Pre-tourney Rankings
BYU
West Coast
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.8#45
Expected Predictive Rating+8.8#55
Pace83.3#6
Improvement-6.0#335

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#104
Improvement-4.9#336

Defense
Total Defense+6.2#23
Improvement-1.1#220
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 63.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 63.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four29.9% n/a n/a
First Round50.0% n/a n/a
Second Round18.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen6.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 133   @ Utah St. L 62-69 62%     0 - 1 -1.2 -9.1 +7.7
  Nov 18, 2011 342   Longwood W 92-60 99%     1 - 1 +11.5 +8.3 +4.9
  Nov 22, 2011 330   Prairie View W 90-51 98%     2 - 1 +22.6 +11.5 +9.6
  Nov 25, 2011 100   Nevada W 76-55 65%     3 - 1 +25.8 +3.0 +22.0
  Nov 26, 2011 12   Wisconsin L 56-73 29%     3 - 2 -2.3 +0.0 -4.7
  Nov 30, 2011 338   Northern Arizona W 87-52 98%     4 - 2 +19.4 +0.8 +16.2
  Dec 03, 2011 66   Oregon W 79-65 56%     5 - 2 +21.3 +2.8 +17.7
  Dec 07, 2011 123   Weber St. W 94-66 81%     6 - 2 +27.7 +4.4 +19.5
  Dec 10, 2011 296   @ Utah W 61-42 90%     7 - 2 +14.1 -4.0 +20.8
  Dec 17, 2011 11   Baylor L 83-86 40%     7 - 3 +8.4 +5.8 +2.9
  Dec 20, 2011 103   Buffalo W 93-78 76%     8 - 3 +16.3 +9.3 +5.2
  Dec 22, 2011 110   UC Santa Barbara W 89-75 78%     9 - 3 +14.7 +1.4 +11.3
  Dec 29, 2011 38   @ St. Mary's L 82-98 32%     9 - 4 0 - 1 -2.5 +4.3 -5.2
  Dec 31, 2011 224   San Diego W 88-52 92%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +29.3 +3.6 +22.6
  Jan 05, 2012 149   @ Loyola Marymount W 73-65 65%     11 - 4 2 - 1 +12.7 -4.2 +16.0
  Jan 07, 2012 137   San Francisco W 81-56 83%     12 - 4 3 - 1 +23.9 +2.3 +20.9
  Jan 14, 2012 289   Santa Clara W 95-78 96%     13 - 4 4 - 1 +6.0 +4.4 +0.1
  Jan 16, 2012 224   @ San Diego W 82-63 80%     14 - 4 5 - 1 +19.1 +5.6 +12.8
  Jan 19, 2012 149   Loyola Marymount L 68-82 85%     14 - 5 5 - 2 -16.1 -11.2 -3.5
  Jan 21, 2012 287   @ Pepperdine W 77-64 88%     15 - 5 6 - 2 +9.0 +4.5 +4.5
  Jan 25, 2012 80   @ Virginia Tech W 70-68 47%     16 - 5 +11.5 -0.6 +12.1
  Jan 28, 2012 38   St. Mary's L 66-80 58%     16 - 6 6 - 3 -7.3 -8.6 +1.8
  Feb 02, 2012 29   Gonzaga W 83-73 54%     17 - 6 7 - 3 +17.7 -0.2 +16.2
  Feb 04, 2012 286   @ Portland W 79-60 88%     18 - 6 8 - 3 +15.1 -4.2 +17.5
  Feb 11, 2012 287   Pepperdine W 86-48 96%     19 - 6 9 - 3 +27.2 +5.5 +19.7
  Feb 16, 2012 137   @ San Francisco W 85-84 62%     20 - 6 10 - 3 +6.7 +2.8 +3.8
  Feb 18, 2012 289   @ Santa Clara W 82-67 88%     21 - 6 11 - 3 +10.8 +1.1 +9.4
  Feb 23, 2012 29   @ Gonzaga L 63-74 29%     21 - 7 11 - 4 +3.5 -9.8 +14.6
  Feb 25, 2012 286   Portland W 76-66 95%     22 - 7 12 - 4 -0.7 -5.1 +4.0
  Mar 02, 2012 224   San Diego W 73-68 87%     23 - 7 +1.7 -5.5 +7.0
  Mar 03, 2012 29   Gonzaga L 58-77 41%     23 - 8 -7.9 -9.3 +1.3
Projected Record 23.0 - 8.0 12.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 63.8% 63.8% 11.3 0.0 0.8 7.4 27.4 25.5 2.7 36.2 63.8%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 63.8% 0.0% 63.8% 11.3 0.0 0.8 7.4 27.4 25.5 2.7 36.2 63.8%