Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.8#316
Expected Predictive Rating-8.4#291
Pace65.7#217
Improvement-0.4#195

Offense
Total Offense-9.3#334
Improvement+0.3#155

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#254
Improvement-0.7#199
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2011 104   @ Texas A&M L 58-83 4%     0 - 1 -17.1 -7.7 -9.5
  Nov 17, 2011 145   @ Rice L 65-80 7%     0 - 2 -10.0 -3.8 -6.1
  Nov 22, 2011 121   @ Providence L 53-59 5%     0 - 3 +0.6 -22.9 +23.8
  Nov 25, 2011 318   Florida A&M W 64-61 50%     1 - 3 -8.9 -10.8 +2.0
  Nov 26, 2011 254   Northern Colorado L 57-77 27%     1 - 4 -25.6 -24.1 -1.0
  Nov 30, 2011 186   @ Tulane L 53-78 10%     1 - 5 -22.9 -15.7 -7.7
  Dec 10, 2011 211   Jacksonville St. L 50-55 19%     1 - 6 -7.5 -20.3 +12.6
  Dec 12, 2011 297   @ SE Louisiana L 61-65 OT 26%     1 - 7 -9.2 -13.6 +4.9
  Dec 17, 2011 131   @ UTEP L 57-87 6%     1 - 8 -24.1 -9.2 -16.3
  Dec 19, 2011 50   @ New Mexico St. L 66-91 2%     1 - 9 -13.1 -11.8 +2.7
  Jan 03, 2012 330   @ Prairie View W 73-65 41%     2 - 9 1 - 0 -1.6 -1.1 -0.8
  Jan 05, 2012 276   @ Texas Southern L 39-73 21%     2 - 10 1 - 1 -37.3 -32.7 -3.2
  Jan 07, 2012 344   Grambling St. W 72-59 87%     3 - 10 2 - 1 -11.1 -6.8 -3.4
  Jan 09, 2012 333   Jackson St. W 68-37 72%     4 - 10 3 - 1 +13.2 -5.6 +21.2
  Jan 14, 2012 329   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 69-68 41%     5 - 10 4 - 1 -8.6 +0.7 -9.2
  Jan 16, 2012 243   @ Mississippi Valley L 56-77 16%     5 - 11 4 - 2 -22.4 -14.6 -8.8
  Jan 21, 2012 336   Alabama A&M W 75-69 OT 74%     6 - 11 5 - 2 -12.6 -11.5 -1.6
  Jan 23, 2012 320   Alabama St. W 68-56 64%     7 - 11 6 - 2 -3.6 -1.5 -1.0
  Jan 28, 2012 335   Alcorn St. W 65-54 73%     8 - 11 7 - 2 -7.1 -17.9 +10.5
  Feb 04, 2012 344   @ Grambling St. W 57-53 70%     9 - 11 8 - 2 -13.3 -11.6 -0.9
  Feb 06, 2012 333   @ Jackson St. W 49-44 OT 47%     10 - 11 9 - 2 -6.0 -18.5 +13.3
  Feb 11, 2012 329   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 58-64 67%     10 - 12 9 - 3 -22.4 -24.4 +2.2
  Feb 13, 2012 243   Mississippi Valley L 53-58 36%     10 - 13 9 - 4 -13.2 -25.1 +12.0
  Feb 18, 2012 336   @ Alabama A&M W 72-65 50%     11 - 13 10 - 4 -4.8 -1.2 -3.2
  Feb 20, 2012 320   @ Alabama St. W 55-53 38%     12 - 13 11 - 4 -6.8 -9.8 +3.3
  Feb 25, 2012 335   @ Alcorn St. L 40-60 48%     12 - 14 11 - 5 -31.3 -22.3 -16.5
  Mar 01, 2012 330   Prairie View W 64-63 67%     13 - 14 12 - 5 -15.4 -3.8 -11.5
  Mar 03, 2012 276   Texas Southern W 56-54 43%     14 - 14 13 - 5 -8.1 -8.7 +0.9
Projected Record 14.0 - 14.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%