Pre-tourney Rankings
Oregon
Pac-12
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.3#41
Expected Predictive Rating+12.2#31
Pace74.3#47
Improvement-2.1#261

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#113
Improvement-2.4#273

Defense
Total Defense+7.8#14
Improvement+0.3#165
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.5% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round41.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen10.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.2% n/a n/a
Final Four1.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2012 307   Northern Arizona W 83-73 97%     1 - 0 -2.7 -6.5 +2.5
  Nov 12, 2012 312   Portland St. W 80-69 97%     2 - 0 -2.0 -8.2 +5.7
  Nov 16, 2012 84   Vanderbilt W 74-48 77%     3 - 0 +28.5 +5.2 +23.7
  Nov 19, 2012 213   Jacksonville St. W 67-45 93%     4 - 0 +16.1 -8.8 +25.3
  Nov 23, 2012 31   @ UNLV W 83-79 32%     5 - 0 +19.2 +7.3 +11.2
  Nov 24, 2012 38   Cincinnati L 66-77 46%     5 - 1 +0.2 -0.1 +0.6
  Nov 29, 2012 246   Texas San Antonio W 95-78 95%     6 - 1 +9.0 +6.1 +1.0
  Dec 01, 2012 281   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80-59 96%     7 - 1 +10.4 +2.1 +7.7
  Dec 08, 2012 320   Idaho St. W 87-35 98%     8 - 1 +37.9 +21.5 +24.0
  Dec 15, 2012 123   Nebraska W 60-38 84%     9 - 1 +21.6 -8.5 +31.3
  Dec 19, 2012 110   @ UTEP L 84-91 3OT 62%     9 - 2 +0.2 -3.4 +5.2
  Dec 22, 2012 323   Houston Baptist W 91-50 98%     10 - 2 +26.6 +6.2 +16.2
  Dec 31, 2012 149   Nevada W 56-43 88%     11 - 2 +10.6 -18.5 +29.3
  Jan 06, 2013 103   @ Oregon St. W 79-66 60%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +20.8 +5.9 +14.5
  Jan 10, 2013 18   Arizona W 70-66 50%     13 - 2 2 - 0 +14.3 +3.1 +11.3
  Jan 13, 2013 71   Arizona St. W 68-65 73%     14 - 2 3 - 0 +6.9 +0.7 +6.4
  Jan 17, 2013 100   @ USC W 76-74 59%     15 - 2 4 - 0 +9.9 +8.9 +1.0
  Jan 19, 2013 40   @ UCLA W 76-67 36%     16 - 2 5 - 0 +22.8 +6.0 +16.4
  Jan 23, 2013 91   Washington St. W 68-61 78%     17 - 2 6 - 0 +9.0 -8.1 +16.8
  Jan 26, 2013 77   Washington W 81-76 75%     18 - 2 7 - 0 +8.2 +2.5 +5.2
  Jan 30, 2013 46   @ Stanford L 52-76 38%     18 - 3 7 - 1 -10.7 -17.3 +7.7
  Feb 02, 2013 57   @ California L 54-58 44%     18 - 4 7 - 2 +7.7 -10.9 +18.5
  Feb 07, 2013 45   Colorado L 47-48 63%     18 - 5 7 - 3 +5.9 -11.2 +16.8
  Feb 09, 2013 114   Utah W 73-64 82%     19 - 5 8 - 3 +9.4 +2.9 +6.7
  Feb 13, 2013 77   @ Washington W 65-52 52%     20 - 5 9 - 3 +22.6 +5.6 +18.7
  Feb 16, 2013 91   @ Washington St. W 79-77 OT 57%     21 - 5 10 - 3 +10.5 +9.3 +1.2
  Feb 21, 2013 57   California L 46-48 69%     21 - 6 10 - 4 +3.2 -19.8 +22.9
  Feb 23, 2013 46   Stanford W 77-66 63%     22 - 6 11 - 4 +17.9 +1.2 +15.8
  Feb 28, 2013 103   Oregon St. W 85-75 80%     23 - 6 12 - 4 +11.3 +6.0 +4.7
  Mar 07, 2013 45   @ Colorado L 53-76 38%     23 - 7 12 - 5 -9.6 -13.1 +4.2
  Mar 09, 2013 114   @ Utah L 62-72 63%     23 - 8 12 - 6 -3.2 -1.2 -2.9
  Mar 14, 2013 77   Washington W 80-77 OT 65%     24 - 8 +9.4 +0.9 +8.1
  Mar 15, 2013 114   Utah W 64-45 74%     25 - 8 +22.6 +1.3 +23.6
  Mar 16, 2013 40   UCLA W 78-69 49%     26 - 8 +19.6 +6.3 +12.8
Projected Record 26.0 - 8.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 9.0 0.0 0.5 5.9 27.0 34.6 23.2 8.0 0.8
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 9.0 0.0 0.5 5.9 27.0 34.6 23.2 8.0 0.8