Pre-tourney Rankings
Wisconsin
Big Ten
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.5#9
Expected Predictive Rating+16.2#13
Pace51.6#345
Improvement-1.5#239

Offense
Total Offense+8.5#8
Improvement+2.1#68

Defense
Total Defense+8.0#12
Improvement-3.7#316
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.7% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 3.6% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 77.6% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round80.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen53.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight25.0% n/a n/a
Final Four13.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game6.0% n/a n/a
National Champion2.5% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2010 336   Prairie View W 99-55 99.6%    1 - 0 +25.4 -7.7 -8.9
  Nov 16, 2010 305   North Dakota W 85-53 99%     2 - 0 +19.4 -5.2 -5.8
  Nov 20, 2010 26   @ UNLV L 65-68 52%     2 - 1 +13.0 +7.9 +7.9
  Nov 25, 2010 304   Manhattan W 50-35 98%     3 - 1 +5.7 -5.2 -3.3
  Nov 26, 2010 62   Boston College W 65-55 78%     4 - 1 +18.4 +4.3 +4.6
  Nov 28, 2010 8   Notre Dame L 51-58 49%     4 - 2 +9.8 +7.7 +8.7
  Dec 01, 2010 89   North Carolina St. W 87-48 91%     5 - 2 +40.8 +1.9 +1.9
  Dec 04, 2010 296   South Dakota W 76-61 99%     6 - 2 +3.1 -5.6 -5.5
  Dec 08, 2010 131   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 61-40 94%     7 - 2 +20.1 -0.5 +0.7
  Dec 11, 2010 23   @ Marquette W 69-64 51%     8 - 2 +21.1 +8.4 +8.0
  Dec 13, 2010 159   Green Bay W 70-56 95%     9 - 2 +11.3 -0.9 -1.1
  Dec 23, 2010 269   Coppin St. W 80-56 98%     10 - 2 +14.1 -3.8 -4.7
  Dec 28, 2010 57   Minnesota W 68-60 84%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +13.8 +3.2 +3.0
  Jan 02, 2011 20   @ Illinois L 61-69 50%     11 - 3 1 - 1 +8.6 +8.3 +7.8
  Jan 05, 2011 36   Michigan W 66-50 79%     12 - 3 2 - 1 +24.1 +4.5 +4.5
  Jan 11, 2011 42   @ Michigan St. L 61-64 OT 60%     12 - 4 2 - 2 +10.9 +6.7 +7.0
  Jan 15, 2011 20   Illinois W 76-66 73%     13 - 4 3 - 2 +20.2 +5.7 +5.0
  Jan 20, 2011 81   Indiana W 69-60 89%     14 - 4 4 - 2 +11.9 +1.9 +1.4
  Jan 23, 2011 55   @ Northwestern W 78-46 66%     15 - 4 5 - 2 +44.1 +7.5 +6.7
  Jan 29, 2011 43   @ Penn St. L 52-56 61%     15 - 5 5 - 3 +9.5 +6.5 +6.8
  Feb 01, 2011 6   Purdue W 66-59 59%     16 - 5 6 - 3 +21.2 +7.3 +7.3
  Feb 06, 2011 42   Michigan St. W 82-56 80%     17 - 5 7 - 3 +33.5 +5.2 +3.8
  Feb 09, 2011 85   @ Iowa W 62-59 OT 78%     18 - 5 8 - 3 +11.4 +4.1 +4.5
  Feb 12, 2011 1   Ohio St. W 71-67 43%     19 - 5 9 - 3 +22.2 +9.6 +8.9
  Feb 16, 2011 6   @ Purdue L 62-70 35%     19 - 6 9 - 4 +12.5 +10.2 +9.9
  Feb 20, 2011 43   Penn St. W 76-66 81%     20 - 6 10 - 4 +17.2 +4.5 +3.2
  Feb 23, 2011 36   @ Michigan W 53-52 58%     21 - 6 11 - 4 +15.4 +7.0 +7.5
  Feb 27, 2011 55   Northwestern W 78-63 84%     22 - 6 12 - 4 +20.8 +3.8 +2.9
  Mar 03, 2011 81   @ Indiana W 77-67 76%     23 - 6 13 - 4 +19.2 +5.6 +4.2
  Mar 06, 2011 1   @ Ohio St. L 65-93 22%     23 - 7 13 - 5 -3.4 +12.3 +10.7
  Mar 11, 2011 43   Penn St. L 33-36 72%     23 - 8 +7.3 +4.1 +6.1
Projected Record 23.0 - 8.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.9 0.7 3.0 20.0 53.9 22.0 0.5 0.0 100.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.9 0.7 3.0 20.0 53.9 22.0 0.5 0.0 100.0%