Pre-tourney Rankings
Elon
Southern
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#261
Expected Predictive Rating-4.2#236
Pace74.4#37
Improvement-1.0#211

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#256
Improvement+2.9#44

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#262
Improvement-4.0#325
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 78   @ Massachusetts L 67-85 8%     0 - 1 -8.2 -11.3 +6.2
  Nov 15, 2011 157   South Carolina W 58-53 37%     1 - 1 +2.4 -7.8 +10.8
  Nov 22, 2011 99   @ Princeton W 56-55 10%     2 - 1 +9.3 -5.7 +15.1
  Nov 25, 2011 43   @ North Carolina St. L 67-82 5%     2 - 2 -2.6 -3.3 +1.2
  Nov 30, 2011 238   Furman W 77-70 57%     3 - 2 1 - 0 -0.9 +1.2 -2.1
  Dec 03, 2011 323   Navy W 51-48 82%     4 - 2 -12.8 -27.3 +14.5
  Dec 05, 2011 284   @ UNC Greensboro W 80-72 41%     5 - 2 2 - 0 +4.3 +2.8 +1.2
  Dec 17, 2011 294   @ Dartmouth L 54-62 46%     5 - 3 -12.9 -16.0 +2.8
  Dec 22, 2011 46   @ San Diego St. L 55-81 6%     5 - 4 -13.9 -13.0 +0.1
  Dec 29, 2011 4   @ North Carolina L 62-100 1%     5 - 5 -16.0 -12.2 +3.5
  Jan 05, 2012 237   Georgia Southern L 63-69 57%     5 - 6 2 - 1 -13.9 -15.7 +2.2
  Jan 08, 2012 192   Columbia L 60-65 46%     5 - 7 -10.0 -11.8 +1.5
  Jan 12, 2012 319   @ The Citadel W 70-55 61%     6 - 7 3 - 1 +6.3 -0.4 +7.9
  Jan 14, 2012 168   @ College of Charleston L 44-63 19%     6 - 8 3 - 2 -15.7 -30.1 +16.0
  Jan 19, 2012 279   Samford L 80-86 66%     6 - 9 3 - 3 -16.3 +6.0 -22.9
  Jan 21, 2012 274   Chattanooga W 88-87 65%     7 - 9 4 - 3 -8.8 -1.8 -7.2
  Jan 26, 2012 234   @ Western Carolina W 71-63 31%     8 - 9 5 - 3 +7.1 -8.6 +15.1
  Jan 28, 2012 255   @ Appalachian St. L 66-81 36%     8 - 10 5 - 4 -17.2 -14.3 -1.5
  Feb 02, 2012 168   College of Charleston W 99-98 2OT 41%     9 - 10 6 - 4 -2.5 +0.8 -3.6
  Feb 04, 2012 319   The Citadel W 71-66 82%     10 - 10 7 - 4 -10.5 -11.4 +0.7
  Feb 06, 2012 255   Appalachian St. W 82-59 62%     11 - 10 8 - 4 +14.0 +5.3 +9.0
  Feb 09, 2012 274   @ Chattanooga L 75-83 39%     11 - 11 8 - 5 -11.0 +2.5 -13.7
  Feb 11, 2012 279   @ Samford L 78-87 40%     11 - 12 8 - 6 -12.5 +8.2 -21.6
  Feb 15, 2012 199   @ Wofford L 59-72 24%     11 - 13 8 - 7 -11.5 -7.7 -4.9
  Feb 18, 2012 234   Western Carolina L 76-78 OT 57%     11 - 14 8 - 8 -9.7 -7.0 -2.6
  Feb 23, 2012 74   @ Davidson L 45-66 8%     11 - 15 8 - 9 -10.9 -24.3 +13.0
  Feb 25, 2012 284   UNC Greensboro W 93-79 67%     12 - 15 9 - 9 +3.5 -0.5 +1.6
  Mar 03, 2012 237   Georgia Southern W 65-58 44%     13 - 15 +2.5 -1.4 +4.8
  Mar 04, 2012 74   Davidson L 67-83 12%     13 - 16 -9.3 -3.0 -6.7
Projected Record 13.0 - 16.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%