Pre-tourney Rankings
Davidson
Southern
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.2#70
Expected Predictive Rating+6.5#80
Pace65.9#208
Improvement+4.4#28

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#32
Improvement+1.1#114

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#160
Improvement+3.3#35
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round22.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen6.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2012 16   @ New Mexico L 81-86 18%     0 - 1 +12.0 +13.4 -1.1
  Nov 17, 2012 292   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 68-73 87%     0 - 2 -10.2 -10.8 +0.9
  Nov 22, 2012 84   Vanderbilt W 75-62 56%     1 - 2 +18.7 +13.4 +6.5
  Nov 23, 2012 121   West Virginia W 63-60 65%     2 - 2 +6.1 -5.4 +11.7
  Nov 25, 2012 4   Gonzaga L 67-81 13%     2 - 3 +5.3 +0.3 +5.2
  Dec 01, 2012 309   @ Chattanooga W 81-55 89%     3 - 3 1 - 0 +19.6 +4.0 +15.9
  Dec 05, 2012 130   Charlotte L 69-73 78%     3 - 4 -4.8 +0.7 -5.7
  Dec 08, 2012 249   Wofford W 63-56 92%     4 - 4 2 - 0 -1.4 -2.7 +1.8
  Dec 15, 2012 285   UNC Wilmington W 77-61 95%     5 - 4 +4.8 +5.9 +0.7
  Dec 22, 2012 174   @ Drexel L 58-69 67%     5 - 5 -8.3 +1.9 -13.0
  Dec 29, 2012 82   @ Richmond W 70-64 43%     6 - 5 +15.0 +1.9 +13.3
  Jan 02, 2013 6   Duke L 50-67 17%     6 - 6 +0.6 -12.9 +12.2
  Jan 05, 2013 289   UNC Greensboro W 85-53 95%     7 - 6 3 - 0 +20.5 +6.6 +14.1
  Jan 12, 2013 340   @ Furman W 81-73 95%     8 - 6 4 - 0 -3.6 +4.0 -7.4
  Jan 14, 2013 282   @ Georgia Southern L 57-70 85%     8 - 7 4 - 1 -17.1 -3.5 -16.8
  Jan 17, 2013 331   The Citadel W 70-38 98%     9 - 7 5 - 1 +15.3 -12.2 +29.2
  Jan 19, 2013 157   College of Charleston W 77-68 82%     10 - 7 6 - 1 +6.3 +4.6 +1.8
  Jan 24, 2013 256   @ Western Carolina W 79-74 81%     11 - 7 7 - 1 +2.8 +9.2 -6.1
  Jan 26, 2013 259   @ Appalachian St. W 79-56 82%     12 - 7 8 - 1 +20.5 +9.1 +12.7
  Jan 31, 2013 287   Samford W 71-51 95%     13 - 7 9 - 1 +8.7 +4.9 +7.5
  Feb 02, 2013 249   @ Wofford W 68-57 81%     14 - 7 10 - 1 +9.1 +10.5 +0.1
  Feb 07, 2013 256   Western Carolina W 73-59 92%     15 - 7 11 - 1 +5.3 -4.8 +10.3
  Feb 09, 2013 259   Appalachian St. W 87-52 93%     16 - 7 12 - 1 +26.0 +6.6 +18.4
  Feb 14, 2013 157   @ College of Charleston W 75-59 63%     17 - 7 13 - 1 +19.8 +7.6 +12.7
  Feb 16, 2013 331   @ The Citadel W 72-57 94%     18 - 7 14 - 1 +4.8 +1.4 +5.9
  Feb 20, 2013 340   Furman W 73-36 98%     19 - 7 15 - 1 +18.9 +3.8 +21.9
  Feb 23, 2013 148   Montana W 93-87 OT 82%     20 - 7 +3.6 +13.1 -9.7
  Feb 27, 2013 208   @ Elon W 69-63 73%     21 - 7 16 - 1 +6.9 +1.9 +5.4
  Mar 02, 2013 282   Georgia Southern W 83-48 94%     22 - 7 17 - 1 +24.4 +6.7 +18.2
  Mar 09, 2013 282   Georgia Southern W 86-59 91%     23 - 7 +19.6 +15.1 +6.1
  Mar 10, 2013 259   Appalachian St. W 65-62 88%     24 - 7 -2.8 -2.7 +0.3
  Mar 11, 2013 157   College of Charleston W 74-55 74%     25 - 7 +19.6 +11.0 +10.7
Projected Record 25.0 - 7.0 17.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.3 0.0 1.0 67.0 31.6 0.4
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 1.0 67.0 31.6 0.4