Pre-tourney Rankings
Cincinnati
Big East
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.2#38
Expected Predictive Rating+11.5#37
Pace67.5#171
Improvement-6.4#343

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#116
Improvement-4.2#330

Defense
Total Defense+8.8#8
Improvement-2.2#280
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.4% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 97.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 97.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% n/a n/a
First Round97.7% n/a n/a
Second Round46.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen13.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight5.2% n/a n/a
Final Four1.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2012 334   Tennessee Martin W 80-57 99%     1 - 0 +5.6 -10.7 +13.9
  Nov 13, 2012 342   Mississippi Valley W 102-60 99%     2 - 0 +23.4 +4.8 +12.0
  Nov 18, 2012 231   N.C. A&T W 93-39 95%     3 - 0 +46.8 +8.4 +30.7
  Nov 20, 2012 298   Campbell W 91-72 97%     4 - 0 +6.8 +0.0 +4.5
  Nov 23, 2012 35   Iowa St. W 78-70 49%     5 - 0 +19.5 -2.5 +21.1
  Nov 24, 2012 41   Oregon W 77-66 54%     6 - 0 +21.3 +9.5 +11.4
  Dec 01, 2012 68   Alabama W 58-56 75%     7 - 0 +6.2 -3.8 +10.2
  Dec 06, 2012 223   Arkansas Little Rock W 87-53 94%     8 - 0 +27.3 -1.9 +23.3
  Dec 08, 2012 344   Maryland Eastern Shore W 92-60 99%     9 - 0 +12.8 +2.9 +6.6
  Dec 15, 2012 224   Marshall W 72-56 91%     10 - 0 +12.5 +0.8 +12.6
  Dec 19, 2012 76   Xavier W 60-45 67%     11 - 0 +21.6 -5.0 +27.4
  Dec 22, 2012 129   Wright St. W 68-58 87%     12 - 0 +9.2 +1.2 +8.3
  Dec 27, 2012 16   New Mexico L 54-55 53%     12 - 1 +9.6 -7.2 +16.7
  Dec 31, 2012 8   @ Pittsburgh W 70-61 21%     13 - 1 1 - 0 +28.7 +14.3 +15.4
  Jan 05, 2013 97   St. John's L 52-53 82%     13 - 2 1 - 1 +0.6 -16.3 +16.9
  Jan 07, 2013 30   Notre Dame L 60-66 59%     13 - 3 1 - 2 +2.9 +2.0 -0.4
  Jan 12, 2013 98   @ Rutgers W 68-58 62%     14 - 3 2 - 2 +18.0 +10.8 +9.1
  Jan 15, 2013 165   @ DePaul W 75-70 78%     15 - 3 3 - 2 +8.3 +0.9 +7.3
  Jan 19, 2013 22   Marquette W 71-69 OT 56%     16 - 3 4 - 2 +11.6 +0.0 +11.6
  Jan 21, 2013 11   @ Syracuse L 55-57 24%     16 - 4 4 - 3 +16.5 +6.6 +9.4
  Jan 30, 2013 98   Rutgers W 62-54 82%     17 - 4 5 - 3 +9.5 -8.7 +18.5
  Feb 02, 2013 113   @ Seton Hall W 65-59 66%     18 - 4 6 - 3 +13.0 +2.4 +11.2
  Feb 06, 2013 63   @ Providence L 50-54 51%     18 - 5 6 - 4 +7.0 -6.4 +12.5
  Feb 09, 2013 8   Pittsburgh L 52-62 42%     18 - 6 6 - 5 +3.2 -7.5 +9.3
  Feb 12, 2013 49   Villanova W 68-50 67%     19 - 6 7 - 5 +24.7 +4.3 +21.3
  Feb 15, 2013 13   Georgetown L 55-62 47%     19 - 7 7 - 6 +5.0 -4.8 +9.3
  Feb 21, 2013 51   @ Connecticut L 66-73 OT 43%     19 - 8 7 - 7 +6.1 +3.3 +2.4
  Feb 24, 2013 30   @ Notre Dame L 41-62 34%     19 - 9 7 - 8 -5.6 -16.0 +4.9
  Mar 02, 2013 51   Connecticut W 61-56 67%     20 - 9 8 - 8 +11.6 -7.4 +19.1
  Mar 04, 2013 1   @ Louisville L 51-67 12%     20 - 10 8 - 9 +8.2 -1.6 +7.9
  Mar 09, 2013 124   South Florida W 61-53 OT 86%     21 - 10 9 - 9 +7.5 +1.0 +8.2
  Mar 13, 2013 63   Providence W 61-44 63%     22 - 10 +24.8 +1.3 +25.9
  Mar 14, 2013 13   Georgetown L 43-62 35%     22 - 11 -3.8 -7.6 -1.0
Projected Record 22.0 - 11.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 97.7% 97.7% 8.9 0.0 0.4 5.6 28.2 37.0 21.8 4.5 0.2 2.3 97.7%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 97.7% 0.0% 97.7% 8.9 0.0 0.4 5.6 28.2 37.0 21.8 4.5 0.2 2.3 97.7%