3.6 +4.6
  Jan 12, 2011 40   @ Florida St. L 61-66 74%     15 - 1 2 - 1 +9.2 +6.8 +7.2
  Jan 15, 2011 97   Virginia W 76-60 95%     16 - 1 3 - 1 +17.4 +0.9 +1.2
  Jan 19, 2011 89   @ North Carolina St. W 92-78 88%     17 - 1 4 - 1 +22.2 +4.7 +4.1
  Jan 22, 2011 261   @ Wake Forest W 83-59 98%     18 - 1 5 - 1 +21.2 -1.0 -0.7
  Jan 27, 2011 62   Boston College W 84-68 92%     19 - 1 6 - 1 +21.2 +3.0 +3.0
  Jan 30, 2011 32   @ St. John's L 78-93 71%     19 - 2 +0.2 +7.6 +7.0
  Feb 02, 2011 38   @ Maryland W 80-62 74%     20 - 2 7 - 1 +32.2 +7.8 +7.3
  Feb 05, 2011 89   North Carolina St. W 76-52 95%     21 - 2 8 - 1 +25.8 +1.0 +2.0
  Feb 09, 2011 13   North Carolina W 79-73 78%     22 - 2 9 - 1 +18.8 +6.5 +6.6
  Feb 13, 2011 59   @ Miami (FL) W 81-71 80%     23 - 2 10 - 1 +22.0 +6.4 +6.0
  Feb 16, 2011 97   @ Virginia W 56-41 88%     24 - 2 11 - 1 +22.8 +3.4 +5.1
  Feb 20, 2011 95   Georgia Tech W 79-57 95%     25 - 2 12 - 1 +23.5 +1.2 +1.3
  Feb 23, 2011 37   Temple W 78-61 88%     26 - 2 +24.9 +4.5 +4.2
  Feb 26, 2011 33   @ Virginia Tech L 60-64 71%     26 - 3 12 - 2 +11.1 +7.4 +7.5
  Mar 02, 2011 29   Clemson W 70-59 86%     27 - 3 13 - 2 +20.1 +4.4 +5.2
  Mar 05, 2011 13   @ North Carolina L 67-81 56%     27 - 4 13 - 3 +5.2 +9.3 +9.3
  Mar 11, 2011 38   Maryland W 87-71 82%     28 - 4 +27.0 +6.1 +5.7
  Mar 12, 2011 33   Virginia Tech W 77-63 80%     29 - 4 +25.9 +6.3 +6.3
  Mar 13, 2011 13   North Carolina W 75-58 68%     30 - 4 +33.0 +8.1 +8.7
Projected Record 30.0 - 4.0 13.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0%
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.5 54.8 40.1 4.8 0.3 0.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.5 54.8 40.1 4.8 0.3 0.0