Pre-tourney Rankings
Samford
Southern
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#279
Expected Predictive Rating-7.2#280
Pace60.8#305
Improvement+1.5#104

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#178
Improvement+2.5#56

Defense
Total Defense-6.5#326
Improvement-1.0#213
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 169   Youngstown St. L 69-76 37%     0 - 1 -10.6 -7.5 -3.1
  Nov 18, 2011 248   @ Jacksonville L 57-70 31%     0 - 2 -14.6 -12.4 -3.1
  Nov 22, 2011 98   Georgia St. L 47-55 21%     0 - 3 -6.4 -15.0 +7.5
  Nov 26, 2011 108   @ Texas Arlington W 71-69 10%     1 - 3 +9.5 +5.9 +3.7
  Dec 01, 2011 234   Western Carolina L 71-75 53%     1 - 4 0 - 1 -11.7 -5.9 -5.9
  Dec 05, 2011 171   Texas San Antonio L 52-74 38%     1 - 5 -25.7 -17.3 -11.0
  Dec 07, 2011 115   Mercer L 78-83 OT 25%     1 - 6 -4.7 -0.3 -4.0
  Dec 20, 2011 1   @ Kentucky L 50-82 1%     1 - 7 -7.7 -4.6 -7.7
  Dec 28, 2011 270   @ Sam Houston St. L 58-74 35%     1 - 8 -18.8 -12.5 -6.1
  Dec 31, 2011 125   @ Maryland L 63-75 11%     1 - 9 -5.7 -5.6 -0.6
  Jan 05, 2012 255   Appalachian St. L 63-68 58%     1 - 10 0 - 2 -14.0 -15.3 +1.3
  Jan 07, 2012 319   @ The Citadel L 62-73 57%     1 - 11 0 - 3 -19.7 -4.4 -17.0
  Jan 12, 2012 237   @ Georgia Southern L 53-58 29%     1 - 12 0 - 4 -6.1 -9.3 +2.2
  Jan 14, 2012 274   Chattanooga W 81-70 61%     2 - 12 1 - 4 +1.2 +7.0 -5.3
  Jan 19, 2012 261   @ Elon W 86-80 34%     3 - 12 2 - 4 +3.4 +19.6 -15.6
  Jan 22, 2012 284   @ UNC Greensboro L 60-61 38%     3 - 13 2 - 5 -4.7 -14.1 +9.4
  Jan 26, 2012 237   Georgia Southern W 57-55 54%     4 - 13 3 - 5 -5.9 -9.8 +4.3
  Jan 28, 2012 74   Davidson W 77-74 17%     5 - 13 4 - 5 +6.3 +12.2 -5.5
  Jan 30, 2012 168   College of Charleston L 52-68 37%     5 - 14 4 - 6 -19.5 -16.2 -5.1
  Feb 02, 2012 255   @ Appalachian St. W 53-52 33%     6 - 14 5 - 6 -1.2 -10.4 +9.4
  Feb 04, 2012 199   @ Wofford W 66-61 OT 21%     7 - 14 6 - 6 +6.5 -2.8 +9.5
  Feb 09, 2012 284   UNC Greensboro L 69-71 64%     7 - 15 6 - 7 -12.5 -5.8 -6.8
  Feb 11, 2012 261   Elon W 87-78 60%     8 - 15 7 - 7 -0.4 +18.3 -17.8
  Feb 15, 2012 74   @ Davidson L 54-81 7%     8 - 16 7 - 8 -16.9 -13.8 -4.2
  Feb 18, 2012 238   Furman W 55-49 54%     9 - 16 8 - 8 -1.9 -12.4 +11.4
  Feb 23, 2012 234   @ Western Carolina L 77-79 28%     9 - 17 8 - 9 -2.9 +15.2 -18.4
  Feb 25, 2012 274   @ Chattanooga L 78-86 35%     9 - 18 8 - 10 -11.0 -3.3 -7.0
  Mar 02, 2012 238   Furman L 66-75 41%     9 - 19 -13.5 -2.7 -11.5
Projected Record 9.0 - 19.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%