Pre-tourney Rankings
Lamar
Southland
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.7#102
Expected Predictive Rating+2.5#138
Pace70.1#109
Improvement+1.0#126

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#85
Improvement+1.8#76

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#130
Improvement-0.8#201
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four21.7% n/a n/a
First Round92.1% n/a n/a
Second Round8.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 193   Arkansas St. W 65-62 82%     1 - 0 -2.1 -17.4 +15.0
  Nov 13, 2011 19   @ Louisville L 48-68 14%     1 - 1 -3.5 -12.2 +8.9
  Nov 15, 2011 71   @ Ohio L 78-85 OT 30%     1 - 2 +3.3 +2.4 +1.7
  Nov 19, 2011 151   Charlotte W 72-54 74%     2 - 2 +15.9 -2.1 +17.3
  Nov 22, 2011 334   @ Tennessee Martin W 80-69 92%     3 - 2 -0.1 +2.9 -2.7
  Nov 25, 2011 180   @ Tennessee Tech W 85-65 58%     4 - 2 +22.6 +10.2 +12.0
  Nov 30, 2011 143   @ TCU L 72-77 49%     4 - 3 +0.1 -4.8 +5.2
  Dec 03, 2011 198   Louisiana W 80-63 83%     5 - 3 +11.7 +7.5 +3.8
  Dec 05, 2011 310   UT Rio Grande Valley W 60-49 95%     6 - 3 -3.3 -17.8 +14.7
  Dec 17, 2011 145   @ Rice W 87-81 49%     7 - 3 +11.0 +7.4 +2.9
  Dec 20, 2011 2   @ Ohio St. L 50-70 5%     7 - 4 +3.4 -10.9 +14.0
  Dec 28, 2011 1   @ Kentucky L 64-86 4%     7 - 5 +2.3 -3.5 +7.8
  Jan 04, 2012 306   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 74-58 85%     8 - 5 1 - 0 +9.5 +4.0 +6.0
  Jan 07, 2012 324   Central Arkansas W 103-67 96%     9 - 5 2 - 0 +20.1 +7.9 +7.0
  Jan 11, 2012 209   @ McNeese St. L 54-57 64%     9 - 6 2 - 1 -2.0 -18.0 +15.9
  Jan 14, 2012 108   Texas Arlington L 82-91 65%     9 - 7 2 - 2 -8.3 +6.6 -14.5
  Jan 21, 2012 324   @ Central Arkansas W 92-78 90%     10 - 7 3 - 2 +4.9 +8.7 -4.8
  Jan 25, 2012 226   @ Northwestern St. L 62-74 68%     10 - 8 3 - 3 -12.0 -9.6 -2.2
  Jan 28, 2012 326   Nicholls St. W 80-56 96%     11 - 8 4 - 3 +8.0 +5.6 +5.6
  Feb 01, 2012 297   @ SE Louisiana W 83-59 82%     12 - 8 5 - 3 +18.8 +20.4 +0.1
  Feb 04, 2012 171   Texas San Antonio W 80-66 79%     13 - 8 6 - 3 +10.3 +3.5 +6.7
  Feb 08, 2012 226   Northwestern St. W 85-66 86%     14 - 8 7 - 3 +12.2 +10.7 +1.5
  Feb 11, 2012 326   @ Nicholls St. L 63-72 90%     14 - 9 7 - 4 -18.2 -18.2 -0.2
  Feb 15, 2012 297   SE Louisiana W 70-54 93%     15 - 9 8 - 4 +4.0 +1.4 +3.3
  Feb 18, 2012 112   @ George Mason L 71-75 40%     15 - 10 +3.4 +3.5 -0.1
  Feb 22, 2012 161   Stephen F. Austin L 52-62 77%     15 - 11 8 - 5 -12.9 -13.1 -0.8
  Feb 25, 2012 270   @ Sam Houston St. W 72-49 76%     16 - 11 9 - 5 +20.2 +13.6 +10.1
  Feb 29, 2012 259   @ Texas St. W 81-65 75%     17 - 11 10 - 5 +13.6 +2.5 +10.4
  Mar 03, 2012 209   McNeese St. W 78-68 84%     18 - 11 11 - 5 +4.2 +1.8 +2.4
  Mar 07, 2012 226   Northwestern St. W 76-69 78%     19 - 11 +3.6 +6.5 -2.6
  Mar 08, 2012 161   Stephen F. Austin W 55-44 66%     20 - 11 +11.5 -4.2 +17.5
  Mar 10, 2012 209   McNeese St. W 70-49 75%     21 - 11 +18.6 +6.3 +15.6
Projected Record 21.0 - 11.0 11.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.7 0.5 32.1 67.5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.7 0.5 32.1 67.5