Pre-tourney Rankings
Utah St.
Western Athletic
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.1#21
Expected Predictive Rating+15.9#14
Pace61.5#311
Improvement+2.6#65

Offense
Total Offense+6.5#24
Improvement-1.4#250

Defense
Total Defense+6.6#21
Improvement+4.0#21
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 1.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 44.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round59.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen23.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight9.8% n/a n/a
Final Four3.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2010 166   Weber St. W 77-65 93%     1 - 0 +8.7 -1.5 -1.2
  Nov 17, 2010 12   @ BYU L 72-78 28%     1 - 1 +13.2 +9.4 +9.6
  Nov 20, 2010 263   @ Southern Utah W 66-53 92%     2 - 1 +10.0 -1.3 -0.9
  Nov 24, 2010 137   Utah W 79-62 90%     3 - 1 +15.8 -0.5 +0.0
  Nov 27, 2010 191   Northeastern W 56-54 94%     4 - 1 -2.6 -2.8 -1.7
  Dec 01, 2010 214   @ Denver W 61-53 88%     5 - 1 +8.2 +0.2 +0.4
  Dec 04, 2010 22   @ Georgetown L 51-68 38%     5 - 2 -0.8 +7.4 +7.8
  Dec 07, 2010 91   Long Beach St. W 81-53 86%     6 - 2 +29.6 +1.5 +1.5
  Dec 11, 2010 314   Cal St. Bakersfield W 77-58 98%     7 - 2 +5.5 -6.7 -6.0
  Dec 18, 2010 266   @ Utah Valley W 76-58 93%     8 - 2 +15.0 -1.3 -0.9
  Dec 21, 2010 291   Idaho St. W 71-48 98%     9 - 2 +11.8 -4.9 -5.0
  Dec 22, 2010 168   Western Michigan W 78-57 93%     10 - 2 +17.7 -1.2 -1.1
  Dec 23, 2010 277   Troy W 80-39 97%     11 - 2 +30.8 -4.6 -3.7
  Dec 29, 2010 156   Hawaii W 74-66 92%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +5.5 -0.4 -1.7
  Dec 31, 2010 172   San Jose St. W 80-71 93%     13 - 2 2 - 0 +5.4 -1.6 -1.6
  Jan 08, 2011 152   @ Nevada W 81-67 80%     14 - 2 3 - 0 +18.2 +2.5 +2.3
  Jan 13, 2011 82   @ Boise St. W 68-59 66%     15 - 2 4 - 0 +17.9 +4.0 +5.3
  Jan 15, 2011 162   @ Fresno St. W 52-39 82%     16 - 2 5 - 0 +16.3 +1.6 +2.5
  Jan 20, 2011 246   Louisiana Tech W 74-57 96%     17 - 2 6 - 0 +9.0 -3.5 -3.6
  Jan 22, 2011 132   New Mexico St. W 59-49 90%     18 - 2 7 - 0 +9.1 -0.8 +0.3
  Jan 27, 2011 172   @ San Jose St. W 84-65 83%     19 - 2 8 - 0 +21.8 +1.9 +1.8
  Jan 29, 2011 156   @ Hawaii W 89-84 2OT 81%     20 - 2 9 - 0 +8.8 +2.0 +2.0
  Feb 02, 2011 152   Nevada W 67-45 92%     21 - 2 10 - 0 +19.8 -1.1 +0.0
  Feb 05, 2011 82   Boise St. W 77-49 84%     22 - 2 11 - 0 +30.6 +1.9 +2.1
  Feb 09, 2011 143   @ Idaho L 56-64 78%     22 - 3 11 - 1 -3.2 +1.8 +2.6
  Feb 12, 2011 162   Fresno St. W 71-55 93%     23 - 3 12 - 1 +13.0 -1.0 -1.1
  Feb 19, 2011 44   @ St. Mary's W 75-65 49%     24 - 3 +23.5 +6.7 +7.2
  Feb 26, 2011 143   Idaho W 84-68 91%     25 - 3 13 - 1 +14.5 +0.1 -0.8
  Mar 02, 2011 132   @ New Mexico St. W 58-54 77%     26 - 3 14 - 1 +9.4 +2.4 +3.2
  Mar 05, 2011 246   @ Louisiana Tech W 72-30 91%     27 - 3 15 - 1 +40.4 -0.7 +1.0
  Mar 11, 2011 172   San Jose St. W 58-54 89%     28 - 3 +3.6 -0.6 +0.4
  Mar 12, 2011 82   Boise St. W 77-69 76%     29 - 3 +13.7 +2.9 +3.2
Projected Record 29.0 - 3.0 15.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 7.2 0.0 0.1 0.9 16.6 26.5 20.1 11.5 10.6 7.1 4.5 2.1 0.1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 7.2 0.0 0.1 0.9 16.6 26.5 20.1 11.5 10.6 7.1 4.5 2.1 0.1