Pre-tourney Rankings
Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#173
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#155
Pace71.7#78
Improvement-3.7#310

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#176
Improvement-1.0#231

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#168
Improvement-2.6#295
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 59   @ Miami (FL) L 77-89 12%     0 - 1 +0.0 +5.7 +5.8
  Nov 16, 2010 265   Savannah St. W 64-54 80%     1 - 1 +0.6 -4.6 -4.3
  Nov 24, 2010 306   @ Samford W 60-49 72%     2 - 1 +4.5 -3.8 -2.2
  Nov 27, 2010 211   @ Auburn W 69-55 47%     3 - 1 +14.3 +0.0 +0.9
  Dec 02, 2010 301   Stetson W 70-61 86%     4 - 1 1 - 0 -3.3 -6.2 -5.6
  Dec 04, 2010 287   Florida Gulf Coast W 71-56 84%     5 - 1 2 - 0 +4.0 -5.8 -4.6
  Dec 12, 2010 227   @ Winthrop L 66-73 49%     5 - 2 -7.2 -0.2 -0.3
  Dec 15, 2010 133   @ Saint Louis L 64-69 29%     5 - 3 +0.4 +2.4 +2.7
  Dec 20, 2010 18   @ Florida W 71-68 OT 6%     6 - 3 +19.8 +8.1 +8.9
  Dec 30, 2010 293   Bethune-Cookman W 67-60 84%     7 - 3 -4.3 -5.6 -5.4
  Jan 03, 2011 254   @ Campbell W 67-65 58%     8 - 3 3 - 0 -0.5 -1.5 -1.0
  Jan 08, 2011 161   @ Lipscomb W 60-56 35%     9 - 3 4 - 0 +7.3 +0.9 +2.6
  Jan 10, 2011 24   @ Belmont L 50-81 7%     9 - 4 4 - 1 -15.0 +6.8 +7.9
  Jan 13, 2011 319   South Carolina Upstate W 57-47 OT 90%     10 - 4 5 - 1 -4.3 -7.7 -6.1
  Jan 15, 2011 121   East Tennessee St. L 62-74 50%     10 - 5 5 - 2 -12.4 -0.4 -0.7
  Jan 20, 2011 201   @ Mercer L 68-70 OT 45%     10 - 6 5 - 3 -1.3 +0.0 +0.6
  Jan 22, 2011 322   @ Kennesaw St. W 87-59 77%     11 - 6 6 - 3 +19.8 -3.6 -3.3
  Jan 26, 2011 233   @ North Florida W 63-62 OT 50%     12 - 6 7 - 3 +0.4 -0.7 +0.1
  Jan 31, 2011 254   Campbell W 71-58 79%     13 - 6 8 - 3 +4.1 -4.4 -3.9
  Feb 03, 2011 24   Belmont L 70-76 17%     13 - 7 8 - 4 +3.7 +4.6 +4.9
  Feb 05, 2011 161   Lipscomb W 78-68 60%     14 - 7 9 - 4 +7.0 -1.4 -1.2
  Feb 08, 2011 233   North Florida W 71-69 73%     15 - 7 10 - 4 -4.9 -3.4 -3.4
  Feb 11, 2011 121   @ East Tennessee St. L 64-80 27%     15 - 8 10 - 5 -10.1 +2.6 +2.6
  Feb 13, 2011 319   @ South Carolina Upstate W 79-69 76%     16 - 8 11 - 5 +2.1 -3.9 -3.6
  Feb 18, 2011 322   Kennesaw St. W 75-60 90%     17 - 8 12 - 5 +0.4 -7.3 -6.6
  Feb 20, 2011 201   Mercer W 74-68 69%     18 - 8 13 - 5 +0.3 -2.8 -2.7
  Feb 24, 2011 287   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 55-56 66%     18 - 9 13 - 6 -5.7 -2.9 -1.8
  Feb 26, 2011 301   @ Stetson L 62-70 70%     18 - 10 13 - 7 -13.9 -3.5 -2.8
  Mar 03, 2011 233   North Florida L 64-68 62%     18 - 11 -7.8 -2.2 -1.7
Projected Record 18.0 - 11.0 13.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 100.0
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%