Pre-tourney Rankings
Iowa
Big Ten
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.4#36
Expected Predictive Rating+9.8#51
Pace72.5#68
Improvement+3.7#45

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#72
Improvement+0.1#162

Defense
Total Defense+7.5#18
Improvement+3.5#32
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 28.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 28.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four24.9% n/a n/a
First Round18.3% n/a n/a
Second Round8.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 316   UT Rio Grande Valley W 86-55 98%     1 - 0 +17.6 +0.0 +14.8
  Nov 12, 2012 250   Central Michigan W 73-61 96%     2 - 0 +3.5 -9.7 +13.0
  Nov 15, 2012 327   Howard W 66-36 99%     3 - 0 +14.6 +2.5 +16.9
  Nov 17, 2012 198   Gardner-Webb W 65-56 93%     4 - 0 +4.1 -7.6 +11.9
  Nov 20, 2012 183   Western Kentucky W 63-55 87%     5 - 0 +7.1 -8.3 +15.7
  Nov 21, 2012 34   Wichita St. L 63-75 49%     5 - 1 -0.4 -2.2 +1.6
  Nov 27, 2012 160   @ Virginia Tech L 79-95 77%     5 - 2 -12.3 -0.6 -10.6
  Dec 01, 2012 310   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 88-59 98%     6 - 2 +16.1 +12.5 +5.0
  Dec 04, 2012 247   South Dakota W 87-63 96%     7 - 2 +15.7 -0.2 +14.3
  Dec 07, 2012 35   Iowa St. W 80-71 62%     8 - 2 +17.2 +2.6 +14.2
  Dec 15, 2012 64   Northern Iowa W 80-73 64%     9 - 2 +14.7 +8.8 +5.6
  Dec 19, 2012 337   South Carolina St. W 90-46 99%     10 - 2 +26.3 +2.2 +21.2
  Dec 22, 2012 317   Coppin St. W 80-50 98%     11 - 2 +16.6 -5.7 +19.4
  Dec 31, 2012 3   Indiana L 65-69 30%     11 - 3 0 - 1 +12.8 -8.5 +21.7
  Jan 06, 2013 9   @ Michigan L 67-95 22%     11 - 4 0 - 2 -8.7 +1.1 -10.5
  Jan 10, 2013 10   Michigan St. L 59-62 46%     11 - 5 0 - 3 +9.3 -7.2 +16.5
  Jan 13, 2013 125   @ Northwestern W 70-50 70%     12 - 5 1 - 3 +26.0 +3.4 +23.5
  Jan 19, 2013 14   Wisconsin W 70-66 48%     13 - 5 2 - 3 +15.9 +12.7 +3.5
  Jan 22, 2013 7   @ Ohio St. L 63-72 21%     13 - 6 2 - 4 +10.9 +1.6 +9.1
  Jan 27, 2013 73   @ Purdue L 62-65 OT 54%     13 - 7 2 - 5 +7.3 -5.0 +12.4
  Jan 31, 2013 143   Penn St. W 76-67 89%     14 - 7 3 - 5 +7.3 +1.0 +6.1
  Feb 03, 2013 27   @ Minnesota L 59-62 34%     14 - 8 3 - 6 +12.6 +1.4 +10.8
  Feb 06, 2013 14   @ Wisconsin L 70-74 2OT 25%     14 - 9 3 - 7 +14.4 -1.7 +16.7
  Feb 09, 2013 125   Northwestern W 71-57 87%     15 - 9 4 - 7 +13.5 +4.7 +10.2
  Feb 14, 2013 143   @ Penn St. W 74-72 74%     16 - 9 5 - 7 +6.8 +6.4 +0.4
  Feb 17, 2013 27   Minnesota W 72-51 59%     17 - 9 6 - 7 +30.1 +12.4 +20.3
  Feb 23, 2013 123   @ Nebraska L 60-64 70%     17 - 10 6 - 8 +2.1 -3.2 +5.0
  Feb 27, 2013 73   Purdue W 58-48 77%     18 - 10 7 - 8 +13.8 -3.6 +18.6
  Mar 02, 2013 3   @ Indiana L 60-73 14%     18 - 11 7 - 9 +10.3 -6.2 +16.9
  Mar 05, 2013 48   Illinois W 63-55 67%     19 - 11 8 - 9 +14.8 -6.2 +21.0
  Mar 09, 2013 123   Nebraska W 74-60 86%     20 - 11 9 - 9 +13.6 +18.9 -2.1
  Mar 14, 2013 125   Northwestern W 73-59 80%     21 - 11 +16.7 +5.1 +12.3
  Mar 15, 2013 10   Michigan St. L 56-59 34%     21 - 12 +12.6 -2.0 +14.2
Projected Record 21.0 - 12.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 28.3% 28.3% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.2 23.9 0.9 71.7 28.3%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 28.3% 0.0% 28.3% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.2 23.9 0.9 71.7 28.3%