Pre-tourney Rankings
Nevada
Western Athletic
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.8#100
Expected Predictive Rating+9.0#48
Pace65.5#223
Improvement+1.5#107

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#111
Improvement+0.5#143

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#97
Improvement+1.0#118
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 7.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four7.5% n/a n/a
First Round3.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 97   Missouri St. L 46-68 62%     0 - 1 -20.4 -22.8 +1.2
  Nov 14, 2011 26   @ UNLV L 67-71 17%     0 - 2 +11.0 +2.0 +9.0
  Nov 17, 2011 271   Pacific W 78-54 91%     1 - 2 +14.3 -4.2 +17.3
  Nov 20, 2011 330   Prairie View W 60-47 97%     2 - 2 -3.4 -16.5 +12.8
  Nov 22, 2011 342   Longwood W 80-78 98%     3 - 2 -18.5 -6.6 -11.8
  Nov 25, 2011 45   BYU L 55-76 35%     3 - 3 -12.2 -13.6 +2.2
  Nov 26, 2011 256   Bradley W 64-59 84%     4 - 3 -0.6 -2.2 +2.2
  Dec 02, 2011 67   Washington W 76-73 OT 54%     5 - 3 +6.8 -0.3 +6.9
  Dec 07, 2011 225   @ Arizona St. W 69-61 68%     6 - 3 +8.0 -1.3 +9.7
  Dec 10, 2011 95   @ Montana W 70-64 36%     7 - 3 +14.6 +9.8 +5.3
  Dec 17, 2011 268   UC Riverside W 71-47 90%     8 - 3 +14.4 +7.0 +10.2
  Dec 22, 2011 286   Portland W 78-60 92%     9 - 3 +7.3 -6.2 +12.2
  Jan 05, 2012 150   @ Idaho W 73-55 50%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +22.7 +8.6 +16.2
  Jan 07, 2012 133   @ Utah St. W 78-71 46%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +12.8 +14.8 -1.2
  Jan 12, 2012 263   San Jose St. W 81-57 90%     12 - 3 3 - 0 +14.6 +9.2 +7.5
  Jan 14, 2012 210   Hawaii W 77-74 84%     13 - 3 4 - 0 -2.8 -0.2 -2.7
  Jan 21, 2012 177   Fresno St. W 74-61 80%     14 - 3 5 - 0 +8.9 +3.2 +6.3
  Jan 26, 2012 50   @ New Mexico St. W 68-60 25%     15 - 3 6 - 0 +19.9 +4.3 +15.9
  Jan 28, 2012 185   @ Louisiana Tech W 65-63 60%     16 - 3 7 - 0 +4.1 -6.5 +10.6
  Feb 02, 2012 133   Utah St. W 53-52 71%     17 - 3 8 - 0 +0.0 -13.4 +13.5
  Feb 04, 2012 150   Idaho L 68-72 75%     17 - 4 8 - 1 -6.1 -1.9 -4.6
  Feb 09, 2012 210   @ Hawaii W 88-79 65%     18 - 4 9 - 1 +10.0 +8.4 +1.0
  Feb 11, 2012 263   @ San Jose St. W 76-70 76%     19 - 4 10 - 1 +3.4 +10.7 -6.5
  Feb 14, 2012 251   Cal St. Bakersfield W 61-47 89%     20 - 4 +5.3 -14.1 +20.4
  Feb 18, 2012 48   @ Iona L 84-90 25%     20 - 5 +6.0 +8.0 -1.7
  Feb 25, 2012 177   @ Fresno St. W 79-76 3OT 58%     21 - 5 11 - 1 +5.7 -5.9 +11.1
  Mar 01, 2012 50   New Mexico St. W 65-61 49%     22 - 5 12 - 1 +9.1 -6.5 +15.5
  Mar 03, 2012 185   Louisiana Tech W 79-69 82%     23 - 5 13 - 1 +5.3 +4.9 +0.6
  Mar 08, 2012 263   San Jose St. W 54-44 84%     24 - 5 +4.0 -17.0 +22.2
  Mar 09, 2012 185   Louisiana Tech L 73-78 72%     24 - 6 -6.3 +1.3 -7.7
Projected Record 24.0 - 6.0 13.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 100.0% 7.6% 7.6% 12.8 0.1 2.0 4.6 0.9 92.4 7.6%
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 7.6% 0.0% 7.6% 12.8 0.1 2.0 4.6 0.9 92.4 7.6%