Pre-tourney Rankings
Montana
Big Sky
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.2#95
Expected Predictive Rating+5.5#93
Pace66.2#204
Improvement+4.6#36

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#157
Improvement+2.4#59

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#48
Improvement+2.2#71
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round16.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen4.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.9% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 72   @ Colorado St. L 58-64 31%     0 - 1 +4.2 -10.2 +14.1
  Nov 17, 2011 150   Idaho W 57-52 76%     1 - 1 +2.9 -13.9 +17.3
  Nov 20, 2011 224   @ San Diego W 73-60 69%     2 - 1 +13.1 -2.7 +15.3
  Nov 23, 2011 272   @ North Dakota L 81-88 OT 78%     2 - 2 -10.0 -5.6 -3.1
  Nov 26, 2011 39   Long Beach St. W 73-71 45%     3 - 2 +8.6 +4.4 +4.2
  Dec 01, 2011 137   San Francisco L 62-65 73%     3 - 3 -4.1 -7.1 +2.6
  Dec 04, 2011 92   @ Oregon St. L 46-71 36%     3 - 4 -16.2 -23.4 +6.1
  Dec 10, 2011 100   Nevada L 64-70 64%     3 - 5 -4.6 -2.3 -2.8
  Dec 17, 2011 286   @ Portland W 80-65 81%     4 - 5 +11.1 +6.3 +5.1
  Dec 22, 2011 240   Utah Valley W 65-52 89%     5 - 5 +5.1 -4.3 +10.8
  Dec 28, 2011 207   Portland St. W 75-64 85%     6 - 5 1 - 0 +5.2 +0.0 +6.1
  Dec 30, 2011 213   Eastern Washington W 79-71 85%     7 - 5 2 - 0 +1.9 +9.2 -6.7
  Jan 07, 2012 300   @ Idaho St. W 68-44 84%     8 - 5 3 - 0 +18.5 -1.8 +22.6
  Jan 12, 2012 338   @ Northern Arizona W 78-53 94%     9 - 5 4 - 0 +12.8 -2.2 +14.4
  Jan 14, 2012 123   @ Weber St. L 64-80 45%     9 - 6 4 - 1 -9.5 -1.6 -9.8
  Jan 19, 2012 254   Northern Colorado W 76-58 90%     10 - 6 5 - 1 +9.0 -7.1 +15.7
  Jan 21, 2012 293   Sacramento St. W 85-56 93%     11 - 6 6 - 1 +17.6 +8.0 +10.4
  Jan 26, 2012 213   @ Eastern Washington W 74-60 67%     12 - 6 7 - 1 +14.7 +2.5 +12.5
  Jan 29, 2012 207   @ Portland St. W 69-67 66%     13 - 6 8 - 1 +3.0 -6.5 +9.6
  Feb 04, 2012 292   @ Montana St. W 67-58 82%     14 - 6 9 - 1 +4.4 -5.3 +10.1
  Feb 06, 2012 300   Idaho St. W 76-40 94%     15 - 6 10 - 1 +23.7 -1.5 +26.3
  Feb 09, 2012 254   @ Northern Colorado W 75-68 76%     16 - 6 11 - 1 +4.8 -2.4 +7.2
  Feb 11, 2012 293   @ Sacramento St. W 67-58 82%     17 - 6 12 - 1 +4.4 -9.2 +13.5
  Feb 18, 2012 210   Hawaii W 94-79 85%     18 - 6 +9.2 +10.9 -2.6
  Feb 23, 2012 338   Northern Arizona W 78-60 98%     19 - 6 13 - 1 -1.0 -7.6 +5.7
  Feb 25, 2012 292   Montana St. W 57-47 93%     20 - 6 14 - 1 -1.4 -14.8 +14.6
  Feb 28, 2012 123   Weber St. W 66-51 70%     21 - 6 15 - 1 +14.7 -8.6 +23.8
  Mar 06, 2012 213   Eastern Washington W 74-66 85%     22 - 6 +1.9 -0.7 +2.8
  Mar 07, 2012 123   Weber St. W 85-66 70%     23 - 6 +18.7 +19.3 +1.9
Projected Record 23.0 - 6.0 15.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.2 0.0 0.1 4.3 66.5 29.2
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.1 4.3 66.5 29.2