Pre-tourney Rankings
UAB
Conference USA
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.9#68
Expected Predictive Rating+8.7#62
Pace61.0#316
Improvement+0.4#162

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#67
Improvement-1.5#254

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#66
Improvement+1.9#80
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 53.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 53.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four27.6% n/a n/a
First Round38.3% n/a n/a
Second Round11.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.6% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2010 299   Southeast Missouri St. W 78-56 96%     1 - 0 +10.0 -5.8 -5.2
  Nov 17, 2010 192   @ Middle Tennessee W 76-71 73%     2 - 0 +6.7 +0.9 +1.0
  Nov 20, 2010 117   @ Arizona St. L 66-69 56%     2 - 1 +3.2 +3.0 +3.0
  Nov 23, 2010 292   South Alabama W 82-58 95%     3 - 1 +12.7 -5.2 -4.9
  Nov 26, 2010 103   Arkansas W 70-65 OT 65%     4 - 1 +9.0 +1.7 +2.5
  Nov 29, 2010 277   @ Troy W 78-57 86%     5 - 1 +17.1 -1.4 -1.5
  Dec 01, 2010 284   Jacksonville St. W 59-53 95%     6 - 1 -4.9 -5.7 -4.9
  Dec 03, 2010 64   @ Georgia L 64-66 37%     6 - 2 +9.4 +5.8 +5.5
  Dec 05, 2010 111   Kent St. W 75-59 77%     7 - 2 +16.3 +0.8 +0.3
  Dec 19, 2010 325   Alabama A&M W 58-40 97%     8 - 2 +2.6 -8.0 -6.6
  Dec 21, 2010 83   Virginia Commonwealth W 68-65 70%     9 - 2 +5.5 +0.9 +1.7
  Dec 27, 2010 158   George Washington W 79-44 84%     10 - 2 +32.3 -0.4 -0.4
  Jan 05, 2011 2   @ Duke L 64-85 8%     10 - 3 +3.0 +11.5 +11.5
  Jan 08, 2011 67   UTEP W 100-97 3OT 62%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +7.7 +2.5 +2.3
  Jan 15, 2011 87   @ Tulsa L 62-78 48%     11 - 4 1 - 1 -7.7 +3.7 +3.8
  Jan 17, 2011 141   @ East Carolina W 66-59 61%     12 - 4 2 - 1 +12.0 +2.6 +2.7
  Jan 19, 2011 150   SMU W 67-53 82%     13 - 4 3 - 1 +12.0 -0.8 -0.4
  Jan 22, 2011 92   Memphis L 73-76 OT 73%     13 - 5 3 - 2 -1.4 +0.6 +0.9
  Jan 26, 2011 78   Marshall W 60-56 69%     14 - 5 4 - 2 +6.9 +1.0 +2.1
  Jan 29, 2011 105   @ Central Florida W 74-69 54%     15 - 5 5 - 2 +11.9 +3.8 +3.3
  Feb 02, 2011 74   Southern Miss L 71-75 65%     15 - 6 5 - 3 -0.2 +2.1 +1.4
  Feb 05, 2011 180   @ Tulane W 47-39 71%     16 - 6 6 - 3 +10.1 +0.2 +2.3
  Feb 09, 2011 78   @ Marshall W 64-48 45%     17 - 6 7 - 3 +25.2 +4.7 +5.4
  Feb 12, 2011 153   Rice W 74-68 83%     18 - 6 8 - 3 +3.8 -0.9 -1.0
  Feb 16, 2011 92   @ Memphis L 58-62 50%     18 - 7 8 - 4 +3.9 +3.5 +4.2
  Feb 19, 2011 105   Central Florida W 63-58 76%     19 - 7 9 - 4 +5.6 +0.8 +0.1
  Feb 26, 2011 202   @ Houston W 68-55 76%     20 - 7 10 - 4 +13.6 +0.4 +0.8
  Mar 02, 2011 74   @ Southern Miss W 67-66 41%     21 - 7 11 - 4 +11.1 +5.1 +5.0
  Mar 05, 2011 141   East Carolina W 66-48 81%     22 - 7 12 - 4 +16.7 -0.5 +0.1
  Mar 10, 2011 141   East Carolina L 70-75 OT 72%     22 - 8 -3.2 +0.4 +1.3
Projected Record 22.0 - 8.0 12.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 53.9% 53.9% 11.5 0.0 0.5 4.6 15.3 32.5 1.1 46.1 53.9%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 53.9% 0.0% 53.9% 11.5 0.0 0.5 4.6 15.3 32.5 1.1 46.1 53.9%