Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern
2012-13


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
70 Davidson 100.0%   13   25 - 7 17 - 1 25 - 7 17 - 1 +7.2      +6.9 32 +0.3 160 65.9 208 +6.5 80 +9.8 1
157 College of Charleston 0.0%   24 - 9 14 - 4 24 - 9 14 - 4 +0.6      -0.9 197 +1.5 126 64.6 237 +3.7 114 +1.5 2
208 Elon 0.0%   19 - 11 13 - 5 19 - 11 13 - 5 -2.4      -1.5 213 -0.9 195 67.4 178 -0.8 187 -1.2 3
249 Wofford 0.0%   12 - 19 7 - 11 12 - 19 7 - 11 -5.2      -9.4 336 +4.2 63 62.8 271 -6.9 274 -9.3 9
256 Western Carolina 0.0%   12 - 19 9 - 9 12 - 19 9 - 9 -5.5      -1.1 202 -4.4 290 68.7 138 -7.3 281 -6.1 5
259 Appalachian St. 0.0%   13 - 16 10 - 8 13 - 16 10 - 8 -5.8      -2.4 236 -3.4 265 72.0 75 -6.3 260 -4.2 4
282 Georgia Southern 0.0%   12 - 19 7 - 11 12 - 19 7 - 11 -7.4      -4.2 279 -3.1 259 59.8 311 -7.1 280 -9.0 8
287 Samford 0.0%   10 - 21 9 - 9 10 - 21 9 - 9 -8.1      -3.2 256 -4.9 299 57.4 333 -9.8 308 -6.4 6
289 UNC Greensboro 0.0%   7 - 22 6 - 12 7 - 22 6 - 12 -8.2      -3.9 272 -4.4 291 79.1 10 -12.1 323 -11.3 10
309 Chattanooga 0.0%   11 - 19 8 - 10 11 - 19 8 - 10 -9.6      -3.0 253 -6.6 324 71.1 93 -8.2 292 -7.2 7
331 The Citadel 0.0%   6 - 22 5 - 13 6 - 22 5 - 13 -13.5      -1.9 222 -11.6 346 65.4 217 -13.1 328 -11.8 11
340 Furman 0.0%   5 - 24 3 - 15 5 - 24 3 - 15 -14.9      -6.7 316 -8.2 340 65.6 212 -14.3 338 -15.3 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Davidson 1.0 100.0
College of Charleston 2.0 100.0
Elon 3.0 100.0
Wofford 8.0 100.0
Western Carolina 5.0 100.0
Appalachian St. 4.0 100.0
Georgia Southern 8.0 100.0
Samford 5.0 100.0
UNC Greensboro 10.0 100.0
Chattanooga 7.0 100.0
The Citadel 11.0 100.0
Furman 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Davidson 17 - 1 100.0
College of Charleston 14 - 4 100.0
Elon 13 - 5 100.0
Wofford 7 - 11 100.0
Western Carolina 9 - 9 100.0
Appalachian St. 10 - 8 100.0
Georgia Southern 7 - 11 100.0
Samford 9 - 9 100.0
UNC Greensboro 6 - 12 100.0
Chattanooga 8 - 10 100.0
The Citadel 5 - 13 100.0
Furman 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Davidson 100.0% 100.0
College of Charleston
Elon
Wofford
Western Carolina
Appalachian St.
Georgia Southern
Samford
UNC Greensboro
Chattanooga
The Citadel
Furman


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Davidson 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.0 1.0 67.0 31.6 0.4
College of Charleston 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wofford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNC Greensboro 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chattanooga 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Furman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Davidson 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 22.1% 6.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
College of Charleston 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wofford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Greensboro 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chattanooga 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Furman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 22.1% 0.2 77.9 22.1
Sweet Sixteen 6.8% 0.1 93.2 6.8
Elite Eight 1.4% 0.0 98.6 1.4
Final Four 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0