Pre-tourney Rankings
Southland
2011-12


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
102 Lamar 100.0%   16   21 - 11 11 - 5 21 - 11 11 - 5 +4.7      +3.3 85 +1.4 130 70.1 109 +2.5 138 -1.0 4
108 Texas Arlington 0.0%   23 - 8 15 - 1 23 - 8 15 - 1 +4.1      +1.6 129 +2.5 104 80.3 12 +4.5 103 +12.2 1
161 Stephen F. Austin 0.0%   16 - 12 12 - 4 16 - 12 12 - 4 +0.5      -4.3 283 +4.7 49 56.1 340 -1.4 188 +3.1 2
171 Texas San Antonio 0.0%   16 - 14 10 - 6 16 - 14 10 - 6 -0.3      +0.8 148 -1.1 205 70.3 102 -1.2 184 -0.9 3
209 McNeese St. 0.0%   14 - 15 10 - 6 14 - 15 10 - 6 -2.4      -0.6 188 -1.8 226 65.1 234 -1.6 194 -1.8 5
226 Northwestern St. 0.0%   13 - 16 8 - 8 13 - 16 8 - 8 -3.4      -3.9 277 +0.5 155 76.3 26 -3.8 229 -5.4 7
259 Texas St. 0.0%   9 - 17 5 - 11 9 - 17 5 - 11 -5.8      -1.7 226 -4.1 280 82.1 8 -7.1 278 -8.8 9
270 Sam Houston St. 0.0%   9 - 19 7 - 9 9 - 19 7 - 9 -6.2      -7.9 321 +1.7 126 62.0 287 -6.8 273 -5.2 6
297 SE Louisiana 0.0%   9 - 17 5 - 11 9 - 17 5 - 11 -8.6      -11.4 342 +2.8 92 63.9 261 -8.8 292 -10.3 11
306 TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0%   6 - 24 4 - 12 6 - 24 4 - 12 -9.9      -8.7 330 -1.2 210 67.5 168 -10.3 308 -10.1 10
324 Central Arkansas 0.0%   6 - 20 3 - 13 6 - 20 3 - 13 -12.5      -6.9 311 -5.6 315 81.8 9 -10.6 310 -13.0 12
326 Nicholls St. 0.0%   8 - 20 6 - 10 8 - 20 6 - 10 -12.6      -1.8 228 -10.8 343 70.1 108 -9.0 295 -7.7 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Lamar 3.0 100.0
Texas Arlington 1.0 100.0
Stephen F. Austin 2.0 100.0
Texas San Antonio 4.0 100.0
McNeese St. 4.0 100.0
Northwestern St. 6.0 100.0
Texas St. 9.0 100.0
Sam Houston St. 7.0 100.0
SE Louisiana 9.0 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 11.0 100.0
Central Arkansas 12.0 100.0
Nicholls St. 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Lamar 11 - 5 100.0
Texas Arlington 15 - 1 100.0
Stephen F. Austin 12 - 4 100.0
Texas San Antonio 10 - 6 100.0
McNeese St. 10 - 6 100.0
Northwestern St. 8 - 8 100.0
Texas St. 5 - 11 100.0
Sam Houston St. 7 - 9 100.0
SE Louisiana 5 - 11 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 4 - 12 100.0
Central Arkansas 3 - 13 100.0
Nicholls St. 6 - 10 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Lamar
Texas Arlington 100.0% 100.0
Stephen F. Austin
Texas San Antonio
McNeese St.
Northwestern St.
Texas St.
Sam Houston St.
SE Louisiana
TX A&M Corpus Christi
Central Arkansas
Nicholls St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Lamar 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.5 32.1 67.5
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stephen F. Austin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas San Antonio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
McNeese St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Lamar 100.0% 21.7% 92.1% 8.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephen F. Austin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas San Antonio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
McNeese St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 92.1% 0.9 7.9 92.1
2nd Round 8.3% 0.1 91.7 8.3
Sweet Sixteen 2.1% 0.0 97.9 2.1
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0