Pre-tourney Rankings
Providence
Big East
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.2#121
Expected Predictive Rating+3.8#119
Pace68.5#140
Improvement+0.6#141

Offense
Total Offense+4.8#58
Improvement+2.0#71

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#222
Improvement-1.4#235
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 337   Fairleigh Dickinson W 72-61 97%     1 - 0 -7.9 -1.2 -5.8
  Nov 14, 2011 120   @ Fairfield W 80-72 37%     2 - 0 +14.7 +18.8 -3.6
  Nov 19, 2011 318   Florida A&M W 87-65 95%     3 - 0 +6.7 -6.1 +9.4
  Nov 22, 2011 316   Southern W 59-53 95%     4 - 0 -9.2 -21.6 +12.0
  Nov 25, 2011 27   Iowa St. L 54-64 21%     4 - 1 +1.5 -2.7 +2.1
  Nov 26, 2011 89   Northern Iowa L 62-79 41%     4 - 2 -11.5 -6.0 -6.0
  Nov 29, 2011 228   Holy Cross W 82-77 83%     5 - 2 -2.1 +5.3 -7.5
  Dec 01, 2011 157   @ South Carolina W 76-67 46%     6 - 2 +13.2 +3.9 +9.1
  Dec 05, 2011 308   Brown W 80-49 93%     7 - 2 +17.6 -2.0 +18.8
  Dec 08, 2011 252   Boston College W 64-57 87%     8 - 2 -1.8 -1.6 +0.9
  Dec 10, 2011 339   Bryant W 72-61 97%     9 - 2 -8.2 -6.2 -1.2
  Dec 20, 2011 295   New Hampshire W 67-52 91%     10 - 2 +3.3 -6.1 +9.7
  Dec 23, 2011 215   @ Rhode Island W 80-61 60%     11 - 2 +19.6 +0.4 +17.9
  Dec 27, 2011 146   @ St. John's L 67-91 43%     11 - 3 0 - 1 -19.1 -6.4 -11.7
  Dec 31, 2011 17   @ Georgetown L 40-49 10%     11 - 4 0 - 2 +8.0 -16.8 +23.4
  Jan 04, 2012 7   Syracuse L 73-87 16%     11 - 5 0 - 3 -0.2 +14.7 -16.4
  Jan 07, 2012 44   Seton Hall L 57-66 41%     11 - 6 0 - 4 -3.6 -10.7 +6.9
  Jan 10, 2012 19   Louisville W 90-59 27%     12 - 6 1 - 4 +40.7 +28.2 +13.0
  Jan 14, 2012 7   @ Syracuse L 55-78 6%     12 - 7 1 - 5 -2.4 -8.0 +5.9
  Jan 21, 2012 18   Marquette L 72-79 25%     12 - 8 1 - 6 +3.2 +5.9 -2.9
  Jan 25, 2012 68   @ Pittsburgh L 74-86 24%     12 - 9 1 - 7 -1.5 +2.1 -3.4
  Jan 29, 2012 55   @ South Florida L 78-81 22%     12 - 10 1 - 8 +8.5 +23.6 -15.5
  Feb 01, 2012 117   Rutgers W 78-67 62%     13 - 10 2 - 8 +11.1 +12.3 -0.5
  Feb 05, 2012 37   West Virginia L 84-87 OT 36%     13 - 11 2 - 9 +4.0 +14.3 -10.3
  Feb 07, 2012 83   @ Villanova L 72-74 28%     13 - 12 2 - 10 +7.3 +3.6 +3.7
  Feb 11, 2012 55   South Florida L 48-55 44%     13 - 13 2 - 11 -2.3 -9.4 +5.7
  Feb 15, 2012 33   @ Cincinnati L 66-81 15%     13 - 14 2 - 12 -0.9 +3.9 -5.3
  Feb 18, 2012 17   Georgetown L 53-63 25%     13 - 15 2 - 13 +0.2 -9.0 +8.4
  Feb 25, 2012 156   @ DePaul W 73-71 45%     14 - 15 3 - 13 +6.4 -0.4 +6.8
  Feb 28, 2012 36   Connecticut W 72-70 35%     15 - 15 4 - 13 +9.0 +8.5 +0.7
  Mar 02, 2012 40   @ Notre Dame L 69-75 17%     15 - 16 4 - 14 +7.3 +5.8 +1.2
  Mar 06, 2012 44   Seton Hall L 47-79 29%     15 - 17 -23.2 -15.6 -10.6
Projected Record 15.0 - 17.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 100.0 100.0 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%