Pre-tourney Rankings
Gonzaga
West Coast
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.1#29
Expected Predictive Rating+11.7#31
Pace68.3#146
Improvement-1.4#231

Offense
Total Offense+5.8#38
Improvement-2.9#301

Defense
Total Defense+5.3#33
Improvement+1.5#100
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 18.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.0% n/a n/a
Second Round53.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen15.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight6.6% n/a n/a
Final Four2.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.7% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 213   Eastern Washington W 77-69 94%     1 - 0 +1.9 -3.5 +5.0
  Nov 14, 2011 136   Washington St. W 89-81 87%     2 - 0 +6.9 +8.0 -1.6
  Nov 19, 2011 210   Hawaii W 73-54 89%     3 - 0 +16.6 -1.7 +18.5
  Nov 26, 2011 175   Western Michigan W 78-58 86%     4 - 0 +19.5 +4.1 +15.7
  Nov 30, 2011 40   Notre Dame W 73-53 67%     5 - 0 +26.5 +3.3 +23.3
  Dec 03, 2011 77   @ Illinois L 75-82 54%     5 - 1 +3.0 +6.3 -3.0
  Dec 10, 2011 3   Michigan St. L 67-74 32%     5 - 2 +9.0 +4.1 +4.7
  Dec 15, 2011 87   Oral Roberts W 67-61 80%     6 - 2 +8.3 -2.6 +11.4
  Dec 17, 2011 47   Arizona W 71-60 59%     7 - 2 +19.7 +12.2 +8.9
  Dec 20, 2011 129   Butler W 71-55 87%     8 - 2 +15.2 +10.4 +6.8
  Dec 22, 2011 173   Air Force W 70-60 91%     9 - 2 +6.2 +13.5 -4.8
  Dec 28, 2011 286   Portland W 90-51 97%     10 - 2 1 - 0 +28.3 +5.5 +20.4
  Dec 31, 2011 61   @ Xavier W 72-65 50%     11 - 2 +18.1 +2.9 +14.9
  Jan 05, 2012 287   Pepperdine W 73-45 97%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +17.2 +0.0 +18.4
  Jan 07, 2012 289   Santa Clara W 82-60 97%     13 - 2 3 - 0 +11.0 -1.2 +11.9
  Jan 12, 2012 38   @ St. Mary's L 62-83 41%     13 - 3 3 - 1 -7.5 -3.9 -4.8
  Jan 14, 2012 149   @ Loyola Marymount W 62-58 73%     14 - 3 4 - 1 +8.7 +0.3 +8.9
  Jan 19, 2012 137   San Francisco W 74-63 87%     15 - 3 5 - 1 +9.9 -8.6 +17.6
  Jan 21, 2012 224   San Diego W 77-60 94%     16 - 3 6 - 1 +10.3 +3.0 +7.9
  Jan 26, 2012 286   @ Portland W 74-62 91%     17 - 3 7 - 1 +8.1 -4.3 +11.9
  Feb 02, 2012 45   @ BYU L 73-83 46%     17 - 4 7 - 2 +2.2 -4.2 +8.1
  Feb 04, 2012 287   @ Pepperdine W 72-60 91%     18 - 4 8 - 2 +8.0 +11.4 -1.4
  Feb 09, 2012 38   St. Mary's W 73-59 66%     19 - 4 9 - 2 +20.7 +8.3 +14.0
  Feb 11, 2012 149   Loyola Marymount W 78-59 89%     20 - 4 10 - 2 +16.9 +12.4 +6.2
  Feb 16, 2012 289   @ Santa Clara W 73-62 92%     21 - 4 11 - 2 +6.8 +6.4 +2.3
  Feb 18, 2012 137   @ San Francisco L 65-66 70%     21 - 5 11 - 3 +4.7 -3.7 +8.3
  Feb 23, 2012 45   BYU W 74-63 71%     22 - 5 12 - 3 +16.4 -2.5 +17.7
  Feb 25, 2012 224   @ San Diego W 65-57 85%     23 - 5 13 - 3 +8.1 +3.3 +6.3
  Feb 27, 2012 342   Longwood W 92-60 99%     24 - 5 +11.5 -1.4 +11.2
  Mar 03, 2012 45   BYU W 77-58 59%     25 - 5 +27.8 +10.7 +17.2
  Mar 05, 2012 38   St. Mary's L 74-78 OT 54%     25 - 6 +6.1 +0.5 +5.7
Projected Record 25.0 - 6.0 13.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0%
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 99.0% 99.0% 7.6 0.0 2.9 15.3 27.2 33.7 17.6 2.1 0.1 1.0 99.0%
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 99.0% 0.0% 99.0% 7.6 0.0 2.9 15.3 27.2 33.7 17.6 2.1 0.1 1.0 99.0%