Pre-tourney Rankings
Troy
Sun Belt
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#277
Expected Predictive Rating-8.1#288
Pace77.5#26
Improvement+1.7#95

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#275
Improvement-3.7#321

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#277
Improvement+5.4#7
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2010 58   @ Alabama L 60-79 5%     0 - 1 -7.0 +5.6 +5.5
  Nov 19, 2010 217   @ Georgia St. L 70-80 25%     0 - 2 -9.9 +0.0 -0.3
  Nov 22, 2010 231   @ Texas San Antonio L 70-81 26%     0 - 3 -11.4 -0.8 +0.1
  Nov 26, 2010 126   @ Mississippi St. L 83-92 OT 12%     0 - 4 -3.2 +2.7 +2.7
  Nov 29, 2010 68   UAB L 57-78 14%     0 - 5 -16.3 +1.9 +1.8
  Dec 04, 2010 103   @ Arkansas L 60-75 10%     0 - 6 -7.9 +2.8 +3.7
  Dec 11, 2010 176   @ Miami (OH) L 73-80 18%     0 - 7 -4.5 +1.4 +0.8
  Dec 16, 2010 185   Florida Atlantic L 77-82 OT 39%     0 - 8 0 - 1 -9.3 -2.2 -2.3
  Dec 18, 2010 24   Belmont L 63-98 7%     0 - 9 -25.3 +4.0 +4.3
  Dec 21, 2010 168   Western Michigan W 102-99 OT 25%     1 - 9 +2.8 +0.3 -0.3
  Dec 22, 2010 291   Idaho St. L 73-77 54%     1 - 10 -12.0 -4.1 -4.1
  Dec 23, 2010 21   @ Utah St. L 39-80 3%     1 - 11 -24.7 +6.8 +7.5
  Jan 06, 2011 232   @ Louisiana L 91-93 27%     1 - 12 0 - 2 -2.6 +0.2 -0.8
  Jan 08, 2011 218   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 73-76 25%     1 - 13 0 - 3 -2.9 +0.0 +0.0
  Jan 13, 2011 221   Western Kentucky W 82-68 47%     2 - 13 1 - 3 +7.7 -3.0 -2.7
  Jan 15, 2011 175   North Texas W 89-81 38%     3 - 13 2 - 3 +4.2 -1.6 -1.9
  Jan 20, 2011 192   @ Middle Tennessee L 51-63 20%     3 - 14 2 - 4 -10.3 +0.1 +1.0
  Jan 22, 2011 221   @ Western Kentucky L 58-77 25%     3 - 15 2 - 5 -19.0 -0.9 +0.1
  Jan 27, 2011 292   South Alabama L 78-83 66%     3 - 16 2 - 6 -16.3 -6.0 -5.4
  Jan 29, 2011 323   @ Louisiana Monroe W 74-68 57%     4 - 16 3 - 6 -2.8 -4.7 -3.9
  Feb 03, 2011 285   Florida International L 80-81 OT 65%     4 - 17 3 - 7 -11.9 -5.6 -5.4
  Feb 10, 2011 292   @ South Alabama W 72-59 42%     5 - 17 4 - 7 +8.1 -2.5 -1.8
  Feb 12, 2011 214   Denver W 64-55 46%     6 - 17 5 - 7 +2.9 -3.1 -2.6
  Feb 17, 2011 192   Middle Tennessee W 69-65 OT 41%     7 - 17 6 - 7 -0.7 -2.8 -1.8
  Feb 19, 2011 195   Arkansas St. L 63-71 42%     7 - 18 6 - 8 -13.0 -2.9 -2.5
  Feb 24, 2011 185   @ Florida Atlantic L 60-77 19%     7 - 19 6 - 9 -14.9 +0.5 +0.7
  Feb 26, 2011 285   @ Florida International L 76-83 OT 40%     7 - 20 6 - 10 -11.6 -2.7 -2.1
  Mar 05, 2011 175   North Texas L 69-83 27%     7 - 21 -14.6 -0.7 -0.5
Projected Record 7.0 - 21.0 6.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 100.0% 100.0
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%