Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois
Big Ten
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.4#20
Expected Predictive Rating+11.6#34
Pace67.9#172
Improvement-2.9#285

Offense
Total Offense+6.7#19
Improvement-3.5#314

Defense
Total Defense+6.7#20
Improvement+0.6#134
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 7.6% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.0% n/a n/a
Second Round59.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen19.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight9.4% n/a n/a
Final Four3.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2010 210   UC Irvine W 79-65 95%     1 - 0 +7.9 -3.1 -2.4
  Nov 10, 2010 328   Toledo W 84-45 99%     2 - 0 +22.3 -7.9 -7.0
  Nov 13, 2010 230   Southern Illinois W 85-63 96%     3 - 0 +15.3 -3.0 -2.8
  Nov 18, 2010 5   Texas L 84-90 OT 31%     3 - 1 +12.4 +9.1 +9.1
  Nov 19, 2010 38   Maryland W 80-76 59%     4 - 1 +15.0 +5.6 +5.6
  Nov 23, 2010 182   Yale W 73-47 94%     5 - 1 +21.7 -2.2 -0.9
  Nov 27, 2010 168   @ Western Michigan W 78-63 83%     6 - 1 +18.0 +2.0 +1.8
  Nov 30, 2010 13   North Carolina W 79-67 52%     7 - 1 +24.8 +6.6 +6.8
  Dec 04, 2010 35   Gonzaga W 73-61 58%     8 - 1 +23.3 +6.1 +5.8
  Dec 08, 2010 60   Oakland W 74-63 77%     9 - 1 +16.6 +2.7 +3.4
  Dec 12, 2010 125   Northern Colorado W 86-76 90%     10 - 1 +9.5 +0.1 -0.1
  Dec 18, 2010 249   Illinois-Chicago L 54-57 95%     10 - 2 -8.1 -3.1 -2.2
  Dec 22, 2010 30   Missouri L 64-75 55%     10 - 3 +1.1 +5.5 +6.1
  Dec 29, 2010 85   @ Iowa W 87-77 68%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +18.4 +5.0 +3.9
  Jan 02, 2011 9   Wisconsin W 69-61 50%     12 - 3 2 - 0 +21.3 +6.9 +6.9
  Jan 06, 2011 55   Northwestern W 88-63 77%     13 - 3 3 - 0 +30.8 +3.1 +3.7
  Jan 11, 2011 43   @ Penn St. L 55-57 49%     13 - 4 3 - 1 +11.5 +6.3 +7.1
  Jan 15, 2011 9   @ Wisconsin L 66-76 27%     13 - 5 3 - 2 +9.7 +9.7 +9.5
  Jan 18, 2011 42   Michigan St. W 71-62 71%     14 - 5 4 - 2 +16.5 +4.3 +3.7
  Jan 22, 2011 1   Ohio St. L 68-73 32%     14 - 6 4 - 3 +13.2 +8.9 +9.1
  Jan 27, 2011 81   @ Indiana L 49-52 66%     14 - 7 4 - 4 +6.2 +3.8 +5.3
  Feb 01, 2011 43   Penn St. W 68-51 73%     15 - 7 5 - 4 +24.2 +3.9 +4.2
  Feb 05, 2011 55   @ Northwestern L 70-71 55%     15 - 8 5 - 5 +11.1 +6.0 +6.1
  Feb 10, 2011 57   @ Minnesota W 71-62 55%     16 - 8 6 - 5 +21.1 +5.8 +6.7
  Feb 13, 2011 6   Purdue L 70-81 47%     16 - 9 6 - 6 +3.2 +6.8 +7.0
  Feb 16, 2011 36   Michigan W 54-52 70%     17 - 9 7 - 6 +10.1 +3.5 +4.6
  Feb 19, 2011 42   @ Michigan St. L 57-61 48%     17 - 10 7 - 7 +9.9 +6.6 +7.1
  Feb 22, 2011 1   @ Ohio St. L 70-89 15%     17 - 11 7 - 8 +5.6 +12.4 +11.3
  Feb 26, 2011 85   Iowa W 81-68 85%     18 - 11 8 - 8 +15.1 +1.5 +1.2
  Mar 01, 2011 6   @ Purdue L 67-75 25%     18 - 12 8 - 9 +12.5 +10.2 +10.0
  Mar 05, 2011 81   Indiana W 72-48 84%     19 - 12 9 - 9 +26.9 +1.5 +2.5
  Mar 11, 2011 36   Michigan L 55-60 58%     19 - 13 +6.3 +5.3 +5.6
Projected Record 19.0 - 13.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 99.0% 99.0% 7.8 0.0 0.7 6.9 27.5 39.9 20.3 3.5 0.2 1.0 99.0%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.0% 0.0% 99.0% 7.8 0.0 0.7 6.9 27.5 39.9 20.3 3.5 0.2 1.0 99.0%