Pre-tourney Rankings
UNLV
Mountain West
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.8#26
Expected Predictive Rating+13.5#24
Pace70.7#105
Improvement-2.9#286

Offense
Total Offense+6.3#27
Improvement-1.9#271

Defense
Total Defense+6.4#23
Improvement-1.0#227
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 40.4% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.5% n/a n/a
Second Round58.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen21.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight8.8% n/a n/a
Final Four3.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.9% n/a n/a
National Champion0.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 257   UC Riverside W 85-41 97%     1 - 0 +35.1 -3.9 -3.0
  Nov 17, 2010 253   SE Louisiana W 92-56 97%     2 - 0 +27.1 -3.8 -3.5
  Nov 20, 2010 9   Wisconsin W 68-65 48%     3 - 0 +16.3 +6.4 +7.1
  Nov 25, 2010 87   Tulsa W 80-71 77%     4 - 0 +14.1 +2.6 +2.9
  Nov 26, 2010 134   Murray St. W 69-55 84%     5 - 0 +16.2 +1.4 +1.5
  Nov 28, 2010 33   Virginia Tech W 71-59 53%     6 - 0 +23.9 +6.4 +6.1
  Dec 01, 2010 236   @ Illinois St. W 82-51 90%     7 - 0 +29.9 +0.0 +0.3
  Dec 04, 2010 152   @ Nevada W 82-70 79%     8 - 0 +16.2 +2.4 +2.2
  Dec 08, 2010 82   Boise St. W 75-72 75%     9 - 0 +8.7 +2.6 +3.2
  Dec 11, 2010 11   @ Louisville L 69-77 27%     9 - 1 +11.3 +9.6 +9.3
  Dec 15, 2010 128   UC Santa Barbara L 62-68 89%     9 - 2 -6.7 -0.9 -0.1
  Dec 18, 2010 263   Southern Utah W 72-50 97%     10 - 2 +12.7 -4.9 -3.4
  Dec 21, 2010 27   Kansas St. W 63-59 51%     11 - 2 +16.6 +5.8 +6.9
  Dec 30, 2010 268   Central Michigan W 73-47 97%     12 - 2 +16.2 -4.7 -3.9
  Jan 05, 2011 12   BYU L 77-89 50%     12 - 3 0 - 1 +0.9 +6.2 +6.2
  Jan 08, 2011 160   TCU W 83-49 92%     13 - 3 1 - 1 +31.2 -1.0 -0.3
  Jan 12, 2011 10   @ San Diego St. L 49-55 26%     13 - 4 1 - 2 +13.5 +8.9 +10.3
  Jan 15, 2011 108   @ Air Force W 64-52 72%     14 - 4 2 - 2 +18.7 +3.6 +3.8
  Jan 19, 2011 72   Colorado St. L 63-78 80%     14 - 5 2 - 3 -11.1 +1.6 +1.6
  Jan 22, 2011 46   New Mexico W 63-62 71%     15 - 5 3 - 3 +8.0 +3.2 +3.9
  Jan 25, 2011 224   @ Wyoming W 74-65 88%     16 - 5 4 - 3 +8.9 +0.3 +0.1
  Feb 02, 2011 137   Utah W 67-54 90%     17 - 5 5 - 3 +11.8 -1.0 +0.3
  Feb 05, 2011 12   @ BYU L 64-78 27%     17 - 6 5 - 4 +5.2 +9.0 +9.6
  Feb 09, 2011 160   @ TCU W 94-79 81%     18 - 6 6 - 4 +18.5 +3.0 +1.2
  Feb 12, 2011 10   San Diego St. L 57-63 49%     18 - 7 6 - 5 +7.1 +6.2 +6.6
  Feb 15, 2011 108   Air Force W 49-42 87%     19 - 7 7 - 5 +7.4 -0.7 +1.4
  Feb 19, 2011 72   @ Colorado St. W 68-61 60%     20 - 7 8 - 5 +17.2 +5.0 +5.6
  Feb 23, 2011 46   @ New Mexico W 77-74 OT 48%     21 - 7 9 - 5 +16.4 +6.7 +6.8
  Feb 26, 2011 224   Wyoming W 90-77 95%     22 - 7 10 - 5 +6.6 -3.0 -3.0
  Mar 05, 2011 137   @ Utah W 78-58 77%     23 - 7 11 - 5 +25.1 +3.1 +3.0
  Mar 10, 2011 108   Air Force W 69-53 87%     24 - 7 +16.4 +0.4 +0.8
  Mar 11, 2011 10   San Diego St. L 72-74 37%     24 - 8 +14.3 +8.3 +7.9
Projected Record 24.0 - 8.0 11.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 100.0% 99.5% 99.5% 6.9 0.1 8.4 31.9 29.6 18.3 9.0 2.1 0.2 0.5 99.5%
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 99.5% 0.0% 99.5% 6.9 0.1 8.4 31.9 29.6 18.3 9.0 2.1 0.2 0.5 99.5%