Pre-tourney Rankings
Belmont
Atlantic Sun
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.9#24
Expected Predictive Rating+10.4#42
Pace73.6#51
Improvement-0.5#202

Offense
Total Offense+6.4#25
Improvement-1.8#268

Defense
Total Defense+6.4#24
Improvement+1.3#102
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round39.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen20.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight6.7% n/a n/a
Final Four2.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.9% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2010 56   @ Tennessee L 76-85 53%     0 - 1 +3.1 +5.8 +5.9
  Nov 17, 2010 195   Arkansas St. W 93-60 91%     1 - 1 +31.1 -0.2 -0.2
  Nov 22, 2010 317   Marist W 102-74 97%     2 - 1 +17.5 -4.3 -5.0
  Nov 23, 2010 227   Winthrop W 71-44 93%     3 - 1 +23.7 -1.6 -0.5
  Nov 29, 2010 240   @ Tennessee St. W 87-72 90%     4 - 1 +13.7 -0.1 -0.6
  Dec 02, 2010 201   Mercer W 89-67 95%     5 - 1 1 - 0 +16.3 -2.1 -2.6
  Dec 04, 2010 31   @ Vanderbilt L 76-85 41%     5 - 2 +6.2 +7.4 +7.5
  Dec 07, 2010 192   Middle Tennessee W 88-87 2OT 94%     6 - 2 -3.7 -2.3 -2.3
  Dec 16, 2010 322   Kennesaw St. W 87-60 99%     7 - 2 2 - 0 +12.4 -7.1 -6.4
  Dec 18, 2010 277   @ Troy W 98-63 93%     8 - 2 +31.1 -1.4 -1.1
  Dec 20, 2010 303   @ Alabama St. W 66-53 95%     9 - 2 +7.0 -2.9 -2.4
  Dec 23, 2010 56   @ Tennessee L 65-66 53%     9 - 3 +11.1 +5.5 +6.5
  Dec 30, 2010 176   Miami (OH) W 83-72 93%     10 - 3 +7.2 -1.5 -1.9
  Jan 03, 2011 287   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 83-51 94%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +27.3 -1.8 -1.5
  Jan 05, 2011 301   @ Stetson W 70-53 95%     12 - 3 4 - 0 +11.1 -2.7 -2.3
  Jan 08, 2011 233   North Florida W 91-59 96%     13 - 3 5 - 0 +25.1 -2.6 -2.9
  Jan 10, 2011 173   Jacksonville W 81-50 93%     14 - 3 6 - 0 +27.3 -1.6 -0.8
  Jan 13, 2011 161   Lipscomb W 88-52 92%     15 - 3 7 - 0 +33.0 -1.2 -0.3
  Jan 15, 2011 254   Campbell W 90-55 97%     16 - 3 8 - 0 +26.1 -3.6 -3.7
  Jan 21, 2011 319   @ South Carolina Upstate W 67-62 96%     17 - 3 9 - 0 -2.9 -4.1 -3.6
  Jan 23, 2011 121   @ East Tennessee St. W 72-62 75%     18 - 3 10 - 0 +15.9 +3.1 +3.3
  Jan 25, 2011 161   @ Lipscomb L 64-73 82%     18 - 4 10 - 1 -5.7 +1.0 +1.9
  Jan 28, 2011 287   Florida Gulf Coast W 89-56 98%     19 - 4 11 - 1 +22.0 -4.9 -4.7
  Jan 30, 2011 301   Stetson W 82-64 98%     20 - 4 12 - 1 +5.7 -5.5 -5.9
  Feb 03, 2011 173   @ Jacksonville W 76-70 83%     21 - 4 13 - 1 +8.7 +1.5 +1.5
  Feb 05, 2011 233   @ North Florida W 69-67 89%     22 - 4 14 - 1 +1.4 -0.4 -0.1
  Feb 12, 2011 254   @ Campbell W 78-57 92%     23 - 4 15 - 1 +18.5 -1.0 -0.6
  Feb 17, 2011 121   East Tennessee St. W 68-58 89%     24 - 4 16 - 1 +9.6 -0.2 +0.3
  Feb 19, 2011 319   South Carolina Upstate W 81-49 99%     25 - 4 17 - 1 +17.7 -6.1 -6.5
  Feb 24, 2011 201   @ Mercer W 75-64 87%     26 - 4 18 - 1 +11.7 +0.5 +0.6
  Feb 26, 2011 322   @ Kennesaw St. W 88-41 96%     27 - 4 19 - 1 +38.8 -3.3 -2.7
  Mar 02, 2011 322   Kennesaw St. W 72-57 98%     28 - 4 +3.6 -5.9 -4.8
  Mar 04, 2011 201   Mercer W 80-72 92%     29 - 4 +5.5 -0.9 -1.3
  Mar 05, 2011 233   North Florida W 87-46 93%     30 - 4 +37.2 -0.7 -1.0
Projected Record 30.0 - 4.0 19.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.1 0.0 0.2 4.0 83.5 12.3 0.1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.2 4.0 83.5 12.3 0.1