Pre-tourney Rankings
Purdue
Big Ten
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.4#6
Expected Predictive Rating+17.1#10
Pace69.3#142
Improvement-0.9#217

Offense
Total Offense+8.7#6
Improvement+0.6#144

Defense
Total Defense+8.7#6
Improvement-1.6#256
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.4% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 8.4% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 39.2% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 99.2% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round90.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen64.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight37.2% n/a n/a
Final Four19.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game9.8% n/a n/a
National Champion4.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2010 340   Howard W 76-40 99.7%    1 - 0 +16.6 -9.4 -8.4
  Nov 17, 2010 342   Alcorn St. W 103-48 99.8%    2 - 0 +32.9 -10.5 -9.6
  Nov 21, 2010 60   Oakland W 82-67 86%     3 - 0 +20.6 +2.9 +3.4
  Nov 23, 2010 147   Austin Peay W 87-65 95%     4 - 0 +20.2 -0.3 -0.6
  Nov 26, 2010 230   Southern Illinois W 79-60 96%     5 - 0 +15.5 -1.6 -1.2
  Nov 27, 2010 47   Richmond L 54-65 75%     5 - 1 -0.8 +4.3 +5.3
  Dec 01, 2010 33   @ Virginia Tech W 58-55 OT 59%     6 - 1 +18.1 +7.1 +8.2
  Dec 04, 2010 58   Alabama W 66-47 86%     7 - 1 +24.7 +2.9 +3.7
  Dec 07, 2010 96   @ Valparaiso W 76-58 81%     8 - 1 +25.9 +4.0 +4.6
  Dec 11, 2010 233   North Florida W 77-57 98%     9 - 1 +13.1 -3.3 -2.7
  Dec 18, 2010 118   Indiana St. W 65-52 90%     10 - 1 +16.0 +1.2 +2.4
  Dec 21, 2010 186   Purdue Fort Wayne W 77-52 97%     11 - 1 +20.7 -1.8 -1.3
  Dec 28, 2010 36   @ Michigan W 80-57 61%     12 - 1 1 - 0 +37.4 +7.8 +7.8
  Dec 31, 2010 55   Northwestern W 82-69 86%     13 - 1 2 - 0 +18.8 +3.2 +3.1
  Jan 05, 2011 43   @ Penn St. W 83-68 65%     14 - 1 3 - 0 +28.5 +6.9 +7.2
  Jan 09, 2011 85   Iowa W 75-52 92%     15 - 1 4 - 0 +25.1 +1.3 +1.8
  Jan 13, 2011 57   @ Minnesota L 67-70 69%     15 - 2 4 - 1 +9.1 +6.3 +5.7
  Jan 16, 2011 17   @ West Virginia L 64-68 51%     15 - 3 +13.2 +8.3 +8.7
  Jan 19, 2011 43   Penn St. W 63-62 83%     16 - 3 5 - 1 +8.2 +3.8 +3.4
  Jan 22, 2011 42   Michigan St. W 86-76 82%     17 - 3 6 - 1 +17.5 +4.6 +3.4
  Jan 25, 2011 1   @ Ohio St. L 64-87 24%     17 - 4 6 - 2 +1.6 +11.7 +11.9
  Jan 29, 2011 57   Minnesota W 73-61 86%     18 - 4 7 - 2 +17.8 +3.4 +3.0
  Feb 01, 2011 9   @ Wisconsin L 59-66 41%     18 - 5 7 - 3 +12.7 +9.4 +9.9
  Feb 08, 2011 81   Indiana W 67-53 91%     19 - 5 8 - 3 +16.9 +1.1 +2.4
  Feb 13, 2011 20   @ Illinois W 81-70 53%     20 - 5 9 - 3 +27.6 +8.4 +8.6
  Feb 16, 2011 9   Wisconsin W 70-62 65%     21 - 5 10 - 3 +21.3 +6.8 +6.9
  Feb 20, 2011 1   Ohio St. W 76-63 47%     22 - 5 11 - 3 +31.2 +9.1 +9.7
  Feb 23, 2011 81   @ Indiana W 72-61 78%     23 - 5 12 - 3 +20.2 +5.0 +4.8
  Feb 27, 2011 42   @ Michigan St. W 67-47 63%     24 - 5 13 - 3 +33.9 +6.9 +7.9
  Mar 01, 2011 20   Illinois W 75-67 75%     25 - 5 14 - 3 +18.2 +5.4 +5.2
  Mar 05, 2011 85   @ Iowa L 65-67 80%     25 - 6 14 - 4 +6.4 +3.8 +4.5
  Mar 11, 2011 42   Michigan St. L 56-74 74%     25 - 7 -7.3 +4.9 +5.0
Projected Record 25.0 - 7.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.7 8.4 30.8 41.7 18.3 0.8 100.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.7 8.4 30.8 41.7 18.3 0.8 100.0%