Pre-tourney Rankings
Memphis
Conference USA
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.8#92
Expected Predictive Rating+9.6#50
Pace73.7#50
Improvement-1.9#254

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#96
Improvement-2.2#278

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#90
Improvement+0.3#151
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round23.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.6% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 343   Centenary (LA) W 104-40 99%     1 - 0 +40.0 -11.0 -10.4
  Nov 15, 2010 59   Miami (FL) W 72-68 47%     2 - 0 +9.6 +2.4 +3.4
  Nov 17, 2010 262   Northwestern St. W 94-79 90%     3 - 0 +5.7 -4.2 -4.5
  Nov 21, 2010 225   LSU W 70-61 78%     4 - 0 +5.7 -1.7 -1.2
  Nov 23, 2010 300   Tennessee Martin W 102-80 93%     5 - 0 +10.0 -5.5 -5.7
  Dec 01, 2010 195   Arkansas St. W 78-71 OT 82%     6 - 0 +2.0 -2.6 -2.1
  Dec 04, 2010 221   Western Kentucky W 77-61 85%     7 - 0 +9.7 -3.3 -2.3
  Dec 07, 2010 3   Kansas L 68-81 8%     7 - 1 +7.5 +9.6 +10.3
  Dec 16, 2010 147   Austin Peay W 70-68 OT 74%     8 - 1 +0.2 -1.6 -0.2
  Dec 20, 2010 311   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 68-63 94%     9 - 1 -8.3 -6.7 -6.3
  Dec 23, 2010 22   Georgetown L 69-86 31%     9 - 2 -7.2 +4.6 +4.6
  Dec 30, 2010 161   Lipscomb W 88-70 77%     10 - 2 +15.0 -0.9 -1.3
  Jan 02, 2011 240   Tennessee St. W 91-86 87%     11 - 2 -2.7 -3.0 -4.5
  Jan 05, 2011 56   @ Tennessee L 84-104 24%     11 - 3 -7.9 +6.0 +5.3
  Jan 08, 2011 141   East Carolina W 61-58 72%     12 - 3 1 - 0 +1.7 -1.2 +0.0
  Jan 12, 2011 150   @ SMU L 58-64 52%     12 - 4 1 - 1 -1.7 +1.8 +2.3
  Jan 15, 2011 78   Marshall W 77-61 57%     13 - 4 2 - 1 +18.9 +1.5 +2.1
  Jan 19, 2011 74   @ Southern Miss W 76-75 30%     14 - 4 3 - 1 +11.1 +5.0 +5.1
  Jan 22, 2011 68   @ UAB W 76-73 OT 27%     15 - 4 4 - 1 +14.0 +5.4 +5.8
  Jan 26, 2011 105   Central Florida W 77-61 66%     16 - 4 5 - 1 +16.6 +0.2 +1.1
  Jan 29, 2011 78   @ Marshall L 70-85 33%     16 - 5 5 - 2 -5.8 +4.3 +4.3
  Feb 02, 2011 87   Tulsa L 65-68 61%     16 - 6 5 - 3 -1.1 +0.5 +1.3
  Feb 05, 2011 35   Gonzaga W 62-58 27%     17 - 6 +15.3 +5.5 +6.0
  Feb 09, 2011 105   @ Central Florida W 63-62 42%     18 - 6 6 - 3 +7.9 +3.3 +3.7
  Feb 12, 2011 74   Southern Miss W 67-61 54%     19 - 6 7 - 3 +9.8 +1.8 +2.3
  Feb 16, 2011 68   UAB W 62-58 50%     20 - 6 8 - 3 +8.7 +2.0 +2.9
  Feb 19, 2011 153   @ Rice L 52-67 52%     20 - 7 8 - 4 -10.9 +1.1 +2.3
  Feb 22, 2011 202   Houston W 69-58 84%     21 - 7 9 - 4 +5.2 -2.9 -2.4
  Feb 26, 2011 67   @ UTEP L 47-74 27%     21 - 8 9 - 5 -15.9 +4.4 +5.5
  Mar 02, 2011 141   @ East Carolina L 57-68 49%     21 - 9 9 - 6 -6.0 +1.9 +2.6
  Mar 05, 2011 180   Tulane W 66-61 80%     22 - 9 10 - 6 +0.8 -1.9 -2.1
  Mar 10, 2011 74   Southern Miss W 66-63 42%     23 - 9 +9.9 +3.3 +3.8
  Mar 11, 2011 141   East Carolina W 76-56 61%     24 - 9 +21.8 +1.3 +1.5
  Mar 12, 2011 67   UTEP W 67-66 38%     25 - 9 +8.9 +3.9 +4.0
Projected Record 25.0 - 9.0 10.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.6 10.3 45.3 36.4 7.3
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.6 10.3 45.3 36.4 7.3